Round 11 AFL Value Bets

[IDIG]

Team [H2H] [1-39] [40+]

RICH [4.15] [4.50] [17.00]
WB [1.24] [2.25] [2.5]

NM [7.15] [6.75] [26.00]
STK [1.10] [2.4] [1.95]

BRIS [1.61] [2.30] [4.25]
CARL [2.35] [3] [9]

PA [1.21] [2.25] [2.40]
FRE [4.6] [5.5] [17]

ESS [1.88] [2.4] [6.75]
ADE [1.95] [2.6] [7]

HAW [1.44] [2.25] [3.25]
SYD [2.85] [3.5] [12]

WCE [7.15] [6.75] [26]
GEE [1.10] [2.4] [1.95]

MEL [4.4] [4.75] [17]
COLL [1.22] [2.25] [2.5]

Call me crazy but I like Melbourne here.

EDIT: Sorry that's horribly unclear and confusing.

 

[Brenno]

Team [H2H] [1-39] [40+]

RICH [4.15] [4.50] [17.00]
WB [1.24] [2.25] [2.5]

NM [7.15] [6.75] [26.00]
STK [1.10] [2.4] [1.95]

BRIS [1.61] [2.30] [4.25]
CARL [2.35] [3] [9]

PA [1.21] [2.25] [2.40]
FRE [4.6] [5.5] [17]

ESS [1.88] [2.4] [6.75]
ADE [1.95] [2.6] [7]

HAW [1.44] [2.25] [3.25]
SYD [2.85] [3.5] [12]

WCE [7.15] [6.75] [26]
GEE [1.10] [2.4] [1.95]

MEL [4.4] [4.75] [17]
COLL [1.22] [2.25] [2.5]

Call me crazy but I like Melbourne here.


EDIT: Sorry that's horribly unclear and confusing.

i like brisbane, essendon and hawthorne

 

[afl genius]

Your crazy don't mind the Swans vs Hawks odds though

 

[Beamdogg]

Your crazy don't mind the Swans vs Hawks odds though

Swans smashed them this yr up there.

 

[Coach Bombay]

What I am thinking about on my multi:

Brisbane V Carlton 1-39 @ 2.30

West Coast Eagles V Geelong 40+ @ 1.95

Richmond V Western Bulldogs 1-39 @ 2.20

@ 9.94.

Possible chuck in St Kilda 40+ over North which takes the multi to : 19.09

10 or 20 bucks on it. what you guys think?

 

[McCrann]

What I am thinking about on my multi:

Brisbane V Carlton 1-39 @ 2.30

West Coast Eagles V Geelong 40+ @ 1.95

Richmond V Western Bulldogs 1-39 @ 2.20

@ 9.94.

Possible chuck in St Kilda 40+ over North which takes the multi to : 19.09

10 or 20 bucks on it. what you guys think?

We haven't been playing that well for a month - i'd take us 1-39, or even back yourselves slightly and take North (+41.5).

 

[Dr Awkward]

I like Adelaide in the H2H.

 

[IDIG]

Me too actually and i'm an Essendon supporter lol. What about Richmond for Plough's last? (It is his last i think )

 

[adii_7]

essendon wont be first to 25, adelaide first to 25 looks a sure thing (Y)

 

[mike262]

wbd 1-39 is good
essendon over adelaide
and um how is west coast 1-39 lower than the h2h? thats weird

 

[PopShot]

St Kilda 40+ is a lock

 

[True Blue Saint]

I like Adelaide in the H2H.

Likewise.

Considering placing a High/Low score for the round bet.

At this stage I'm thinking Dogs/Fremantle is looking good value @ $28 ...


Thoughts?

 

[The Sultan]

if you want to add some value to your multi put in melb under 49.5 @ 4.75, dees have been playing ok footy and may lift for the queens birthday/jack watts, never know.

I have a lucky long shot multi consiting of

Queensland @ 1.50
St-kilda over 39.5 @ 1.9
Essendon over 15.5 @ 2.45
Geelong over 39.5 @ 1.9
Melbourne under 49.5 @ 4.75
Westbulldogs @ 1.22
plus 10% tab multi bonus
$5 @ 84.56 to collect $422.80

 

[2121]

multi of the week
dogs H2H
Port 40 +
Lions 1-39
Geelong 40+
Crows H2H
Hawks H2H
26.02 with out the 10 percent bonus.
wack a 20 on that and you'll be laughing.

 

[Dr Awkward]

multi of the week
dogs H2H
Port 40 +
Lions 1-39
Geelong 40+
Crows H2H
Hawks H2H
26.02 with out the 10 percent bonus.
wack a 20 on that and you'll be laughing.

I actually agree with every one of those... but nah.

 

[2121]

I actually agree with every one of those... but nah.

I'll be taking 20 on it mate with the extra 10 percent making it 28.62 for a collect of 572.40 =D good luck punters.

 

[tarky]

I'll be taking 20 on it mate with the extra 10 percent making it 28.62 for a collect of 572.40 =D good luck punters.

ditch the port 40+ leg

 

[rryall]

For all those who have an interst in seeking out "value bets" check out the rmit sport stats website http://www.rmit.edu.au/sportstats and follow the links to AFL predictions.

 

[BillyBoy18]

For all those who have an interst in seeking out "value bets" check out the rmit sport stats website http://www.rmit.edu.au/sportstats and follow the links to AFL predictions.

Does anyone understand what they mean here with the predictions???
http://user.gs.rmit.edu.au/sport/AFL.predictions.html

 

[rryall]

Does anyone understand what they mean here with the predictions???
http://user.gs.rmit.edu.au/sport/AFL.predictions.html

Probability1: Probability of team 1 winning (Probability of team 2 winning is 100-Probability1)

Line1: Estimated point margin of team 1 (estimated point margin of team 2 is Line1*(-1).

Hope that helps.

 

[Notorious_29]

What I am thinking about on my multi:

Brisbane V Carlton 1-39 @ 2.30

West Coast Eagles V Geelong 40+ @ 1.95

Richmond V Western Bulldogs 1-39 @ 2.20

@ 9.94.

Possible chuck in St Kilda 40+ over North which takes the multi to : 19.09

10 or 20 bucks on it. what you guys think?

im liking the combo of the first 3, but changing bullodgs by 1-24.

makes the bet @ 15.58.

the tigers will fight hard for a win for wallace.

 

[2121]

ditch the port 40+ leg

Freo have halve there side out
cant see anyone stopping tredrea & ebert is getting into a little form
and with the likes of gray, Westoff, Burgoyne snagging a few i think they should cover the 40 + plus with out mcpharlin, dodd, headland they'll struggle to kick goals.

 

[Notorious_29]

Freo have halve there side out
cant see anyone stopping tredrea & ebert is getting into a little form
and with the likes of gray, Westoff, Burgoyne snagging a few i think they should cover the 40 + plus with out mcpharlin, dodd, headland they'll struggle to kick goals.

yer i tend to stay away from freo with betting. being a freo supporter when they are favourites and should win they lose, when they have nothing to lose every now and then they pull something out of their arses. not saying they will win but with 40 points is very realistic.

 

[Notorious_29]

saints by 40 is looking even better now. with 6-8 north players coming down with gastro. including ziebell, warren, mcintosh, edwards, ross, hale and shannon watt.

 

[IDIG]

Today's bets -

Stk over 39.5 / Bris under 39.5 / PA over 15.5 - $20 @ 6.18
Roo most goals / Fev most goals / Kornes most poss - $5 @ 31

And ill do a h2h one with whatever rugby games are on today for the other $25.