Stats questions

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Rourke

Watching the Numbers
Mar 9, 2006
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They needed a 120 point win to move up, not a 100 point win.
Oi! No arguing with the Live Ladder! Another 42 points (without Essendon scoring) would've made them fourth.

upload_2016-8-9_10-22-33.png
 

frenchfri12

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Oi! No arguing with the Live Ladder! Another 42 points (without Essendon scoring) would've made them fourth.

View attachment 274852
The same s**t ladder that predicts Hawthorn to finish 2nd? And Adelaide and GWS to lose any games for the rest of the year? Hawthorn are either finishing 1st or 5th, there's no middle ground. On that basis, the ladder is complete garbage.

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Rourke

Watching the Numbers
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The same s**t ladder that predicts Hawthorn to finish 2nd? And Adelaide and GWS to lose any games for the rest of the year? Hawthorn are either finishing 1st or 5th, there's no middle ground. On that basis, the ladder is complete garbage.
Yeah, trash talk in the stats forum! Geelong is predicted to get 2.6 wins on average, Adelaide 2.5, Sydney & GWS 2.4. You seem very confident that between them they will win 12 of 12 matches when the odds would say they are between 75% & 95% for each one. Much more likely that a couple of them get dropped along the way, e.g. Sydney or GWS away to North, Adelaide in the Showdown.
 

frenchfri12

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Yeah, trash talk in the stats forum! Geelong is predicted to get 2.6 wins on average, Adelaide 2.5, Sydney & GWS 2.4. You seem very confident that between them they will win 12 of 12 matches when the odds would say they are between 75% & 95% for each one. Much more likely that a couple of them get dropped along the way, e.g. Sydney or GWS away to North, Adelaide in the Showdown.
What is this? Sure, its more likely that one team will lose statistically, but North and Port are garbage and irl its not going to happen.

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Rourke

Watching the Numbers
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What is this? Sure, its more likely that one team will lose statistically, but North and Port are garbage and irl its not going to happen.
I'm glad you put your age in your username so I won't go too hard. You've had three goes and you haven't given us a fact yet, just patent nonsense & schoolyard opinion. This is the stats forum, troll somewhere else.
 
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frenchfri12

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I'm glad you put your age in your username so I won't go too hard. You've had three goes and you haven't given us a fact yet, just patent nonsense & schoolyard opinion. This is the stats forum, troll somewhere else.
Remind me, what exactly is trolling about saying that Hawthorn, Geelong, Sydney, Adelaide and GWS won't lose another game for the rest of the season? Why don't you come back in three weeks when exactly what I typed has happened, and explain it then?

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The Swert

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What were the chances of Hawthorn losing to Melbourne? 0% according to frenchfri12.

Upsets happen. Nobody is 'sure' to win any games for the rest of the year.
 

Rourke

Watching the Numbers
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FWIW, The Squiggle has exactly the same order of the top 15 as the Live Ladder with the same number of wins for every team. Along with a beautiful visualisation showing that 5th is not a mode for Hawthorn:
l1KFgo0.jpg
 

frenchfri12

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FWIW, The Squiggle has exactly the same order of the top 15 as the Live Ladder with the same number of wins for every team. Along with a beautiful visualisation showing that 5th is not a mode for Hawthorn:

And ... I said 'mode' where? Can you read?

Also, nice work desperately trying to avoid my question. How is predicting results trolling? I guess its not, so you can run on back to primary school again tomorrow instead of skipping it to troll on the internet.
 

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red+black

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First things first.

GEEL d. ESS 100-34 (66pt win)
GEEL 1869/1363 = 137.12 < GWS 140.18

If GEEL d. ESS 142-34 (108pt win)
GEEL 1911/1363 = 140.21 > GWS 140.18

Re the Live Ladder, I doubt Sydney, Adelaide and GWS will all lose 1 of their last 3 games.

And I don't really understand that squiggle thing.
 

35Daicos

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bump for an answer to get this thread back on track.
This post was in Stats Observations (May 27, 2012). I'm not certain but presume it hasn't happened since the 2012 game:-

From Footystats

The Western Bulldogs-Gold Coast match played in Darwin on Saturday night provided the rare occurrence where neither club had a multiple goalkicker for the match – Bulldogs 9, Suns 4.

Last time this happened (according to the Footystats records) was in 1999, when the Port Adelaide 4.8 v Richmond 3.12 match, contained seven single goalkickers.

It was the first time this had occurred in a League match since Round 22, 1981 — when Collingwood 4.9 v Fitzroy 8.11 match, saw 12 single goalkickers.

The record is 15 — the Essendon 8.13 v Fitzroy 7.8 match of Round 15, 1908 contained 15 single goalkickers.

https://www.bigfooty.com/forum/threads/stats-observations.982508/page-70#post-24348138
 

Bulldog Joe

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This post was in Stats Observations (May 27, 2012). I'm not certain but presume it hasn't happened since the 2012 game:-

From Footystats

The Western Bulldogs-Gold Coast match played in Darwin on Saturday night provided the rare occurrence where neither club had a multiple goalkicker for the match – Bulldogs 9, Suns 4.

Last time this happened (according to the Footystats records) was in 1999, when the Port Adelaide 4.8 v Richmond 3.12 match, contained seven single goalkickers.

It was the first time this had occurred in a League match since Round 22, 1981 — when Collingwood 4.9 v Fitzroy 8.11 match, saw 12 single goalkickers.

The record is 15 — the Essendon 8.13 v Fitzroy 7.8 match of Round 15, 1908 contained 15 single goalkickers.

https://www.bigfooty.com/forum/threads/stats-observations.982508/page-70#post-24348138
So the Western Bulldogs North Melbourne game is a new record for the most goals without a multiple goalkicker.
 

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