Third Test - Chennai

[WCE2000]

I did a bit of research on 4th Innings chases in India. Here are the results i found:

Victory chasing more than 150 runs:
1. West Indies 5/276 chasing 276 - 1987/88 at Delhi v India
2. India 8/256 chasing 254 - 1964/65 at Mumbai v Australia
3. England 4/208 chasing 207 - 1972/73 at Delhi v India
4. Australia 2/195 chasing 194 - 1997/98 at Bangalore v India
5. West Indies 4/192 chasing 192 - 1966/67 at Mumbai v India
6. India 3/190 chasing 190 - 2000/01 at Delhi v Zimbabwe
7. India 3/181 chasing 181 - 1969/70 at Delhi v Australia
8. South Africa 6/164 chasing 153 - 1999/2000 at Mumbai v India
9. India 2/151 chasing 151 - 1995/96 at Bangalore v India

Loss chasing less than 200 runs:
1. South Africa 105 chasing 170 - 1996/97 at Ahmedabad v India
2. New Zealand 127 chasing 188 - 1969/70 at Mumbai v India
3. England 163 chasing 192 - 1972/73 at Calcutta

So India have never lossed chasing under 200, and they've only one once chasing more 200 in India.

So, if we can get our lead to more than 200 we should win based on the history. If we can't get to our lead to 200 than they will probably win. But records are made to broken.

I still think Australia will win with a lead of 150.

------------------
Join the big footy tipping competition at Footy Tips
Join the BigFooty Cricket Cup
visit the Easts Cricket Club
The ulitimate statistics reference

 

[joshhem]

i don't think so!

 

[WCE2000]

oh well, ill eat my words if i'm wrong.

but i've seen many many many MANY teams falter chasing targets similar to what Australia will set.

------------------
Join the big footy tipping competition at Footy Tips
Join the BigFooty Cricket Cup
visit the Easts Cricket Club
The ulitimate statistics reference

 

[Darky]

India to win, four wickets down... tops!

 

[jod23]

I say a draw!

 

[BMD]

India to win, 2 wickets down.

 

[WCE2000]

Australia all out for 264 - lead by 154.
This will be a perfect score to see whether my prdiection was right or wrong.

Anyway, India will be the 10th team ever to win chasing over 150 in India.
Australia will be the 4th team ever to win defending under 200 in India.

------------------
Join the big footy tipping competition at Footy Tips
Join the BigFooty Cricket Cup
visit the Easts Cricket Club
The ulitimate statistics reference

 

[dees01]

Doesn't sound to good but Come on Aussie Come on.

 

[ant]

Das out, caught and bowled McGrath, 1/18.

 

[WCE2000]

1/23 at lunch.

Very evenly poised at lunchtime. The next 1/2 hour will determine this match.

------------------
Join the big footy tipping competition at Footy Tips
Join the BigFooty Cricket Cup
visit the Easts Cricket Club
The ulitimate statistics reference