The NBA 2010/11 Thread

[Bic]

Minny +8
Minny ML
Orlando -11

 

[Cruiser23]

Sixers just couldn't cover, another 1 point loss.

 

[xamol]

Ok Denver and Houston, we need some defense

 

[Cruiser23]

Do you dare consider Detroit tomorrow at +13 against the Lakers. I've sworn off Detroit games but this seems overly large. Detroit seem to be getting useful lines and continue to cover. They will again today making it 7 of their last 9 games. It's probably not a great matchup for them with the inside scoring the Lakers have, but they're doing a fairly good job today against Millsap and Jefferson.

 

[IDIG]

Detroit ML against the Lakeshow

It's tough to bet on or against LA these days. It's just too painful..because the day you decide to bet against them is the day they'll show up..so no play for me.

 

[awesome wells]

sweet. just need nuggets to bring it home now

 

[xamol]

Denver will cap a nice multi

But the unders are buggered

 

[puntnut]

FFS Houston..

 

[IDIG]

Is that a push in Denver? I can't remember if it was 7 or 7.5...or 6.5 for that matter. Nice turnaround nonetheless.

 

[N1k0s287]

Denver unders lost by 0.5...............................

 

[awesome wells]

NO-Phily Undr 188.5
Jazz-Pistons Ovr 192.5
Nuggets
Celts
Magic -10.5
Heat -9.5

only put on 5 bucks, so the payout is 95$.. not bad

 

[xamol]

Denver will cap a nice multi

But the unders are buggered

and missed it by .5

 

[Cruiser23]

GTFO...

Seriously, ANOTHER 0.5 loss, i'm sick of this. Another 2 losses today for a combined 1.5 points, i'm about to lose my mind.

 

[IDIG]

GTFO...

Seriously, ANOTHER 0.5 loss, i'm sick of this. Another 2 losses today for a combined 1.5 points, i'm about to lose my mind.

I feel ya man. I was on the Utah/Jefferson incident the other day...i was fukken ropable after that. 80% ft shooter, airballs the first, then bricks the 2nd...yeah right

 

[Cruiser23]

5/1

ATS : 40 - 37 - 4 (-3.01 Units)
O/U : 26 - 12 - 1 (+33.25 Units)
H2H : 1 - 2 - 0 (-2.13 Units)
H2H Margin: 0 - 1 - 0 (-0.50 Units)
Player T/H2H : 2 - 4 - 0 (-6.30 Units)
Multi : 8 - 5 - 0 (+14.11 Units)
Quarters Lines : 32 - 18 - 2 (+28.30 Units)
Quarter Totals: 2 - 2 - 0 (+0.41 Units)
Half Lines: 15 - 9 - 0 (+12.67 Units)
Half Totals 0 - 0 - 0 (0.00 Units)
Line/OU: 1 - 0 - 0 (+5.20 Units)
Team Totals : 1 - 1 - 0 (-0.71 Units)
Other : 1 - 2 - 0 (+3.50 Units)

YTD : 129 - 93 - 7 (+90.36 Units)

4.5 Units San Antonio into Chicago @ $1.91 (Centrebet) LOSS (-4.5 Units)
3.5 Units Miami/Milwaukee Under 183.5 @ $1.91 (Sportingbet) LOSS (-3.5 Units)
3.5 Units Detroit/Lakers Under 195.5 @ $1.91 (Sportingbet) WIN (+3.19 Units)
3 Units Chicago/Toronto Under 199.5 @ $1.91 (Sportingbet) LOSS (-3 Units)
2 Units Miami -8.5 over Milwaukee @ $1.91 (Sportingbet) WIN (+1.82 Units)

Daily Total - -5.99

 

[Cruiser23]

I feel ya man. I was on the Utah/Jefferson incident the other day...i was fukken ropable after that. 80% ft shooter, airballs the first, then bricks the 2nd...yeah right

I've lost track at the amount of 0.5/1 point losses over the past week or so for me but it would be close to every loss i've picked up of late, something around the last 6 of 8.

This sport isn't for the faint hearted.

 

[IDIG]

I've lost track at the amount of 0.5/1 point losses over the past week or so for me but it would be close to every loss i've picked up of late, something around the last 6 of 8.

This sport isn't for the faint hearted.

You can say that...or for those with anger issues haha

 

[Hodges]

Another good day today, tailed a couple of Cruisers bets (namely Miami -9.5 and unders, NOLA unders and Orlando overs). Orlando the only bet to lose for the day, also picked up on a couple of multis. Bout +8 units on the day, happy with that.

Unlucky with the 0.5 point losses, nothing worse in this sport. Sometimes the bookies get it bang on, very frustrating when they do.

 

[mdc]

GTFO...

Seriously, ANOTHER 0.5 loss, i'm sick of this. Another 2 losses today for a combined 1.5 points, i'm about to lose my mind.

Surely considering you've gone 129-93 this year you'd be a bit calmer about the marginal losses. Especially given Denver covered by half a point today as well.


Really like over-208 on Knicks/Spurs tomorrow. Spurs have no-one who can guard Amare (will use Duncan/Splitter/Jefferson/McDyess on rotation), and Knicks have no-one who can guard anybody. Spurs top 10 for pace, no.1 for offensive efficiency; Knicks no.2 for pace, no.7 for efficiency. Unless Spurs crush them early, this is easy money.

 

[Barnzy]

Golden state vs Orlando in play 3 units over 203.5 @ 1.80. LOSS

3 units denver -6.5 @ 1.80. WIN

3 units inplay Celtics -1.5 @ 1.90 WIN

Total Outlay: 9 units
Total Profit/Loss: +2.1 units
Total Return: 11.1

Not bad. GSW struggled to score in the last quarter and killed the overs. Seems Orlando managed to shut them down while scoring themselves. Need to watch more matches, would help with in-play bets.

 

[Cruiser23]

Surely considering you've gone 129-93 this year you'd be a bit calmer about the marginal losses. Especially given Denver covered by half a point today as well.

Actually didn't get on Denver and marginal losses i can live with if they aren't daily occurrences like they've been lately.

 

[xamol]

Can someone tell me what it means when betting ML.

Say like Denver ML.

Explain it to me like I'm a 5 year old.

 

[Cruiser23]

Can someone tell me what it means when betting ML.

Say like Denver ML.

Explain it to me like I'm a 5 year old.

It means the Moneyline, basically, it's a straight out win.

 

[Cruiser23]

Thoughts on tomorrow games...

San Antonio 1st Half over New York & San Antonio -5 over New York - Spurs should be too good here, especially early and i don't think Boston the day after will affect them. Knicks lose Danilo which means they have to tweak their starting lineup and gives them even less off the bench. Knicks aren't fast starters, think the Spurs can continue their great form and their bench should easily account for the Knicks'. Pop knows the Spurs have to get better defensive and they've been doing a great job lately limiting teams to just 82 points in their last 4 games. I'm sure Pop wasn't happy with their performance against the Magic so he's enforced the defence. If the Spurs continue their defence they showed against the Thunder, they will cover easy. I'm thinking i'm steering away from the total because of the fact the Spurs' new found play. Knicks run and Amare has been a capable of dominating the Spurs averaging 32 in his last 3 but Duncan emphasised they have to control the pace of the game which may indicate a slower gamer. I would probably lean Unders here, depends how high the line gets but with the Spurs capable of scoring at will and Knicks normally play no defense, it may fly over.

Miami/Milwaukee Under 183.5 & Miami -8.5 over Milwaukee - Unders just seem too easy here, a line that started at 184.5, already dropping points indicates this. Miami found their defence against today and will carry that over against an offensively handicapped team in Milwaukee. Bucks can play defence themselves and continually produce Unders even when the mark is around 179. Without Jennings their is no consistent scoring and the Heat will smother them. Also the Bucks play Miami a couple of days after at home so it they may not be all over this game. I'm wary of the Heat struggling to cover at home, 5 - 12 ATS but when the Bucks get behind they don't have the offence to catch up. With Jennings out, their 3 losses have been by 26, 15 and 13. Don't see them keeping this too close. There may be another hearthbreaker either way though as the total doesn't leave a lot of wiggle room with the 10 points. Thinking a score of around 95 - 80.

Chicago 1st Quarter over Toronto, Chicago/Toronto Under 198.5 & Chicago -7.5 over Toronto - I'm really confused at this drop in line for Chicago, maybe they hadn't factored in Bargnani, not sure but i'm happy because i think the Bulls dominate here. Toronto may get their scorer back but players coming back from injury normally struggle in their first game back, especially shooters. I think the Bulls defence will strangle the struggling Raptors offense and the Bulls will let Boozer kill the Raptors as he did a few weeks ago. Bulls dominated early in that match up, were up 20+ at the half and their starters hardly played with Rose only scoring 6 points. Raptors didn't have Andrea but i don't think he'll be much of a factor early as he gets back into the swing of things. Plus he's going to have to get used to DeRozan as he's being playing very well lately, how do they work together? Slight worry i have with the Bulls covering is they seem to fall into slumps during games and teams can get back. Reason i kind of like the Unders is the Bulls should be able to control the Raptors scoring but fall into a small hole during the game scoring wise. Bulls keep teams to low scores at home and i don't think this will be a fast paced game as the Raptors will play into Rose's hands if they try to run. Also Raptors have a much more winnable game the day after against Cleveland.

Detroit +13 against LA Lakers & LA Lakers/Detroit Under 194 - Bookies must expect a bounce back here by the Lakers, not overly sure about that as Detroit actually have played badly of late cover 7 of their last 9. This is a big line just a team that is struggling, afraid to play it though as i just don't really trust Detroit. What i do trust is this game being a defensive struggle. Lakers have been criticised for lack of effort, reckon they come out and put on a good defensive performance. The Unders are 12 - 5 when the Lakers play a team with a losing record whilst the Unders are 11 - 5 when the Pistons play a winning team. I trust the Pistons will hit a the wall at some point like they always do and this one stays under the total.

San Antonio -5 over New York
Miami/Milwaukee Under 183.5
Chicago/Toronto Under 198.5
Chicago 1st Quarter over Toronto
Chicago -7.5 over Toronto
Detroit/LA Lakers Under 194

 

[Barnzy]

Like that bet, Spurs cover there IMO. Losing Gallinari hurts the Knicks. He's not a big star but he's a decent player at the very least and they give their starters huge minutes (he gets 34 MPG). Bench doesn't get much action and it's not very good as you said. Even with him playing I still think Spurs win by more than 5.

Will add that now as I think the line will move closer towards 6 (better not go other way ).

4 units SA Spurs -5 @ 1.90.
3 units OKC -2 @ 1.86
3 units ATL Hawks -4.5 @ 1.83
3 units Spurs +1.5/Heat -2.5/Bulls -1.0 @ 2.17
3 units Portland +5.5 @ 1.76
3 units Bulls vs Raptors under 202 @ 1.74
1 unit Heat/Bulls/Spurs/OKC/ATL/Lakers @ 5.82
1 unit Heat -2.5/Bulls -1.0/Portland +11.5/Heat vs Bucks under 190/Bulls vs Raptors under 207/OKC vs Memphis over 192 @ 6.20