top 4 a real possibility...

[Mike_blues]

with the dogs getting thumped and hopefully beaten by the eagles today
we are only 1 game and % out with a win against melbourne and port imo almost certain. a home final almost certain for us now if we beat port next week
GO BLUES!

 

[juddsentant517]

you absolute ripper
if essendon beat brisbane do we go to 6th?

 

[jonoman89]

We'd have to win all 3 to be a chance at top 4.

My biggest aim at the moment is to get a home final.

 

[Warsaw]

Day couldn't go any better ATM.
You'd still expect Dogs to win but if WC can somehow come away with this, and if Hawks can lose and Adelaide beat Collingwood. Then we're giving ourselves a mighty good shot.
Oh and Essendon need to beat Brisbane.

Big asks but all still a chance.

 

[Stig O'Hara]

you absolute ripper
if essendon beat brisbane do we go to 6th?

West Coast are turning into our bestest buddies atm.
Kennedy is braining them - 3 goals.

If Essendon, and Collingwood win (best case scenario) - we go to 5th.

 

[juddsentant517]

West Coast are turning into our bestest buddies atm.
Kennedy is braining them - 3 goals.

If Essendon, and Collingwood win (best case scenario) - we go to 5th.

so i have to cheer for essendon and collingwood
damn
i guess ill do anything for the blue boys!

 

[blue_ball]

West Coast are turning into our bestest buddies atm.
Kennedy is braining them - 3 goals.

If Essendon, and Collingwood win (best case scenario) - we go to 5th.

In the end we need to win all games full stop, not worry about other results too much til round 22....

 

[Audrey_Horne]

West Coast winners
Loving them sick at the moment.

 

[Beagle_Charlie]

Huge chance now.

If we win our last 3 we are almost certainies.

We want Adelaide to win tonight though

 

[HARV3Y]

so i have to cheer for essendon and collingwood
damn
i guess ill do anything for the blue boys!

I feel dirty just saying this but I'll be cheering for both of them tonight

 

[Banga19]

Something like a home final v Port would be very nice, give us a chance to win and have a crack at a losing top 4 team

 

[celtic_pride]

Sadly we've left our run too late ... IMHO.

 

[zeeCFC]

i wouldn't say left it late. simply lost 'winnable' games along the way.

i just can't believe after so long we are realistically contemplating a top 4 finish again.

ahh, im off to go stare into the distance

 

[blues4flag]

Would probably prefer Essendon lose. They lose tonight and Port get up over Freo and the final 8 is set. Would love to play either Brisbane or Port at home week 1 of finals.

 

[Funkalicous]

Looks like all the results this week are all working in our favour.

We're catching up to the teams ahead of us and burning off the teams behind us.

 

[Banga19]

Would probably prefer Essendon lose. They lose tonight and Port get up over Freo and the final 8 is set. Would love to play either Brisbane or Port at home week 1 of finals.

Even if we played either away, I'd give us a good chance.

 

[Little Jerry]

Wow, i just did the afl ladder predictor and i have you guys finishing 4th and making a preliminary final facing Geelong. Although this does all rely on Essendon beating Brisbane tonight.

 

[iRemember87]

Footy is a strange game.

Calculations for top 4;

We are 1 game out of 3rd before the Crows v Collingwood game.

Lets say the Crows win, its means 3rd, 4th & 5th are on 48 points and we are on 44 points. Need to also take into account Brisbane vs Essendon, that game is hard to tip, its in Melbourne and the Lions haven't beat anybody of good quality and Essendon have been good this year. Its a real toss of the coin, but lets give the game to the Lions.

So we will have this
3rd Dogs 48
4th Pies 48
5th Crows 48
6th Lions 48
7th Blues 44

Over the next 3 weeks i expect the following;
Dogs 1 win 4 points
Pies - 2 wins 8 points
Crows - 2 wins 8 points
Lions - 2 wins 8 points
Blues - 3 wins 12 points

So the ladder as i expect will look like this
3rd - 6th decided by percentage
Pies 56
Crows 56
Lions 56
Blues 56
7th Dogs 52

Right now our percentage is better than the Lions and less than 1% worse than the Crows. Lets not forget we still have a percentage booster game against Melbourne left, the other teams just have winable games not really percentage boosters, so we could easily jump to 4th ahead of the Lions and Crows.

However in saying this, it could all be a lot easier if the Dons beat the Lions in round 18 tomorrow and if the Pies beat the Crows tonight in round 18 as it would leave Carlton, Lions and Crows all on 44 points, and our percentage would be higher so we would finish the round at 5th, and i expect to win the next 3 which means we would finish 4th on points.

There is a lot that needs to happen and a couple of games fall our way, but its a possibility based a results so far. Just imagine what could have been is we had beaten Essendon (rd 3) Hawks and Freo (GC) all games we should have won.

So if we finish 4th we would get the Saints round 1.

 

[Tanks_Alot]

Our BEST case is finish 5th and play the Power at home. We'd thump em and kick start our finals campaign.

 

[BlueTouchPaper]

Sadly we've left our run too late ... IMHO.

Funny, last week your 'realism' had you debating the merits of Carlton making the 8, this week, that's all forgotten, but we should now forget about making the 4.

But yes, the run is too late - Even if Adelaide win tonight other results would have to be rediculously favourable. If they lose, our RD22 clash could well see us leap frog them, but not into the 4.

 

[Jeremias]

We want Adelaide to win tonight though

You'd be one of the only Carlton supporters to cheer Adelaide on tonight.

We want Collingwood to win and win by plenty.

If that happens we'll be 5th.

If Adelaide wins it makes it much harder for us to catch up.

 

[iRemember87]

You'd be one of the only Carlton supporters to cheer Adelaide on tonight.

We want Collingwood to win and win by plenty.

If that happens we'll be 5th.

If Adelaide wins it makes it much harder for us to catch up.

Did we ever think we would barrack for Carlton, Collingwood and Essendon in one round

 

[jj1978]

At the moment.... anything above 6th is a must... most likely Brisbane, Adelaide and Port Adelaide will be in the lower part of the 8th and 5th/6th would give us at least a home final if we face one of those 3. Of course top 4 would most likely be a home final (playing a fellow VIC side), and a second chance with a loss giving us a home final the following week.

I think we'll be finishing 6th which gives us a real chance!

 

[Warsaw]

Adelaide play Hawthorn next week, here in Melbourne.
So would rather Adelaide win tonight, and then Hawks to beat them next week. In a perfect world.

 

[iRemember87]

Adelaide play Hawthorn next week, here in Melbourne.
So would rather Adelaide win tonight, and then Hawks to beat them next week. In a perfect world.

would be Collingwood to lose the next 4 and drop out of the top 4