The 6 Rounds Until the Second Bye

[SHill Shall]

OK - we're 5-3 and have 4 home games of 6 until the second Bye. Two are against arguably better form opposition.

What's the pass mark? Remember we have a tricky home stretch of 8 games.

I'd be very happy with 4 from 6, but I'm feeling like we may only snag 3. Either 5 or 6 and we're back on as top four contenders.

 

[BananaOnTheRun]

pass mark for me is three. i figure that we need to win at least 4 games per block between byes to make finals. with our current list, any more will be a bonus.

 

[Rob]

Realistically 2 are gimmes, and we'll be favourites in another 2. So on that basis, any less than 4 wins is a fail mark.

And TBH, Melbourne and Hawthorn are both winnable games. The former in particular.

 

[Seppo]

I'll put my nuts on the line and say we will win 5 out of the 6*
Rnd 10 Vs Saints = win
Rnd 11 Vs Hawthorn = loss
Rnd 12 Vs Essendon = win
Rnd 13 Vs Melbourne = win
Rnd 14 Vs Bye = win
Rnd 15 Vs Bye = win
Bye

*providing no more crucial players injured

 

[Reginald Perrin]

I'm going to 5 of the 6 games and will back us in to win all 5, although Essendon will be tough, even at home. I won't be at the Hawthorn game, and I think that's a game we're likely to lose.

Same disclaimer as Seppo.

 

[im_a_lazy_sod]

5/6 - even 6/6 is very do-able

We are still a quality outfit with or without Sandilands as our midfield is a lot stronger and bigger-bodied than last year, plus in 2010 we didn't really have any backup for 211 other than a WIP 19/20 yo ruckman plus a couple players who did alright in the hit-outs

Now we have big Griff who will nowhere near be as good as 211 but he's worked with him and Spider burton at training so at least he'll have some idea of what to do

3/6 would be bearable just - but i'd want at least 4/6 to really give us hope for the last leg of the H&A season when we will start to see some more best 22 players return

 

[theGav56]

3 is the pass mark, but who wants that? Minimum I am happy with is 4.

 

[Higs]

Unfortunately it looks like we won't be getting players back until the Qld teams and with such a hefty chunk of the side out including our most important asset Sandi we'll be struggling for the next month.

Rnd 10 Vs Saints = win
Rnd 11 Vs Hawthorn = loss
Rnd 12 Vs Essendon = loss
Rnd 13 Vs Melbourne = loss
Rnd 14 Vs Qld1 = win
Rnd 15 Vs Qld2 = win
Bye

I'm hoping for 4 or 5 but I think our injuries will be catching up to us

 

[Nickos66]

I'll put my nuts on the line and say we will win 5 out of the 6*
Rnd 10 Vs Saints = win
Rnd 11 Vs Hawthorn = loss
Rnd 12 Vs Essendon = win
Rnd 13 Vs Melbourne = Loss
Rnd 14 Vs Bye = win
Rnd 15 Vs Bye = win
Bye

*providing no more crucial players injured

I think 4 is reasonable, 3 is likely & Melbourne will be tough for us purely because it's at the G and this monkey is proving to be more of a King Kong than a chimp right now.

 

[sumavich]

I think we can beat Saints, Melbourne, the Queenslanders, and possibly the Bombers.
4 out of 6 !!

 

[malpaso]

The Essendon game will be interesting. J.Watson is due back in that game I believe and he's critical to them. Can't imagine he'd be good to run the game out at Paterson's after the layoff he'll have had. They aren't as polished on the rebound with Dempsey and Winderlich out as well.

I'd be happy with 4 out of the next 6 games, hopeful of 5 given that we are due to get out of our hoodoo at the G.

 

[docker_champ29]

Would be happy to go 3 and 3 while we get a few players back then hopefully blaze the rest of the season. Wouldn't be surprised if we won 4 or 5 though.

Looking forward to a lot of fresh players and some intense tackling pressure come the last 8 or so rounds and hopefully Finals.

 

[prattsta]

I remember sitting down and doing this exercise before the Richmond game...

 

[Reginald Perrin]

I remember sitting down and doing this exercise before the Richmond game...

Kegals?

 

[prattsta]

Kegals?

I have no freaking idea what exercise that is, nor am I game to Google it while I'm at work.

Seriously though, Richmond - Win, West Coast - Win, Port Adelaide - Win, etc.

 

[Mad props Freo]

Ok I'm gonna rant a little. This thread is bollocks.

I wrote a post a lil while ago basically underlining that no longer should Fremantle accept mediocrity. 6/6 is a pass mark. Anything less is unacceptable. I understand injuries suck and all, but on the day it's anyone's game. They are all professional athletes.

Never accept, or worse, predict a loss. Every game is winnable. You both start at 0.

Carn Dockers. 6 of 6 and storm home. 2011 is the year of the Docker


Edit: as is every year.

 

[im_a_lazy_sod]

I love your optimism mad props

No reason we can't win 6/6 games if we turn our pressure/tackling game ala 2010

Sure they are challenges, but we ever want to have any chance at all at a flag we need to win regardless of injuries because our depth should just be that good (which imho i think it is - it's all in their heads)

 

[Clay Davis]

Don't know, don't care. Insipid efforts like 2nd quarter of the West Coast game or the 4th quarter of the Richmond game must not happen.

 

[Freo4life]

I honestly think trying to predict wins is an exercise in futility. I think Port were penciling in the Suns game and us the richmond and WC games. I think at best we can speculate on the number of wins, but not necessarily the games in which they will come. Don't get me wrong though, if we don't win the Suns and Lions games and other games against weaker opposition we will be in trouble. But we could smash the next few games, have our better players sore/out of form/returning from injury and lose the next 3 or 4. Unfortunately we don't play Port every second week and we will get a better look at where we are at after the Saints game

 

[sabre_ac]

Rnd 10 Vs Saints = win (If we drop this game wheels may come of short term)
Rnd 11 Vs Hawthorn = win (Based on winning saints game)
Rnd 12 Vs Essendon = Loss (Ruck Division worries me, pray Sandi is back)
Rnd 13 Vs Melbourne = win (I'll be furious if we drop this one)
Rnd 14 Vs Bye = win

Barlow, Sandi and Suban(?) all back after the bye, you' think we'd be 7-5th and its time to rock and or roll.

 

[rgauci]

The response to this thread is rubbish. Sandilands is our most influential player by far and someone we can rely on to win his position nearly 100% of the time.

Sandilands dominance is underrated. Griffin though good isn't anywhere near as effective. He won't take pack marks. He won't have the most clearances on the field. He won't bash and crash into opposition midfielders and make them regret attacking the loose ball.

If our whole squad was fit minus Sandilands we might be able to cover for his absence. I'd be happy if we could win 3-4 of the next 6. I think the most likely outcome is 2 wins. It's realism not pessimism.

 

[Outshined]

I'd be happy if we could win 3-4 of the next 6. I think the most likely outcome is 2 wins. It's realism not pessimism.

Agree with this. People are letting the Port game cloud their judgement, that was a training run more than anything. Just watch the last quarter of the Richmond game or pretty much the whole derby to see where we are at atm. Today and Essendon are no certainties, Melbourne at the G wont be easy and Brissy with Johnathon Brown back aren't going to be pushovers anymore. I'd say 4 wins out of 6 would be a seriously good result, especially considering the first month will be without Sandi. Odds are people saying that they are expecting 6/6 are going to be suicidal come the break.

 

[Nickos66]

So yeh, people still think 6 from 6 is reasonable? Does anyone think this thread holds any merit at all on the back of today's game?

 

[imperial_oz]

So yeh, people still think 6 from 6 is reasonable? Does anyone think this thread holds any merit at all on the back of today's game?

Never believed this thread from the get go. Based on today and the lack of response to existing problems that have been evident all season, I be pleasantly surprised if we have a win in the next three weeks. In fact, I'd rate both the Brisbane and GC games as decidedly iffy based on today.

Those guys are completely shot and god knows if Harvey has any idea how to deal with it. He certainly hasn't addressed these issues all year.

Maybe losing Chris Scott was a bigger issue than it appeared. Perhaps we can steal Scotty Watters from Collingwood.

 

[SHill Shall]

Rnd 10 Vs Saints = win (If we drop this game wheels may come of short term)
quote]

Err .... can we have that bit about the wheels again?!!

Looking like 2 from 6 at best right now. But a week's a long time in ........