Mathematics never lies. Essendon can make the finals and give Hirdy & Sheeds a finals sendoff!!
Brisbane must do no better than draw against Geelong, and they've already had 2 for the year, but a loss with Geelong on the rebound is the most likely outcome.
Freo also must do no better than draw against Port- at AAMI. Given Freo's road record and Port's current form, we are ON here.
St Kilda can have a draw with Richmond. We would most likely have to pass their percentage anyway, but a loss to Richmond would take that uncertainty out. And look who Richmond beat last week!!
Now it gets a bit tricky.
Collingwood will need to beat Adelaide by 151 pts
Essendon will need to beat West Coast by 202 pts to pass Adelaide's percentage, while passing St Kilda's on the way. For every 3 points less than 151 that Adelaide lose by, Essendon would need to win by 4 more, ie 147 pts Adel loss, 206 pts Ess win.
That would see the top 8
That would see 5th vs 8th Elimination Final at the 'G' Collingwood vs Essendon!! Actually there are some other scenarios that can see Coll finishing 5th if Hawks lose, and then Kangas win by a big margin. 80 pts should do it
Should I book the tickets now?
*disclaimer - not my own work
Brisbane must do no better than draw against Geelong, and they've already had 2 for the year, but a loss with Geelong on the rebound is the most likely outcome.
Freo also must do no better than draw against Port- at AAMI. Given Freo's road record and Port's current form, we are ON here.
St Kilda can have a draw with Richmond. We would most likely have to pass their percentage anyway, but a loss to Richmond would take that uncertainty out. And look who Richmond beat last week!!
Now it gets a bit tricky.
Collingwood will need to beat Adelaide by 151 pts
Essendon will need to beat West Coast by 202 pts to pass Adelaide's percentage, while passing St Kilda's on the way. For every 3 points less than 151 that Adelaide lose by, Essendon would need to win by 4 more, ie 147 pts Adel loss, 206 pts Ess win.
That would see the top 8
Code:
Geelong 72
Port 60
West Coast 56
Hawks 56 (after beating Syd)
Coll 56
Kangas 52 (after losing to Bulldogs)
Sydney 46 (as above)
Ess 44 (just pipping Adel on % as discussed)
That would see 5th vs 8th Elimination Final at the 'G' Collingwood vs Essendon!! Actually there are some other scenarios that can see Coll finishing 5th if Hawks lose, and then Kangas win by a big margin. 80 pts should do it
Should I book the tickets now?
*disclaimer - not my own work





