Chris25
Moderator
- Oct 30, 2007
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- #1
Enjoy the draft. Feel free to ask any questions you may have.
Round 1
1. GWS - Lachie Whitfield (184cm midfielder - Dandenong)
Whitfield has been considered the obvious #1 pick all season now, and it's pretty easy to see why - so much of what he does could already be classified elite amongst AFL players. His foot skills, off either leg, are exceptional and he always seems to make the right decision with ball in hand too. He also has a really unique combination of speed and endurance, so he will run all day long. Lachie has played all over the ground this season, spending a lot of time up forward and across half back. But he is a midfielder. All year, I've said he will likely cop unfair criticism for his inside game and some people have already started. But his inside game really isn't that bad. Yes, he isn't going to crash into packs and knock the ball out like some players. But there is more than one way to get a clearance, and he uses his smarts and positioning to get his. I think he is like Ablett in that regard. So I would have very few (if any) concerns about taking him at #1, the only reason he wouldn't go here would be if GWS really wanted a ruckman instead and weren't able to get another early pick in a trade. AFL Comparison: Gary Ablett.
2. GWS - Brodie Grundy (202cm ruckman - Sturt)
Grundy is without a doubt my favourite ruckman to come through the draft in quite some time. You can't compare him to Naitanui because they are so different, but I would rate him well above Kreuzer. He is a much stronger and physically imposing player on the field, and like all modern ruckmen, he becomes a midfielder the moment the ball hits the ground. Maybe most importantly, is the fact that he is a very good tap ruckman. It's not like he just some athletic big guy or a 110kg monster. Throw in the ability to go forward and take really strong contested marks, and I have no doubts he'll be a multiple time All Australian ruckman by the end of his career. And as for his debut season, he'd be capable of playing the majority of the season and seriously challenge for the Rising Star - a year playing against men in the SANFL has prepared him for early action. AFL Comparison: Dean Cox.
3. GWS - Jake Stringer (191cm forward - Bendigo)
I suppose nobody has been talked about more than Jake Stringer this year. Everyone seems to like him and want him to do well, but then everyone seems to that niggling feeling in the back of the head that is too much of a risk. Coming off the injuy he had, it's a credit to him that he is even back playing this year. The kid was not only playing but starring in the TAC Cup as a 16 year old. His first three games in the TAC Cup this year were quite remarkable - 10.6 from 23 disposals, 4.6 from 20 disposals and 0.3 from 31 disposals. To perform like that so early should tell you all you need to know about him as a person. He was managed slightly through the middle of the year, but ended up making his VFL debut and looked really good both up forward and in the middle. There are questions over whether he has returned to full fitness and if he has his acceleration back. I would say he is nearing full fitness, and provided there are no setbacks, should be back and ready by preseason. There were times in his VFL games, when you could swear you were looking at pre-injury Stringer. I tend to think he'll start primarily up forward, where he knows how to use his body and natural strength to almost perfection. And will slowly begin to move into the midfield rotations, and he should be back to dominating the midfield in no time. AFL Comparison: Matthew Pavlich.
4. Melbourne - Jimmy Toumpas (183cm midfielder - Woodville)
In terms of the South Australian midfield, Toumpas is the pick of the bunch and should be the second midfielder taken after Whitfield. A stand out performance in the SANFL finals series last year really announced Toumpas to the AFL world and he has continued from there. He is a very different player to Chad Wingard who was the first South Australian picked last year, but Jimmy is just as good in my eyes. Like Grundy, significant game time in the SANFL seniors has prepared him for AFL football and he'll be able to play Round 1 next year - and more than likely, he'll perform better than a lot of his teammates straight away. He is a genuine ball winning midfielder, and not only that, but he makes every disposal count. Playing through injury this year for SA, he was still named All Australian in the U18 Championships and really showed his natural skills and leadership in a game playing across half back. Oh, and did I mention he can go forward too? AFL Comparison: Jimmy Bartel.
5. Western Bulldogs - Sam Mayes (187cm midfielder - North Adelaide)
A lot was expected of Sam Mayes this year, and personally I think he has more than delivered. Some people have questioned his game on the basis that he isn't winning 20+ touches a game and being named BOG each week. But he is playing senior football for North Adelaide, and has been more than holding his own. That's more important than dominating against players your own age in my opinion. And his recent form in the SANFL finals will only help his standing. Last year, he played largely as a half forward - and while that role has continued this year, he has also spent a lot of time further up the ground. And that's where he will play at the next level. I see him as a really hard working and quick winger, in the Ryan Griffen mould. He has excellent endurance and speed, and arguably the best foot skills in the draft. Playing as a forward has also seen him develop his marking game to a really high level. Mayes is just a natural player, and is pure class. AFL Comparison: Ryan Griffen.
6. Western Bulldogs - Lachlan Plowman (191cm defender - Calder)
Along with Stringer, Lachie Plowman is probably on the more interesting players to watch in the first round. At the end of last season, he had well and truly set himself up to be the first defender taken in the draft. But then he suffered a serious elbow injury which saw him miss the U18 Championships this year, which of course means a lot of people would not have seen him play at all. But when he has played this year, he has been nothing short of excellent - named in the bests for Calder in each game he played. So despite the limited showings, I don't think it will hurt his standing. Teams will already know what he offers. He is a big strong kid at 191cm and 86kg, and I see no reason he couldn't come in next season and play as that third tall from the start. Despite his size, he really does move like a midfielder so he'd definitely add to the rebounding game of whatever team takes him. Eventually, I think he'll develop into a proper KPD taking on the best forwards. But in his debut season at least, he'd be that Ryan Hargave type defender. AFL Comparison: Chad Cornes.
7. Port Adelaide - Josh Simpson (183cm midfielder - East Fremantle)
If I had to take a guess, I would imagine that Josh Simpson is probably going to be the player that divides opinion the most this year. Coming into the season Simpson was one of my absolute favourites, and personally his move to WA has done nothing to dampen my expectations. He missed the start of the season with injury, but quickly returned to his best form with a number of strong performances for WA in the U18 Championships - including BOG in his return game. Admittedly, he hasn't had a dominant year in the WAFL Colts. But like a few players, I get the impression he is just waiting for next year and that is often the case in 'big game' players like Simpson. Last year he played mostly in the forward line, but he is a midfielder now and a good one at that. He has excellent speed and foot skills, I think he is perhaps the most natural footballer in the draft. Everything he does just looks right. The more I watch of Simpson, the less and less likely I believe it is he will slip. He is clearly a top 10 pick on talent, and I would find it difficult to pass on him after the top 5. AFL Comparison: Daniel Wells.
8. Brisbane - Troy Menzel (186cm midfielder - Central Districts)
By now, everyone knows about Troy Menzel and his knees. And it is those knees which will effectively decide where he gets picked on draft day. Because fully fit, he would be a top 5 selection without a second thought. He is arguably one of the most talented players on offer, both up forward and in the midfield. He showed what he could do up forward in the first two weeks of the U18 Championships, when he kicked 15 goals in two of the best games the Championships have seen. And he continued that form back in the SANFL, being a regular goal scorer for Central Districts in the league side. His kicking is absolutely top notch, as is general feel of the game. I tend to think he will largely be a forward at AFL level, but one who can have stints in the midfield. He'll play a similar level to Steve Johnson and Alan Didak, and who wouldn't take them in the first round? He can turn a game in a matter of minutes. But the issue is of course his body. He was hampered by a groin injury in the middle of the season, and obviously has his knee history. Personally, I'm not too concerned about the LARS surgery. Troy says it has been holding up well, so who am I judge considering I'm not a surgeon. The minor setback a few weeks ago may well stop some teams from taking him, but he'll be a bargain pick for a finals team. AFL Comparison: Steve Johnson.
9. Richmond - Oliver Wines (185cm midfielder - Bendigo)
I've been a fan of Oliver Wines for some time now. I remember seeing him live right at the start of the season, and it was impossible to not be impressed by him - even on the sidelines, I could hear him hitting the packs. And that is exactly what you get with Wines. He has really good endurance, which means he is always around the ball and inevitably at the bottom of each pack. I would probably rate Wines as the best clearance and contested ball player in the draft - ahead of Viney. He also has a strong set of hands, so isn't limited to just playing that one role. However I think his foot skills could see him drop closer to the 10-15 range. Don't get me wrong, his kicking is not bad at all. He'd probably be around the middle of the pack in terms of AFL players, he can just be a little inconsistent and can get under the ball a bit. I think he has been overrated a tad in terms of overall ability, he is more just a classic footballer and you know what you'll get from him each week. Might not win you games, but he'll do all the other stuff. AFL Comparison: Jordan Lewis.
10. Essendon - Joe Daniher (201cm forward - Calder)
Sorry Essendon fans, but you're not going to get a big write up from me on Joe Daniher. Everyone has known he will be a F/S pick, so to be honest I haven't really paid him as much attention as others. It's just seemed kind of pointless. While I might not have him the clear cut #1 pick, he is obviously a bargain pick for Essendon.
11. Carlton - Kristian Jaksch (194cm forward - Oakleigh)
Whoever decided to move Kristian Jaksch forward this year really deserves a lot of credit. If it wasn't for that move, then the tall forward stocks at the top of the draft would have looked really quite thin. As a defender, I had Jaksch going second/third round. He probably would have been about #5 on my list. But now as a forward, he is a legitimate first round pick and depending on team needs, could even be taken ahead of Mason Shaw. Despite his size, he isn't the strongest player going around. But that shouldn't be a big issue, because it's his work on the lead which is really impressive. He has a really good initial burst, which gives him a break on his opponent. Maybe that time spent down back has helped him as a forward. He is very strong overhead (both in terms of marking and spoiling), but can also be somewhat inconsistent with his marking - however he does generally seem to bring down the mark, even if it needs two grabs. Jaksch has still spent time down back since the Championships, so he will be able to play either role at the next level. But I'd be developing him as a forward, and only moving him back if it didn't work out. AFL Comparison: Nathan Bock.
12. GWS - Nick Vlastuin (187cm midfielder - Northern Knights)
Nick Vlastuin is an interesting prospect this year, he almost seems to be the forgotten man. At the start of the year he was very highly regarded, including as a possible top 5 pick. But it seems that people have just gone cold on him, and I don't know why. It can't be based on performances, because he has been excellent this year - All Australian in the U18 Championships, TAC Cup Team of the Year and generally just starring in every game he's played. Perhaps it's because he played largely off of half back for Vic Metro as opposed to the midfield, so people have stuck the tag of 'medium defender' on him? He isn't the most athletic player going around, but he offers so much. He is exceptionally strong and always hits the packs hard, he wins his own ball and brings his teammates into the game. Even in close, he is always clean with his hands and has a nice kick on him too. I'd be pretty confident in saying that he will captain whatever team drafts him, and he is the type of player who could really set the tone of a club on the field. AFL Comparison: Luke Hodge.
13. Gold Coast - Taylor Garner (186cm forward - Dandenong)
No doubting that Taylor Garner is one of the real surprise packets of this years draft, coming from a long way back to be considered a first round prospect. And while he might not be thought about as a top 10 pick, I'd be giving it a lot of thought. His performance in week three of the Championships against WA was probably the best performance of any player during the entire month in my opinion - and it was the culmination of his early season form. He just did everything you could possibly ask for. He took strong marks up forward, kicked goals and handed them off to teammates too. And then in the midfield, he won his own contested ball and used the ball really well. And he then ended up playing the rest of the Championships with a severely damaged shoulder, which he has since had reconstructed. Which says a lot about his attitude and determination. There aren't a lot of players with his size and overhead marking ability, who are also good in the contested situations. He does all the hard team stuff, but also the freakish things too. The possible rewards of picking Garner are huge in my opinion, he looks to be one of those modern day footballers. AFL Comparison: Nathan Fyfe.
14. GWS - Jackson Macrae (188cm midfielder - Oakleigh)
Without a doubt, Jackson Macrae is the flavour of the month at the moment. And he is well and truly deserving of such a title. His recent form has been excellent, and has obviously played a starring role in the TAC Cup finals series. His early season was inconsistent, but you could really see the signs of him getting ready to break out - and he did so in the Championships for Vic Metro, where he played as a really offensive minded winger. He won plenty of ball, and went forward to good effect. He is the perfect size for such a role, and has all the necessary traits - his agility would be elite amongst AFL players. He isn't the fastest straight line runner, but he just has that ability to dance around tacklers and get away from the packs. In regards to his kicking, it's hard to argue with his results this year but I'll be interested to see how it holds up to the increased speed of AFL. He can tend to loop the ball up in the air a bit, and while he is a long kick he may need to work on his penetration a little. But I've been saying for a month now to watch out for him in the top 10, and I think he'll be a good player. AFL Comparison: Farren Ray.
15. North Melbourne - Ben Kennedy (174cm midfielder - Glenelg)
I think most people would remember Ben Kennedy as the 17 year old who was nearly picked by the Crows last year, before they decided to go with Crouch instead. And nothing has really changed, he was deserving of a pick last year and he is deserving of a first round pick this year. Unfortunately, he has had a bit of an interrupted year this season. He started the year off with an injury, and with the U18 Championships, he has only managed the 10 games in the SANFL this season. But playing for SA, he absolutely dominated and won All Australian honours for the second year running. There has also been lots of talk around Kennedy and his (lack of) height, but who really cares? When you can win your own ball in the centre, link up on the outside, deliver the ball with real skill and kick goals, then it gets to a stage where you're willing to overlook something. And Kennedy does all those things are more. I think he'll be ready to go from Round 1 next year, likely starting in a forward pocket before making the move into the middle. In terms of previous first round 'short people', I'd rate Kennedy higher than both Dion Prestia and Devon Smith. AFL Comparison: Brent Harvey.
16. Geelong - Jonathan O'Rourke (183cm midfielder - Calder)
Jonathan O'Rourke is a really interesting prospect this year. Some people are talking him up as a top 5 pick, but I must say I just don't see it. Hence, this lower rating than what be considered normal. But his performances this year have been very good. O'Rourke missed a fair chunk of last year with injury issues, and he still has quite a bit of size to hopefully put on, but that hasn't stopped him this year. In his first game of the Championships, he was quiet and wasn't able to get involved much. But he showed why he is highly rated against SA. He is a very smart player and very impressive around the clearances. With quick hands, he can fire the ball out to his receivers. And he has a clean kick to go along with that. As for my 'concerns', I can't really put my finger on it. I guess I'm just not conviced as to what role he'll play at the next level up. If you hadn't seen him play before, you'd be forgiven for thinking he was more of an outside player because he doesn't look like your typical inside midfielder. And that might be my problem. He just doesn't seem to have the natural strength of say Jimmy Toumpas, so despite being the same size there looks to be a big difference between the two. AFL Comparison: David Mundy.
17. Fremantle - Mason Shaw (197cm forward - South Fremantle)
In my mind, Mason Shaw is the best key forward in the draft. This was obvious last year, and nothing has changed since then. He is an excellent mark, and just has that ability to really straighten a team up from the goal square. It's worth nothing that he will never be a 20+ disposal a game winner, but he doesn't need to be. He can kick 5 goals from just 10 touches. In fact, in his return game from a broken jaw this year, he kicked 8.4 from 12 disposals. And what more can you ask for from a full forward? Like many tall forwards, he can be a bit hot and cold but even on an off day he still generally bobs up for a couple of goals. He has copped some criticism this year for his performances, but in terms of statistics, his season has been just as good as last year. At times it has looked like he has just been waiting for the draft, but he is a big game player - as seen by his performances in the WAFL grand finals these last two years. To have kicked as many goals as he has in a year when he is just waiting to be drafted is a credit to him. If Shaw were a Victorian, than I'm sure TAC Cup Future Stars would have him as a top 10 pick as opposed to missing the first round. AFL Comparison: Josh Kennedy.
18. Collingwood - Nathan Hrovat (174cm midfielder - Northern Knights)
If there is one player that I'm struggling with the most, it would be Hrovat. The ball magnet from Vic Metro, I initially had Hrovat as a mid round option and while I should probably have him higher after his performances this year, I just can’t do it. Hrovat does win a lot of ball, and can do it himself or link up on the outside. But sometimes it seems as though his touches aren't as damaging as others – which I think will be key when it comes to his draft position. But having said that in the Championships, he was Metro's key clearance player and he delivered inside 50 well too. And he has since continued on with that solid form. So really, I can't criticise his performances this year at all. Some people have him as a first round pick, and purely on what he has produced this year that seems warranted. It's just the hurt factor that I would mark him down on, but I'm always rating flashy players ahead of the hard workers. And while he is on the short side that shouldn't count against him considering the recent trend of shorter players getting an opportunity, he also has a relatively strong body. AFL Comparison: Tom Liberatore.
19. Collingwood - Tom Clurey (193cm defender - Murray)
In terms of key defenders, Tom Clurey might well be my favourite prospect. He hasn't been the best performing defender by any means, but there is just that something there. Something that suggests he'll be a very good AFL defender. I thought he had a good U18 Championships for Vic Country, he wasn't a standout but he did his job. He played on the tall forwards each week, and was not only one out on the goal line but he also played further up the ground at CHB. And when he was given the opportunity to rebound, he generally set the play up with his kicking. Clurey is already a nice size for a defender, just has a little bit more muscle to put on. But he is a real leader in the back lines, and has the endurance to stay out on the ground all day while still matching it with his opponent. Sometimes you watch a player, and just think he would be the perfect fit for a certain team - and Clurey just seems like a typical Sydney KPP. And that is a compliment. AFL Comparison: Ted Richards.
20. Adelaide - Tim O'Brien (194cm forward - Glenelg)
O'Brien was my smokey out of South Australia coming into the season, as he had only played three games in the SANFL U18s last year - primarily as a back up ruckman. But he came down permanently from the country this year, and he did so with some big wraps on him in the SA U18 circles - he went straight into the SANFL Academy and the SA U18 team for the Championships. After playing largely as a ruckman for West Gambier, O'Brien has played at both ends of the ground this year - I initially thought he would play as a KPD but he went forward and had obvious success for SA in the Championships. He is a strong mark, and is excellent when the ball is on the ground for a tall forward. Not many players his height could even touch him in terms of athleticism. His ruckwork is quite good too, thanks to having quite a big leap. But I doubt ruckwork will factor in much when it comes to an AFL career. Look for him to be a late first round pick on draft day. AFL Comparison: Jarrad Waite.
21. Collingwood - Spencer White (194cm forward - Western Jets)
At the start of the year, I had White as one of my top KPFs to watch. That was based largely on potential rather than performances at the time, but as the year has gone on he has started to perform more consistently and I feel as though my initial rating was justified. Unfortunately for White, he had a quiet start to the season which saw him miss selection for Vic Metro in the U18 Championships. That was no doubt a big blow, but he has come back extremely well from that and kicked 30 goals in his last 10 TAC Cup games - that fact saw him upgraded from the State Screening to Draft Combine. And at the Combine, he definitely stood up and showed what he can do. He admittedly still has a long way to go, particularly needs to focus on what he does when he isn't kicking for goal because often he can go missing. But he is a big strong target up forward, is very good in the air and is an accurate shot on goal. What he offers that few others do though, is the athleticism to go with the size. He is a good runner and has an excellent leap. Give him the time, and I think he could be one of the better KPFs from this draft. AFL Comparison: Taylor Walker.
22. Western Bulldogs - Sam Colquhoun (179cm defender - Central Districts)
I chose Colquhoun as my 'one to watch' prior to the Championships, and he hasn't disappointed. In the lead up to the Championships, I had him around the third round mark but his performances for South Australia should see him go a lot higher than that. Where exactly is anyone's guess though. Straight after the Championships, the general consensus was top 15 but since then he has seemingly dropped way down the order - even down to the third round according to some. And I think the reason for this is because they haven't seen his late season SANFL form. In the Championships, he did play a purely attacking role across half back (and did so very well). But since then, he has proved that he is just as capable a defender both across half back and in the midfield. So any notion that he only works one way is wrong in my opinion. In terms of skills, Colquhoun would be one of the most dependable players in the draft - he just rarely makes a mistake, and always seems to pick the right option. I think he compares very well to Brad McKenzie from last year, who of course went in the first round. AFL Comparison: Heath Shaw.
23. Sydney - Nathan Wright (183cm midfielder - Dandenong)
I had Wright rated quite highly coming into the season, unfortunately he has had a few injury problems. But all that means, is that he is now one of the most underrated players in the draft. The good news though is that he is back now and showed some solid form in the Championships. So far he has tended to play more off of half back and he uses his run and dash to attack going forward. He can play defensive roles on the opposition forwards, but he is typically used in a more offensive role purely because of the impact he can have. But I also think he could make the move into the midfield, and be a good inside player. While he isn't going to be throwing himself head first into every pack, he is a more physical player than he is given credit for. He tackles really well, and has clean hands in the contest. And is just a tidy player all round. I think he has every right to be discussed as a first round pick. AFL Comparison: Corey Enright.
24. Brisbane - Tanner Smith (194cm defender - North Ballarat)
This has been a real development year for Tanner Smith. I think he is one of the better genuine key defenders in the draft. Typically is a bit of no fuss player. He sticks to his man all day, and doesn't give him a lot of room to move. On the lead, he doesn't get beaten very often as he has very good closing speed and just seems to have that ability to get a fist in there right when he needs to. He did have a few struggles against the really tall forwards like Shaw and Grundy in the Championships, but as he develops and gets stronger, I don't think he'll have too many issues there. He might not offer as much in terms of a rebounding game as others, but he is actually a fairly decent kick. So it's not going to be a case of avoiding him at all costs. But for a quality shut down player, you'd be willing to give something up. But when I say this has been a development year for Smith, it's because he has played a few different roles. He has done his usual job down back, but has also been moved forward and has done surprisingly well. That just adds versatility to his game, and should also help him improve as a defender. AFL Comparison: Chris Tarrant.
Round 1
1. GWS - Lachie Whitfield (184cm midfielder - Dandenong)
Whitfield has been considered the obvious #1 pick all season now, and it's pretty easy to see why - so much of what he does could already be classified elite amongst AFL players. His foot skills, off either leg, are exceptional and he always seems to make the right decision with ball in hand too. He also has a really unique combination of speed and endurance, so he will run all day long. Lachie has played all over the ground this season, spending a lot of time up forward and across half back. But he is a midfielder. All year, I've said he will likely cop unfair criticism for his inside game and some people have already started. But his inside game really isn't that bad. Yes, he isn't going to crash into packs and knock the ball out like some players. But there is more than one way to get a clearance, and he uses his smarts and positioning to get his. I think he is like Ablett in that regard. So I would have very few (if any) concerns about taking him at #1, the only reason he wouldn't go here would be if GWS really wanted a ruckman instead and weren't able to get another early pick in a trade. AFL Comparison: Gary Ablett.
2. GWS - Brodie Grundy (202cm ruckman - Sturt)
Grundy is without a doubt my favourite ruckman to come through the draft in quite some time. You can't compare him to Naitanui because they are so different, but I would rate him well above Kreuzer. He is a much stronger and physically imposing player on the field, and like all modern ruckmen, he becomes a midfielder the moment the ball hits the ground. Maybe most importantly, is the fact that he is a very good tap ruckman. It's not like he just some athletic big guy or a 110kg monster. Throw in the ability to go forward and take really strong contested marks, and I have no doubts he'll be a multiple time All Australian ruckman by the end of his career. And as for his debut season, he'd be capable of playing the majority of the season and seriously challenge for the Rising Star - a year playing against men in the SANFL has prepared him for early action. AFL Comparison: Dean Cox.
3. GWS - Jake Stringer (191cm forward - Bendigo)
I suppose nobody has been talked about more than Jake Stringer this year. Everyone seems to like him and want him to do well, but then everyone seems to that niggling feeling in the back of the head that is too much of a risk. Coming off the injuy he had, it's a credit to him that he is even back playing this year. The kid was not only playing but starring in the TAC Cup as a 16 year old. His first three games in the TAC Cup this year were quite remarkable - 10.6 from 23 disposals, 4.6 from 20 disposals and 0.3 from 31 disposals. To perform like that so early should tell you all you need to know about him as a person. He was managed slightly through the middle of the year, but ended up making his VFL debut and looked really good both up forward and in the middle. There are questions over whether he has returned to full fitness and if he has his acceleration back. I would say he is nearing full fitness, and provided there are no setbacks, should be back and ready by preseason. There were times in his VFL games, when you could swear you were looking at pre-injury Stringer. I tend to think he'll start primarily up forward, where he knows how to use his body and natural strength to almost perfection. And will slowly begin to move into the midfield rotations, and he should be back to dominating the midfield in no time. AFL Comparison: Matthew Pavlich.
4. Melbourne - Jimmy Toumpas (183cm midfielder - Woodville)
In terms of the South Australian midfield, Toumpas is the pick of the bunch and should be the second midfielder taken after Whitfield. A stand out performance in the SANFL finals series last year really announced Toumpas to the AFL world and he has continued from there. He is a very different player to Chad Wingard who was the first South Australian picked last year, but Jimmy is just as good in my eyes. Like Grundy, significant game time in the SANFL seniors has prepared him for AFL football and he'll be able to play Round 1 next year - and more than likely, he'll perform better than a lot of his teammates straight away. He is a genuine ball winning midfielder, and not only that, but he makes every disposal count. Playing through injury this year for SA, he was still named All Australian in the U18 Championships and really showed his natural skills and leadership in a game playing across half back. Oh, and did I mention he can go forward too? AFL Comparison: Jimmy Bartel.
5. Western Bulldogs - Sam Mayes (187cm midfielder - North Adelaide)
A lot was expected of Sam Mayes this year, and personally I think he has more than delivered. Some people have questioned his game on the basis that he isn't winning 20+ touches a game and being named BOG each week. But he is playing senior football for North Adelaide, and has been more than holding his own. That's more important than dominating against players your own age in my opinion. And his recent form in the SANFL finals will only help his standing. Last year, he played largely as a half forward - and while that role has continued this year, he has also spent a lot of time further up the ground. And that's where he will play at the next level. I see him as a really hard working and quick winger, in the Ryan Griffen mould. He has excellent endurance and speed, and arguably the best foot skills in the draft. Playing as a forward has also seen him develop his marking game to a really high level. Mayes is just a natural player, and is pure class. AFL Comparison: Ryan Griffen.
6. Western Bulldogs - Lachlan Plowman (191cm defender - Calder)
Along with Stringer, Lachie Plowman is probably on the more interesting players to watch in the first round. At the end of last season, he had well and truly set himself up to be the first defender taken in the draft. But then he suffered a serious elbow injury which saw him miss the U18 Championships this year, which of course means a lot of people would not have seen him play at all. But when he has played this year, he has been nothing short of excellent - named in the bests for Calder in each game he played. So despite the limited showings, I don't think it will hurt his standing. Teams will already know what he offers. He is a big strong kid at 191cm and 86kg, and I see no reason he couldn't come in next season and play as that third tall from the start. Despite his size, he really does move like a midfielder so he'd definitely add to the rebounding game of whatever team takes him. Eventually, I think he'll develop into a proper KPD taking on the best forwards. But in his debut season at least, he'd be that Ryan Hargave type defender. AFL Comparison: Chad Cornes.
7. Port Adelaide - Josh Simpson (183cm midfielder - East Fremantle)
If I had to take a guess, I would imagine that Josh Simpson is probably going to be the player that divides opinion the most this year. Coming into the season Simpson was one of my absolute favourites, and personally his move to WA has done nothing to dampen my expectations. He missed the start of the season with injury, but quickly returned to his best form with a number of strong performances for WA in the U18 Championships - including BOG in his return game. Admittedly, he hasn't had a dominant year in the WAFL Colts. But like a few players, I get the impression he is just waiting for next year and that is often the case in 'big game' players like Simpson. Last year he played mostly in the forward line, but he is a midfielder now and a good one at that. He has excellent speed and foot skills, I think he is perhaps the most natural footballer in the draft. Everything he does just looks right. The more I watch of Simpson, the less and less likely I believe it is he will slip. He is clearly a top 10 pick on talent, and I would find it difficult to pass on him after the top 5. AFL Comparison: Daniel Wells.
8. Brisbane - Troy Menzel (186cm midfielder - Central Districts)
By now, everyone knows about Troy Menzel and his knees. And it is those knees which will effectively decide where he gets picked on draft day. Because fully fit, he would be a top 5 selection without a second thought. He is arguably one of the most talented players on offer, both up forward and in the midfield. He showed what he could do up forward in the first two weeks of the U18 Championships, when he kicked 15 goals in two of the best games the Championships have seen. And he continued that form back in the SANFL, being a regular goal scorer for Central Districts in the league side. His kicking is absolutely top notch, as is general feel of the game. I tend to think he will largely be a forward at AFL level, but one who can have stints in the midfield. He'll play a similar level to Steve Johnson and Alan Didak, and who wouldn't take them in the first round? He can turn a game in a matter of minutes. But the issue is of course his body. He was hampered by a groin injury in the middle of the season, and obviously has his knee history. Personally, I'm not too concerned about the LARS surgery. Troy says it has been holding up well, so who am I judge considering I'm not a surgeon. The minor setback a few weeks ago may well stop some teams from taking him, but he'll be a bargain pick for a finals team. AFL Comparison: Steve Johnson.
9. Richmond - Oliver Wines (185cm midfielder - Bendigo)
I've been a fan of Oliver Wines for some time now. I remember seeing him live right at the start of the season, and it was impossible to not be impressed by him - even on the sidelines, I could hear him hitting the packs. And that is exactly what you get with Wines. He has really good endurance, which means he is always around the ball and inevitably at the bottom of each pack. I would probably rate Wines as the best clearance and contested ball player in the draft - ahead of Viney. He also has a strong set of hands, so isn't limited to just playing that one role. However I think his foot skills could see him drop closer to the 10-15 range. Don't get me wrong, his kicking is not bad at all. He'd probably be around the middle of the pack in terms of AFL players, he can just be a little inconsistent and can get under the ball a bit. I think he has been overrated a tad in terms of overall ability, he is more just a classic footballer and you know what you'll get from him each week. Might not win you games, but he'll do all the other stuff. AFL Comparison: Jordan Lewis.
10. Essendon - Joe Daniher (201cm forward - Calder)
Sorry Essendon fans, but you're not going to get a big write up from me on Joe Daniher. Everyone has known he will be a F/S pick, so to be honest I haven't really paid him as much attention as others. It's just seemed kind of pointless. While I might not have him the clear cut #1 pick, he is obviously a bargain pick for Essendon.
11. Carlton - Kristian Jaksch (194cm forward - Oakleigh)
Whoever decided to move Kristian Jaksch forward this year really deserves a lot of credit. If it wasn't for that move, then the tall forward stocks at the top of the draft would have looked really quite thin. As a defender, I had Jaksch going second/third round. He probably would have been about #5 on my list. But now as a forward, he is a legitimate first round pick and depending on team needs, could even be taken ahead of Mason Shaw. Despite his size, he isn't the strongest player going around. But that shouldn't be a big issue, because it's his work on the lead which is really impressive. He has a really good initial burst, which gives him a break on his opponent. Maybe that time spent down back has helped him as a forward. He is very strong overhead (both in terms of marking and spoiling), but can also be somewhat inconsistent with his marking - however he does generally seem to bring down the mark, even if it needs two grabs. Jaksch has still spent time down back since the Championships, so he will be able to play either role at the next level. But I'd be developing him as a forward, and only moving him back if it didn't work out. AFL Comparison: Nathan Bock.
12. GWS - Nick Vlastuin (187cm midfielder - Northern Knights)
Nick Vlastuin is an interesting prospect this year, he almost seems to be the forgotten man. At the start of the year he was very highly regarded, including as a possible top 5 pick. But it seems that people have just gone cold on him, and I don't know why. It can't be based on performances, because he has been excellent this year - All Australian in the U18 Championships, TAC Cup Team of the Year and generally just starring in every game he's played. Perhaps it's because he played largely off of half back for Vic Metro as opposed to the midfield, so people have stuck the tag of 'medium defender' on him? He isn't the most athletic player going around, but he offers so much. He is exceptionally strong and always hits the packs hard, he wins his own ball and brings his teammates into the game. Even in close, he is always clean with his hands and has a nice kick on him too. I'd be pretty confident in saying that he will captain whatever team drafts him, and he is the type of player who could really set the tone of a club on the field. AFL Comparison: Luke Hodge.
13. Gold Coast - Taylor Garner (186cm forward - Dandenong)
No doubting that Taylor Garner is one of the real surprise packets of this years draft, coming from a long way back to be considered a first round prospect. And while he might not be thought about as a top 10 pick, I'd be giving it a lot of thought. His performance in week three of the Championships against WA was probably the best performance of any player during the entire month in my opinion - and it was the culmination of his early season form. He just did everything you could possibly ask for. He took strong marks up forward, kicked goals and handed them off to teammates too. And then in the midfield, he won his own contested ball and used the ball really well. And he then ended up playing the rest of the Championships with a severely damaged shoulder, which he has since had reconstructed. Which says a lot about his attitude and determination. There aren't a lot of players with his size and overhead marking ability, who are also good in the contested situations. He does all the hard team stuff, but also the freakish things too. The possible rewards of picking Garner are huge in my opinion, he looks to be one of those modern day footballers. AFL Comparison: Nathan Fyfe.
14. GWS - Jackson Macrae (188cm midfielder - Oakleigh)
Without a doubt, Jackson Macrae is the flavour of the month at the moment. And he is well and truly deserving of such a title. His recent form has been excellent, and has obviously played a starring role in the TAC Cup finals series. His early season was inconsistent, but you could really see the signs of him getting ready to break out - and he did so in the Championships for Vic Metro, where he played as a really offensive minded winger. He won plenty of ball, and went forward to good effect. He is the perfect size for such a role, and has all the necessary traits - his agility would be elite amongst AFL players. He isn't the fastest straight line runner, but he just has that ability to dance around tacklers and get away from the packs. In regards to his kicking, it's hard to argue with his results this year but I'll be interested to see how it holds up to the increased speed of AFL. He can tend to loop the ball up in the air a bit, and while he is a long kick he may need to work on his penetration a little. But I've been saying for a month now to watch out for him in the top 10, and I think he'll be a good player. AFL Comparison: Farren Ray.
15. North Melbourne - Ben Kennedy (174cm midfielder - Glenelg)
I think most people would remember Ben Kennedy as the 17 year old who was nearly picked by the Crows last year, before they decided to go with Crouch instead. And nothing has really changed, he was deserving of a pick last year and he is deserving of a first round pick this year. Unfortunately, he has had a bit of an interrupted year this season. He started the year off with an injury, and with the U18 Championships, he has only managed the 10 games in the SANFL this season. But playing for SA, he absolutely dominated and won All Australian honours for the second year running. There has also been lots of talk around Kennedy and his (lack of) height, but who really cares? When you can win your own ball in the centre, link up on the outside, deliver the ball with real skill and kick goals, then it gets to a stage where you're willing to overlook something. And Kennedy does all those things are more. I think he'll be ready to go from Round 1 next year, likely starting in a forward pocket before making the move into the middle. In terms of previous first round 'short people', I'd rate Kennedy higher than both Dion Prestia and Devon Smith. AFL Comparison: Brent Harvey.
16. Geelong - Jonathan O'Rourke (183cm midfielder - Calder)
Jonathan O'Rourke is a really interesting prospect this year. Some people are talking him up as a top 5 pick, but I must say I just don't see it. Hence, this lower rating than what be considered normal. But his performances this year have been very good. O'Rourke missed a fair chunk of last year with injury issues, and he still has quite a bit of size to hopefully put on, but that hasn't stopped him this year. In his first game of the Championships, he was quiet and wasn't able to get involved much. But he showed why he is highly rated against SA. He is a very smart player and very impressive around the clearances. With quick hands, he can fire the ball out to his receivers. And he has a clean kick to go along with that. As for my 'concerns', I can't really put my finger on it. I guess I'm just not conviced as to what role he'll play at the next level up. If you hadn't seen him play before, you'd be forgiven for thinking he was more of an outside player because he doesn't look like your typical inside midfielder. And that might be my problem. He just doesn't seem to have the natural strength of say Jimmy Toumpas, so despite being the same size there looks to be a big difference between the two. AFL Comparison: David Mundy.
17. Fremantle - Mason Shaw (197cm forward - South Fremantle)
In my mind, Mason Shaw is the best key forward in the draft. This was obvious last year, and nothing has changed since then. He is an excellent mark, and just has that ability to really straighten a team up from the goal square. It's worth nothing that he will never be a 20+ disposal a game winner, but he doesn't need to be. He can kick 5 goals from just 10 touches. In fact, in his return game from a broken jaw this year, he kicked 8.4 from 12 disposals. And what more can you ask for from a full forward? Like many tall forwards, he can be a bit hot and cold but even on an off day he still generally bobs up for a couple of goals. He has copped some criticism this year for his performances, but in terms of statistics, his season has been just as good as last year. At times it has looked like he has just been waiting for the draft, but he is a big game player - as seen by his performances in the WAFL grand finals these last two years. To have kicked as many goals as he has in a year when he is just waiting to be drafted is a credit to him. If Shaw were a Victorian, than I'm sure TAC Cup Future Stars would have him as a top 10 pick as opposed to missing the first round. AFL Comparison: Josh Kennedy.
18. Collingwood - Nathan Hrovat (174cm midfielder - Northern Knights)
If there is one player that I'm struggling with the most, it would be Hrovat. The ball magnet from Vic Metro, I initially had Hrovat as a mid round option and while I should probably have him higher after his performances this year, I just can’t do it. Hrovat does win a lot of ball, and can do it himself or link up on the outside. But sometimes it seems as though his touches aren't as damaging as others – which I think will be key when it comes to his draft position. But having said that in the Championships, he was Metro's key clearance player and he delivered inside 50 well too. And he has since continued on with that solid form. So really, I can't criticise his performances this year at all. Some people have him as a first round pick, and purely on what he has produced this year that seems warranted. It's just the hurt factor that I would mark him down on, but I'm always rating flashy players ahead of the hard workers. And while he is on the short side that shouldn't count against him considering the recent trend of shorter players getting an opportunity, he also has a relatively strong body. AFL Comparison: Tom Liberatore.
19. Collingwood - Tom Clurey (193cm defender - Murray)
In terms of key defenders, Tom Clurey might well be my favourite prospect. He hasn't been the best performing defender by any means, but there is just that something there. Something that suggests he'll be a very good AFL defender. I thought he had a good U18 Championships for Vic Country, he wasn't a standout but he did his job. He played on the tall forwards each week, and was not only one out on the goal line but he also played further up the ground at CHB. And when he was given the opportunity to rebound, he generally set the play up with his kicking. Clurey is already a nice size for a defender, just has a little bit more muscle to put on. But he is a real leader in the back lines, and has the endurance to stay out on the ground all day while still matching it with his opponent. Sometimes you watch a player, and just think he would be the perfect fit for a certain team - and Clurey just seems like a typical Sydney KPP. And that is a compliment. AFL Comparison: Ted Richards.
20. Adelaide - Tim O'Brien (194cm forward - Glenelg)
O'Brien was my smokey out of South Australia coming into the season, as he had only played three games in the SANFL U18s last year - primarily as a back up ruckman. But he came down permanently from the country this year, and he did so with some big wraps on him in the SA U18 circles - he went straight into the SANFL Academy and the SA U18 team for the Championships. After playing largely as a ruckman for West Gambier, O'Brien has played at both ends of the ground this year - I initially thought he would play as a KPD but he went forward and had obvious success for SA in the Championships. He is a strong mark, and is excellent when the ball is on the ground for a tall forward. Not many players his height could even touch him in terms of athleticism. His ruckwork is quite good too, thanks to having quite a big leap. But I doubt ruckwork will factor in much when it comes to an AFL career. Look for him to be a late first round pick on draft day. AFL Comparison: Jarrad Waite.
21. Collingwood - Spencer White (194cm forward - Western Jets)
At the start of the year, I had White as one of my top KPFs to watch. That was based largely on potential rather than performances at the time, but as the year has gone on he has started to perform more consistently and I feel as though my initial rating was justified. Unfortunately for White, he had a quiet start to the season which saw him miss selection for Vic Metro in the U18 Championships. That was no doubt a big blow, but he has come back extremely well from that and kicked 30 goals in his last 10 TAC Cup games - that fact saw him upgraded from the State Screening to Draft Combine. And at the Combine, he definitely stood up and showed what he can do. He admittedly still has a long way to go, particularly needs to focus on what he does when he isn't kicking for goal because often he can go missing. But he is a big strong target up forward, is very good in the air and is an accurate shot on goal. What he offers that few others do though, is the athleticism to go with the size. He is a good runner and has an excellent leap. Give him the time, and I think he could be one of the better KPFs from this draft. AFL Comparison: Taylor Walker.
22. Western Bulldogs - Sam Colquhoun (179cm defender - Central Districts)
I chose Colquhoun as my 'one to watch' prior to the Championships, and he hasn't disappointed. In the lead up to the Championships, I had him around the third round mark but his performances for South Australia should see him go a lot higher than that. Where exactly is anyone's guess though. Straight after the Championships, the general consensus was top 15 but since then he has seemingly dropped way down the order - even down to the third round according to some. And I think the reason for this is because they haven't seen his late season SANFL form. In the Championships, he did play a purely attacking role across half back (and did so very well). But since then, he has proved that he is just as capable a defender both across half back and in the midfield. So any notion that he only works one way is wrong in my opinion. In terms of skills, Colquhoun would be one of the most dependable players in the draft - he just rarely makes a mistake, and always seems to pick the right option. I think he compares very well to Brad McKenzie from last year, who of course went in the first round. AFL Comparison: Heath Shaw.
23. Sydney - Nathan Wright (183cm midfielder - Dandenong)
I had Wright rated quite highly coming into the season, unfortunately he has had a few injury problems. But all that means, is that he is now one of the most underrated players in the draft. The good news though is that he is back now and showed some solid form in the Championships. So far he has tended to play more off of half back and he uses his run and dash to attack going forward. He can play defensive roles on the opposition forwards, but he is typically used in a more offensive role purely because of the impact he can have. But I also think he could make the move into the midfield, and be a good inside player. While he isn't going to be throwing himself head first into every pack, he is a more physical player than he is given credit for. He tackles really well, and has clean hands in the contest. And is just a tidy player all round. I think he has every right to be discussed as a first round pick. AFL Comparison: Corey Enright.
24. Brisbane - Tanner Smith (194cm defender - North Ballarat)
This has been a real development year for Tanner Smith. I think he is one of the better genuine key defenders in the draft. Typically is a bit of no fuss player. He sticks to his man all day, and doesn't give him a lot of room to move. On the lead, he doesn't get beaten very often as he has very good closing speed and just seems to have that ability to get a fist in there right when he needs to. He did have a few struggles against the really tall forwards like Shaw and Grundy in the Championships, but as he develops and gets stronger, I don't think he'll have too many issues there. He might not offer as much in terms of a rebounding game as others, but he is actually a fairly decent kick. So it's not going to be a case of avoiding him at all costs. But for a quality shut down player, you'd be willing to give something up. But when I say this has been a development year for Smith, it's because he has played a few different roles. He has done his usual job down back, but has also been moved forward and has done surprisingly well. That just adds versatility to his game, and should also help him improve as a defender. AFL Comparison: Chris Tarrant.