Janus
Advocatus Diaboli
- Sep 9, 2007
- 23,374
- 57,192
- AFL Club
- Port Adelaide
- Other Teams
- Dallas Cowboys, Chicago Bulls
* off Roby. It's Adelaide's home game, so you pick Adelaide who is ranked higher. You don't get to pick and choose.
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Can you explain why you have your 7th placed team [Port] beating your 4th placed team [Crows] that start with a huge home advantage and port still have one [at best] of their premier midfielders missing?
Thanks Roby.
Inb4 Ollie Wines out makes Port a better team.
I rarely bet on footy & don't follow systems or the like, just follow my nose & there is no way I would take $1.88 about the Suns, esp with their outs against what is an injured but increasingly settled Lions side.
There has been mistakes in your major bets the last 2 weeks Roby, sure this isn't another one?
Ahhh... Port are in better form. That makes sense then. I just wish there was some kind of ranking of teams on current form.They're playing on the same home ground, it's not a HUGE HOME ADVANTAGE.
Crows outs are more substantially more significant.
Port are in better form (even if they were very lucky in both their last two games and should be 0-4).
How are your tips out of 39 with 36 games? You have a typo monster.PR Tips for round 5*
Pies
Cats
Dogs
Suns
Hawks
Eagles
Freo
Dons
Port
- The Power Rankings care little that the Bulldogs are playing the Swans in Sydney, they think they are too good right now and they should take the chocolates.
- You shouldn't expect hidings this week unless your team is Brisbane or North Melbourne.
- Port Adelaide is tipped to beat the Crows by a solitary goal now provided that Robbie Gray does actually start in the showdown.
- Cats started favourites but the ommision of Mitch Clark may have put the Tigers as favourite. With Lonergan back Geelong should be still favourite.
2015 Tip Tally: 26/39
*the power rankings reserve the right to change tips based on late outs.
Betting tips for round 5
Game|Beans|Odds|Line|Staked Team|Bookie\Gold Coast v Brisbane | 1400 | 1.88 | WIN |Gold Coast | Sportsbet
\Sydney v Western Bulldogs |900 | 1.92 | +34.5 | Western Bulldogs | Luxbet
\North Melbourne v Hawthorn |480 | 1.91| -20.5 |Hawthorn | Centrebet
How are your tips out of 39 with 36 games? You have a typo monster.
They're playing on the same home ground, it's not a HUGE HOME ADVANTAGE.
Crows outs are more substantially more significant.
Port are in better form (even if they were very lucky in both their last two games and should be 0-4).
You've dropped a lot of beans on the dogs. Your upset tip rate is about 50% this season, but you've tipped 2 this week and it's likely that it'll be about 30% after this round. And you never responded to my post, the one that I followed up after you derided my sure tip last round (based off of model predictions) when yours was marginally worse (based off of subjective nonsense).Not this week and hopefully never again.
They're playing on the same home ground, it's not a HUGE HOME ADVANTAGE.
Crows outs are more substantially more significant.
Port are in better form (even if they were very lucky in both their last two games and should be 0-4).
Let's hope there is a late out for Port because I personally think the Crows will win!
Final Siren already covered this - yeah he's got egg on his face, but if you put a team up high enough for long enough you'll eventually get it right.So what you're saying - and I'm trying not to laugh here - is that if Port wins, it will only be because the Crows are missing guys like Brad Crouch, Andy Otten and James Podsiadly? Meaning that no matter what, the Crows will stay 3rd in your pissant rankings while Port will probably drop thanks to whatever bullshit reason you come up with?
You just can't admit you stuffed up ranking the Crows so high based on a lucky 2012 season, and it's going to make you look ******* stupid.
If your model is actually tipping the Dogs, why aren't you placing faith in the model and placing your beans on the HTH market and taking the Dogs as outright winners at the juicy odds of 5.50??
You've dropped a lot of beans on the dogs. Your upset tip rate is about 50% this season, but you've tipped 2 this week and it's likely that it'll be about 30% after this round. And you never responded to my post, the one that I followed up after you derided my sure tip last round (based off of model predictions) when yours was marginally worse (based off of subjective nonsense).
Are you sure it's 50%, do you have the stats? I haven't checked.
Now the Suns are not favourite! So that means three upsets that the rankings are tipping, could be more with Port Adelaide and/or Eagles (expected to win by 1 point) with a late out.
Stay tuned.
p.s With a possible introduction of Milestone Modifier and Dane Swan out, the PR might even have picked the Blues this week!
Don't be silly. The inertia from the Crows 2012 season is keeping them up in the same way the inertia from the Bulldogs 2012-14 seasons is weighing them down.You just can't admit you stuffed up ranking the Crows so high based on a lucky 2012 season, and it's going to make you look ******* stupid.
Yes, I'd say that original bets stand plus new bets. Will calculate later when not using phone.Bit late to go changing your tips. You can't do any of that nonsense if you're running a betting shop.
Bit late to go changing your tips. You can't do any of that nonsense if you're running a betting shop.
Twice today, once yesterday. Even changed it an hour before the match.I have full confidence in Roby and if I were a customer of his cash for footy tips service would have no problem putting my money down yesterday only to have Roby them change them at the last minute tonight.