The Nostradamus
Flagroos
- Nov 14, 2010
- 52,909
- 64,468
- AFL Club
- North Melbourne
Or more soft cap space so we can poach competent peopleWe should ask for the AFL to step in and find some competent people to run the club.
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Or more soft cap space so we can poach competent peopleWe should ask for the AFL to step in and find some competent people to run the club.
i dunno are we about to be 6 years in a row bottom 2? which is unprecedentedIs this bump a piss take?
Agree yet some in media circles are moaning about the bounty in 22 that we were bestowed with.i dunno are we about to be 6 years in a row bottom 2? which is unprecedented
And yet somehow never got a start of first round pp that over half the clubs have gotten
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i dunno are we about to be 6 years in a row bottom 2? which is unprecedented
And yet somehow never got a start of first round pp that over half the clubs have gotten
And don't forget the hangar he took. Freak.I mostly agree with you but ...
After 2020 we have very few poor draftees. Only Miller Bergman hasn't shown enough at AFL level so far. Even Duursma has done okay really in 20 games. Obviously could do better but still has multiple goals four times, took 11 marks in a game once and that includes six games where he was sub.
That was a a good mark but I'd rather he took 6 or 7 less spectacular ones every game.And don't forget the hangar he took. Freak.
After 2020 we have very few poor draftees.
Don't agree with everything you say mate but this is bang on.Let's take off the royal blue and white tinted glasses and look at this objectively. We'll include national, rookie, and mid-season drafts, starting with the 2020 National Draft;
2020
National Draft
#3 Will Phillips
#13 Tom Powell
#36 Charlie Lazzaro
#42 Phoenix Spicer
#56 Eddie Ford
Rookie Draft
#2 Patrick Walker
#18 Connor Menadue
Overall, pretty average. I personally love Phillips but even I'm not going to argue we got value at pick #3 with him. Same deal with #13 and Powell - there's a very real chance that by the end of this season or next season, neither player are on our list. Add to that that Lazzaro and Spicer are out of the AFL and Ford is about to be, and the 2020 Covid draft is shaping up to be particularly poor
2021
Mid Season Draft
#1 Jacob Edwards
#16 Charlie Ham
National Draft
#1 Jason Horne-Francis
#22 Josh Goater
#35 Paul Curtis
#38 Miller Bergman
#59 Jackson Archer (father/son)
Rookie Draft
#1 Jared Polec
Horrible MSD, but the arguably the 'strongest' national draft result you'll see in this entire post. The JHF situation sucked, but he was the best available player at pick 1 with Naicos and Darcy both N/A with father/son shennanigans.
2022
Mid Season Draft
#2 Kallan Dawson
National Draft
#3 Harry Sheezel
#4 George Wardlaw
#26 Brayden George
#56 Cooper Harvey (father/son)
Rookie Draft
#1 Blake Drury
#19 Hamish Free
#33 Daniel Howe
#39 Kayne Turner
Again, terrible MSD and Rookie Drafts and a common theme throughout this post will be our absolute lack of quality added through these processes. The National Draft looks great because of Sheezel/Wardlaw at the top. Sheezel has proven he can be a superstar, whereas Wardlaw has flashed enormously positive signs... however if we're playing Devil's Advocate there were undeniable question marks about his hamstrings in the lead up to the draft and that appears to have played out at least partly in the last 3 years. That said, even though those injury concerns were legitimate, he's still the best available player at that pick and this is the rare instance where North don't look silly for passing over one of the players taken immediately after him. Brayden George had big wraps, but the injury history there was even more of a considerable risk, and those risks have not been kind to North with sausage still yet to play an AFL game three years later.
2023
Mid Season Draft
#2 Robert Hansen Jr
National Draft
#2 Colby McKercher
#4 Zane Duursma
#20 Taylor Goad
#22 Wil Dawson
#23 Riley Hardeman
Rookie Draft
#2 Finnbar Maley
I suspect my opinion here will be divisive, but overall this is a poor draft. Walking away from one of the most stacked top-10s of the last decade in terms of top-end draft talent with two picks, and one of those picks cannot get a consistent game in our AFL team despite not being a developing KPF/KPD is not great. Especially when you look at the calibre of player we passed on to take him. Goad and Dawson are both talls who we knew would take years to develop, so that's "fine". Hardeman looks like great value at #23. But overall, not a great draft when you consider the ready-made talent that we missed on.
2024
Mid Season Draft
#1 Geordie Payne
#15 Brynn Teakle
National Draft
#2 Finn O'Sullivan
#27 Matt Whitlock (trade)
#57 Luke Urquhart
#67 River Stevens (father/son)
Rookie Draft
Nil players
Admittedly there's a huge element of "it's too soon to judge" with the 2024 cohort, but outside of FOS I think it's fair to say that this draft class doesn't look super exciting. Payne can't get a game, Teakle has proven himself a very limited battler, and Urquhart/Stevens both struggle with any form of consistency at the VFL level. Whitlock is, unfortunately for him, always going to be held to a super high standard because of the nature of the trade that resulted in us taking him. The signs are positive at the VFL level for a second round tall prospect... but he could have been a top 3~ first round draft pick instead and those are huge shoes to fill.
Summary
So in summary, I think we unfortunately have plenty of "pretty poor draftees" since 2020, and overall I think the most generous grade you can objectively give to our drafting in this period would be a C+. At best.
It's a big reason why the club is in the position that it currently finds itself. Instead of having a super strong cohort of 50-150 gamers, we struggle with consistency and talent at these levels outside one or two outlier players.
We've effectively got 6 consistently available best 22 players from 4 drafts, which included an unusually high number of early first round picks.
6 from 37 picks is horrific.
Nah it definitely helps to see it all laid bare, pick by pick.Perfect summary. I should have just written that. It would have been a lot quicker.
2020 draft i think we still made the right choice at the time with phillips and powell the screwup was spicer over mcreery in the same team and forward lineLet's take off the royal blue and white tinted glasses and look at this objectively. We'll include national, rookie, and mid-season drafts, starting with the 2020 National Draft;
2020
National Draft
#3 Will Phillips
#13 Tom Powell
#36 Charlie Lazzaro
#42 Phoenix Spicer
#56 Eddie Ford
Rookie Draft
#2 Patrick Walker
#18 Connor Menadue
Overall, pretty average. I personally love Phillips but even I'm not going to argue we got value at pick #3 with him. Same deal with #13 and Powell - there's a very real chance that by the end of this season or next season, neither player are on our list. Add to that that Lazzaro and Spicer are out of the AFL and Ford is about to be, and the 2020 Covid draft is shaping up to be particularly poor
2021
Mid Season Draft
#1 Jacob Edwards
#16 Charlie Ham
National Draft
#1 Jason Horne-Francis
#22 Josh Goater
#35 Paul Curtis
#38 Miller Bergman
#59 Jackson Archer (father/son)
Rookie Draft
#1 Jared Polec
Horrible MSD, but the arguably the 'strongest' national draft result you'll see in this entire post. The JHF situation sucked, but he was the best available player at pick 1 with Naicos and Darcy both N/A with father/son shennanigans.
2022
Mid Season Draft
#2 Kallan Dawson
National Draft
#3 Harry Sheezel
#4 George Wardlaw
#26 Brayden George
#56 Cooper Harvey (father/son)
Rookie Draft
#1 Blake Drury
#19 Hamish Free
#33 Daniel Howe
#39 Kayne Turner
Again, terrible MSD and Rookie Drafts and a common theme throughout this post will be our absolute lack of quality added through these processes. The National Draft looks great because of Sheezel/Wardlaw at the top. Sheezel has proven he can be a superstar, whereas Wardlaw has flashed enormously positive signs... however if we're playing Devil's Advocate there were undeniable question marks about his hamstrings in the lead up to the draft and that appears to have played out at least partly in the last 3 years. That said, even though those injury concerns were legitimate, he's still the best available player at that pick and this is the rare instance where North don't look silly for passing over one of the players taken immediately after him. Brayden George had big wraps, but the injury history there was even more of a considerable risk, and those risks have not been kind to North with sausage still yet to play an AFL game three years later.
2023
Mid Season Draft
#2 Robert Hansen Jr
National Draft
#2 Colby McKercher
#4 Zane Duursma
#20 Taylor Goad
#22 Wil Dawson
#23 Riley Hardeman
Rookie Draft
#2 Finnbar Maley
I suspect my opinion here will be divisive, but overall this is a poor draft. Walking away from one of the most stacked top-10s of the last decade in terms of top-end draft talent with two picks, and one of those picks cannot get a consistent game in our AFL team despite not being a developing KPF/KPD is not great. Especially when you look at the calibre of player we passed on to take him. Goad and Dawson are both talls who we knew would take years to develop, so that's "fine". Hardeman looks like great value at #23. But overall, not a great draft when you consider the ready-made talent that we missed on.
2024
Mid Season Draft
#1 Geordie Payne
#15 Brynn Teakle
National Draft
#2 Finn O'Sullivan
#27 Matt Whitlock (trade)
#57 Luke Urquhart
#67 River Stevens (father/son)
Rookie Draft
Nil players
Admittedly there's a huge element of "it's too soon to judge" with the 2024 cohort, but outside of FOS I think it's fair to say that this draft class doesn't look super exciting. Payne can't get a game, Teakle has proven himself a very limited battler, and Urquhart/Stevens both struggle with any form of consistency at the VFL level. Whitlock is, unfortunately for him, always going to be held to a super high standard because of the nature of the trade that resulted in us taking him. The signs are positive at the VFL level for a second round tall prospect... but he could have been a top 3~ first round draft pick instead and those are huge shoes to fill.
Summary
So in summary, I think we unfortunately have plenty of "pretty poor draftees" since 2020, and overall I think the most generous grade you can objectively give to our drafting in this period would be a C+. At best.
It's a big reason why the club is in the position that it currently finds itself. Instead of having a super strong cohort of 50-150 gamers, we struggle with consistency and talent at these levels outside one or two outlier players.
Nah it definitely helps to see it all laid bare, pick by pick.
In general I think that is a good assessment of what we have got out of those drafts, maybe do need to give the more recent picks more time, however, is it drafting the wrong players or is it what happens to them after they arrive at our club that is the main problem?Let's take off the royal blue and white tinted glasses and look at this objectively. We'll include national, rookie, and mid-season drafts, starting with the 2020 National Draft;
2020
National Draft
#3 Will Phillips
#13 Tom Powell
#36 Charlie Lazzaro
#42 Phoenix Spicer
#56 Eddie Ford
Rookie Draft
#2 Patrick Walker
#18 Connor Menadue
Overall, pretty average. I personally love Phillips but even I'm not going to argue we got value at pick #3 with him. Same deal with #13 and Powell - there's a very real chance that by the end of this season or next season, neither player are on our list. Add to that that Lazzaro and Spicer are out of the AFL and Ford is about to be, and the 2020 Covid draft is shaping up to be particularly poor
2021
Mid Season Draft
#1 Jacob Edwards
#16 Charlie Ham
National Draft
#1 Jason Horne-Francis
#22 Josh Goater
#35 Paul Curtis
#38 Miller Bergman
#59 Jackson Archer (father/son)
Rookie Draft
#1 Jared Polec
Horrible MSD, but the arguably the 'strongest' national draft result you'll see in this entire post. The JHF situation sucked, but he was the best available player at pick 1 with Naicos and Darcy both N/A with father/son shennanigans.
2022
Mid Season Draft
#2 Kallan Dawson
National Draft
#3 Harry Sheezel
#4 George Wardlaw
#26 Brayden George
#56 Cooper Harvey (father/son)
Rookie Draft
#1 Blake Drury
#19 Hamish Free
#33 Daniel Howe
#39 Kayne Turner
Again, terrible MSD and Rookie Drafts and a common theme throughout this post will be our absolute lack of quality added through these processes. The National Draft looks great because of Sheezel/Wardlaw at the top. Sheezel has proven he can be a superstar, whereas Wardlaw has flashed enormously positive signs... however if we're playing Devil's Advocate there were undeniable question marks about his hamstrings in the lead up to the draft and that appears to have played out at least partly in the last 3 years. That said, even though those injury concerns were legitimate, he's still the best available player at that pick and this is the rare instance where North don't look silly for passing over one of the players taken immediately after him. Brayden George had big wraps, but the injury history there was even more of a considerable risk, and those risks have not been kind to North with sausage still yet to play an AFL game three years later.
2023
Mid Season Draft
#2 Robert Hansen Jr
National Draft
#2 Colby McKercher
#4 Zane Duursma
#20 Taylor Goad
#22 Wil Dawson
#23 Riley Hardeman
Rookie Draft
#2 Finnbar Maley
I suspect my opinion here will be divisive, but overall this is a poor draft. Walking away from one of the most stacked top-10s of the last decade in terms of top-end draft talent with two picks, and one of those picks cannot get a consistent game in our AFL team despite not being a developing KPF/KPD is not great. Especially when you look at the calibre of player we passed on to take him. Goad and Dawson are both talls who we knew would take years to develop, so that's "fine". Hardeman looks like great value at #23. But overall, not a great draft when you consider the ready-made talent that we missed on.
2024
Mid Season Draft
#1 Geordie Payne
#15 Brynn Teakle
National Draft
#2 Finn O'Sullivan
#27 Matt Whitlock (trade)
#57 Luke Urquhart
#67 River Stevens (father/son)
Rookie Draft
Nil players
Admittedly there's a huge element of "it's too soon to judge" with the 2024 cohort, but outside of FOS I think it's fair to say that this draft class doesn't look super exciting. Payne can't get a game, Teakle has proven himself a very limited battler, and Urquhart/Stevens both struggle with any form of consistency at the VFL level. Whitlock is, unfortunately for him, always going to be held to a super high standard because of the nature of the trade that resulted in us taking him. The signs are positive at the VFL level for a second round tall prospect... but he could have been a top 3~ first round draft pick instead and those are huge shoes to fill.
Summary
So in summary, I think we unfortunately have plenty of "pretty poor draftees" since 2020, and overall I think the most generous grade you can objectively give to our drafting in this period would be a C+. At best.
It's a big reason why the club is in the position that it currently finds itself. Instead of having a super strong cohort of 50-150 gamers, we struggle with consistency and talent at these levels outside one or two outlier players.
Its also a ridiculous way to measure it.We've effectively got 6 consistently available best 22 players from 4 drafts, which included an unusually high number of early first round picks.
6 from 37 picks is horrific.
Why aren’t we asking?
Weak leadership, pull every lever.
Let's take off the royal blue and white tinted glasses and look at this objectively. We'll include national, rookie, and mid-season drafts, starting with the 2020 National Draft;
2020
National Draft
#3 Will Phillips
#13 Tom Powell
#36 Charlie Lazzaro
#42 Phoenix Spicer
#56 Eddie Ford
Rookie Draft
#2 Patrick Walker
#18 Connor Menadue
Overall, pretty average. I personally love Phillips but even I'm not going to argue we got value at pick #3 with him. Same deal with #13 and Powell - there's a very real chance that by the end of this season or next season, neither player are on our list. Add to that that Lazzaro and Spicer are out of the AFL and Ford is about to be, and the 2020 Covid draft is shaping up to be particularly poor
2021
Mid Season Draft
#1 Jacob Edwards
#16 Charlie Ham
National Draft
#1 Jason Horne-Francis
#22 Josh Goater
#35 Paul Curtis
#38 Miller Bergman
#59 Jackson Archer (father/son)
Rookie Draft
#1 Jared Polec
Horrible MSD, but the arguably the 'strongest' national draft result you'll see in this entire post. The JHF situation sucked, but he was the best available player at pick 1 with Naicos and Darcy both N/A with father/son shennanigans.
2022
Mid Season Draft
#2 Kallan Dawson
National Draft
#3 Harry Sheezel
#4 George Wardlaw
#26 Brayden George
#56 Cooper Harvey (father/son)
Rookie Draft
#1 Blake Drury
#19 Hamish Free
#33 Daniel Howe
#39 Kayne Turner
Again, terrible MSD and Rookie Drafts and a common theme throughout this post will be our absolute lack of quality added through these processes. The National Draft looks great because of Sheezel/Wardlaw at the top. Sheezel has proven he can be a superstar, whereas Wardlaw has flashed enormously positive signs... however if we're playing Devil's Advocate there were undeniable question marks about his hamstrings in the lead up to the draft and that appears to have played out at least partly in the last 3 years. That said, even though those injury concerns were legitimate, he's still the best available player at that pick and this is the rare instance where North don't look silly for passing over one of the players taken immediately after him. Brayden George had big wraps, but the injury history there was even more of a considerable risk, and those risks have not been kind to North with sausage still yet to play an AFL game three years later.
2023
Mid Season Draft
#2 Robert Hansen Jr
National Draft
#2 Colby McKercher
#4 Zane Duursma
#20 Taylor Goad
#22 Wil Dawson
#23 Riley Hardeman
Rookie Draft
#2 Finnbar Maley
I suspect my opinion here will be divisive, but overall this is a poor draft. Walking away from one of the most stacked top-10s of the last decade in terms of top-end draft talent with two picks, and one of those picks cannot get a consistent game in our AFL team despite not being a developing KPF/KPD is not great. Especially when you look at the calibre of player we passed on to take him. Goad and Dawson are both talls who we knew would take years to develop, so that's "fine". Hardeman looks like great value at #23. But overall, not a great draft when you consider the ready-made talent that we missed on.
2024
Mid Season Draft
#1 Geordie Payne
#15 Brynn Teakle
National Draft
#2 Finn O'Sullivan
#27 Matt Whitlock (trade)
#57 Luke Urquhart
#67 River Stevens (father/son)
Rookie Draft
Nil players
Admittedly there's a huge element of "it's too soon to judge" with the 2024 cohort, but outside of FOS I think it's fair to say that this draft class doesn't look super exciting. Payne can't get a game, Teakle has proven himself a very limited battler, and Urquhart/Stevens both struggle with any form of consistency at the VFL level. Whitlock is, unfortunately for him, always going to be held to a super high standard because of the nature of the trade that resulted in us taking him. The signs are positive at the VFL level for a second round tall prospect... but he could have been a top 3~ first round draft pick instead and those are huge shoes to fill.
Summary
So in summary, I think we unfortunately have plenty of "pretty poor draftees" since 2020, and overall I think the most generous grade you can objectively give to our drafting in this period would be a C+. At best.
It's a big reason why the club is in the position that it currently finds itself. Instead of having a super strong cohort of 50-150 gamers, we struggle with consistency and talent at these levels outside one or two outlier players.
Bullshit. You don’t get any favours and ruthless clubs explore every avenue to grow. Increased cap space, extra rookie list spots, the fall back position from a no on priority picks can help us.Call it weak leadership if you want to, but there is no way we should be asking for any assistance this year.
We have to stand on our own two feet now and post season, post the 2025 Draft, those who remain at whatever level or position in the Club, just need to forget what has gone before and make an unequivocal commitment to each other to work harder, strive to achieve more, extract as much as each can extract from the talent that each of them was blessed with that got them to where they are now.
In my opinion, that list of players is not without some pretty good talent within it and as someone else has said here, at the top end of each of these drafts particularly, other clubs would have selected them if we had not.
These boys can do it in my opinion if they commit themselves to the hard work. As the old saying goes "the harder I work the luckier I get" and that applies to every walk of life. Just go and do it I say.
And the latter half of your argument make complete sense … asking for priority picks or assistance does not preclude you from making that commitment though, they are mutually exclusive.Call it weak leadership if you want to, but there is no way we should be asking for any assistance this year.
We have to stand on our own two feet now and post season, post the 2025 Draft, those who remain at whatever level or position in the Club, just need to forget what has gone before and make an unequivocal commitment to each other to work harder, strive to achieve more, extract as much as each can extract from the talent that each of them was blessed with that got them to where they are now.
In my opinion, that list of players is not without some pretty good talent within it and as someone else has said here, at the top end of each of these drafts particularly, other clubs would have selected them if we had not.
These boys can do it in my opinion if they commit themselves to the hard work. As the old saying goes "the harder I work the luckier I get" and that applies to every walk of life. Just go and do it I say.
interesting write up , l often wonder if F/S wasnt around who would we have taken in 2021...JHF, Daicos or Darcy? Remembering that what we didnt know then to what we know now. l would have taken Darcy, Daicos and then JHF..Isnt hindsight wonderful...
Bullshit. You don’t get any favours and ruthless clubs explore every avenue to grow. Increased cap space, extra rookie list spots, the fall back position from a no on priority picks can help us.
We’ve got a rubbish NGA, no Free Agency Currency and have been useless with Cat B and Irish recruits.
This is a simple request based on extended poor performance that takes anyone with ChatGPT 15 minutes to justify a case for.
If it meant we kept two rookie list spots or an increase in development spend it would be worth the submission.
Over and over again, let me repeat, we are 25 per cent worse on Win Loss over any five years x 2 than the next worst team in the AFL era which was Sydney in 94.
And we are now in an era where the playing field is even more compromised than then.
And we shouldn’t ask for help and have a plan for it?
It beggars belief anyone thinks we should be seeking anything less than a first rounder and / or access to the NT for two seasons or similar.
Every other basket case has been granted it.
interesting write up , l often wonder if F/S wasnt around who would we have taken in 2021...JHF, Daicos or Darcy? Remembering that what we didnt know then to what we know now. l would have taken Darcy, Daicos and then JHF..Isnt hindsight wonderful...
Let's take off the royal blue and white tinted glasses and look at this objectively. We'll include national, rookie, and mid-season drafts, starting with the 2020 National Draft;
2020
National Draft
#3 Will Phillips
#13 Tom Powell
#36 Charlie Lazzaro
#42 Phoenix Spicer
#56 Eddie Ford
Rookie Draft
#2 Patrick Walker
#18 Connor Menadue
Overall, pretty average. I personally love Phillips but even I'm not going to argue we got value at pick #3 with him. Same deal with #13 and Powell - there's a very real chance that by the end of this season or next season, neither player are on our list. Add to that that Lazzaro and Spicer are out of the AFL and Ford is about to be, and the 2020 Covid draft is shaping up to be particularly poor
2021
Mid Season Draft
#1 Jacob Edwards
#16 Charlie Ham
National Draft
#1 Jason Horne-Francis
#22 Josh Goater
#35 Paul Curtis
#38 Miller Bergman
#59 Jackson Archer (father/son)
Rookie Draft
#1 Jared Polec
Horrible MSD, but the arguably the 'strongest' national draft result you'll see in this entire post. The JHF situation sucked, but he was the best available player at pick 1 with Naicos and Darcy both N/A with father/son shennanigans.
2022
Mid Season Draft
#2 Kallan Dawson
National Draft
#3 Harry Sheezel
#4 George Wardlaw
#26 Brayden George
#56 Cooper Harvey (father/son)
Rookie Draft
#1 Blake Drury
#19 Hamish Free
#33 Daniel Howe
#39 Kayne Turner
Again, terrible MSD and Rookie Drafts and a common theme throughout this post will be our absolute lack of quality added through these processes. The National Draft looks great because of Sheezel/Wardlaw at the top. Sheezel has proven he can be a superstar, whereas Wardlaw has flashed enormously positive signs... however if we're playing Devil's Advocate there were undeniable question marks about his hamstrings in the lead up to the draft and that appears to have played out at least partly in the last 3 years. That said, even though those injury concerns were legitimate, he's still the best available player at that pick and this is the rare instance where North don't look silly for passing over one of the players taken immediately after him. Brayden George had big wraps, but the injury history there was even more of a considerable risk, and those risks have not been kind to North with sausage still yet to play an AFL game three years later.
2023
Mid Season Draft
#2 Robert Hansen Jr
National Draft
#2 Colby McKercher
#4 Zane Duursma
#20 Taylor Goad
#22 Wil Dawson
#23 Riley Hardeman
Rookie Draft
#2 Finnbar Maley
I suspect my opinion here will be divisive, but overall this is a poor draft. Walking away from one of the most stacked top-10s of the last decade in terms of top-end draft talent with two picks, and one of those picks cannot get a consistent game in our AFL team despite not being a developing KPF/KPD is not great. Especially when you look at the calibre of player we passed on to take him. Goad and Dawson are both talls who we knew would take years to develop, so that's "fine". Hardeman looks like great value at #23. But overall, not a great draft when you consider the ready-made talent that we missed on.
2024
Mid Season Draft
#1 Geordie Payne
#15 Brynn Teakle
National Draft
#2 Finn O'Sullivan
#27 Matt Whitlock (trade)
#57 Luke Urquhart
#67 River Stevens (father/son)
Rookie Draft
Nil players
Admittedly there's a huge element of "it's too soon to judge" with the 2024 cohort, but outside of FOS I think it's fair to say that this draft class doesn't look super exciting. Payne can't get a game, Teakle has proven himself a very limited battler, and Urquhart/Stevens both struggle with any form of consistency at the VFL level. Whitlock is, unfortunately for him, always going to be held to a super high standard because of the nature of the trade that resulted in us taking him. The signs are positive at the VFL level for a second round tall prospect... but he could have been a top 3~ first round draft pick instead and those are huge shoes to fill.
Summary
So in summary, I think we unfortunately have plenty of "pretty poor draftees" since 2020, and overall I think the most generous grade you can objectively give to our drafting in this period would be a C+. At best.
It's a big reason why the club is in the position that it currently finds itself. Instead of having a super strong cohort of 50-150 gamers, we struggle with consistency and talent at these levels outside one or two outlier players.
I think you are a bit harsh in your assessment of our work in the top 10 in the 2023 Draft. Here is a comparison between the actual Draft and Twomey's Phantom Draft.Let's take off the royal blue and white tinted glasses and look at this objectively. We'll include national, rookie, and mid-season drafts, starting with the 2020 National Draft;
2020
National Draft
#3 Will Phillips
#13 Tom Powell
#36 Charlie Lazzaro
#42 Phoenix Spicer
#56 Eddie Ford
Rookie Draft
#2 Patrick Walker
#18 Connor Menadue
Overall, pretty average. I personally love Phillips but even I'm not going to argue we got value at pick #3 with him. Same deal with #13 and Powell - there's a very real chance that by the end of this season or next season, neither player are on our list. Add to that that Lazzaro and Spicer are out of the AFL and Ford is about to be, and the 2020 Covid draft is shaping up to be particularly poor
2021
Mid Season Draft
#1 Jacob Edwards
#16 Charlie Ham
National Draft
#1 Jason Horne-Francis
#22 Josh Goater
#35 Paul Curtis
#38 Miller Bergman
#59 Jackson Archer (father/son)
Rookie Draft
#1 Jared Polec
Horrible MSD, but the arguably the 'strongest' national draft result you'll see in this entire post. The JHF situation sucked, but he was the best available player at pick 1 with Naicos and Darcy both N/A with father/son shennanigans.
2022
Mid Season Draft
#2 Kallan Dawson
National Draft
#3 Harry Sheezel
#4 George Wardlaw
#26 Brayden George
#56 Cooper Harvey (father/son)
Rookie Draft
#1 Blake Drury
#19 Hamish Free
#33 Daniel Howe
#39 Kayne Turner
Again, terrible MSD and Rookie Drafts and a common theme throughout this post will be our absolute lack of quality added through these processes. The National Draft looks great because of Sheezel/Wardlaw at the top. Sheezel has proven he can be a superstar, whereas Wardlaw has flashed enormously positive signs... however if we're playing Devil's Advocate there were undeniable question marks about his hamstrings in the lead up to the draft and that appears to have played out at least partly in the last 3 years. That said, even though those injury concerns were legitimate, he's still the best available player at that pick and this is the rare instance where North don't look silly for passing over one of the players taken immediately after him. Brayden George had big wraps, but the injury history there was even more of a considerable risk, and those risks have not been kind to North with sausage still yet to play an AFL game three years later.
2023
Mid Season Draft
#2 Robert Hansen Jr
National Draft
#2 Colby McKercher
#4 Zane Duursma
#20 Taylor Goad
#22 Wil Dawson
#23 Riley Hardeman
Rookie Draft
#2 Finnbar Maley
I suspect my opinion here will be divisive, but overall this is a poor draft. Walking away from one of the most stacked top-10s of the last decade in terms of top-end draft talent with two picks, and one of those picks cannot get a consistent game in our AFL team despite not being a developing KPF/KPD is not great. Especially when you look at the calibre of player we passed on to take him. Goad and Dawson are both talls who we knew would take years to develop, so that's "fine". Hardeman looks like great value at #23. But overall, not a great draft when you consider the ready-made talent that we missed on.
2024
Mid Season Draft
#1 Geordie Payne
#15 Brynn Teakle
National Draft
#2 Finn O'Sullivan
#27 Matt Whitlock (trade)
#57 Luke Urquhart
#67 River Stevens (father/son)
Rookie Draft
Nil players
Admittedly there's a huge element of "it's too soon to judge" with the 2024 cohort, but outside of FOS I think it's fair to say that this draft class doesn't look super exciting. Payne can't get a game, Teakle has proven himself a very limited battler, and Urquhart/Stevens both struggle with any form of consistency at the VFL level. Whitlock is, unfortunately for him, always going to be held to a super high standard because of the nature of the trade that resulted in us taking him. The signs are positive at the VFL level for a second round tall prospect... but he could have been a top 3~ first round draft pick instead and those are huge shoes to fill.
Summary
So in summary, I think we unfortunately have plenty of "pretty poor draftees" since 2020, and overall I think the most generous grade you can objectively give to our drafting in this period would be a C+. At best.
It's a big reason why the club is in the position that it currently finds itself. Instead of having a super strong cohort of 50-150 gamers, we struggle with consistency and talent at these levels outside one or two outlier players.