AFL Round 3

[mattys123]

Had a small crack at the pies to get to 15 points first tonight @ 2.10.

Stkilda are coming off a practice match, and are likely to take a while to adjust to a more physical game, as the Pies will want to start well after almost being embarrassed last week.

Also think the pies + 24.5 line isn't a bad bet at 1.60, as if the Pies do start well like I expect, the Saints will do well to win by more then 4 goals.

 

[theburst]

Big backing for the Saints (1.53 -> 1.33)

 

[timmeh]

Only one favourite out of eight that opened up between -12 to -20 spread has covered the line and that was Carlton against Richmond on opening night.

I like the Saints but I'm hesitant because they're coming off a blow out win last week, while the Magpies are coming off a very, very close win against last year's worst team. So, the public would surely see the Saints as a good thing, no? Unless the bookies are giving free chicken dinners to everyone.

 

[RoosterLad]

I'm on the Saints -19.5 tonight.

 

[tarky]

Had a small crack at the pies to get to 15 points first tonight @ 2.10.

Stkilda are coming off a practice match, and are likely to take a while to adjust to a more physical game, as the Pies will want to start well after almost being embarrassed last week.

Also think the pies + 24.5 line isn't a bad bet at 1.60, as if the Pies do start well like I expect, the Saints will do well to win by more then 4 goals.

The saints are always fast starters, i don't think it'll matter that they're coming off a an easy game last round. They're on a mission this year

GL though

 

[adii_7]

can see the pies getting 60-70 points tonight. can also see st kilda breaking 100.

30-50 point win for st k

 

[Dr Awkward]

Had a small crack at the pies to get to 15 points first tonight @ 2.10.

Stkilda are coming off a practice match, and are likely to take a while to adjust to a more physical game, as the Pies will want to start well after almost being embarrassed last week.

Also think the pies + 24.5 line isn't a bad bet at 1.60, as if the Pies do start well like I expect, the Saints will do well to win by more then 4 goals.

Got to say I don't like that bet, St Kilda have the ability to explode out of the blocks.

I havn't found much value this weekend, but am having some small bets on:

St K + Port win @ $2.56
Geelong win @ $1.71
WB + Geelong win @ $2.5

 

[lions_den]

Ottens out now so one more bet for me this week. Syd -15.5/Carl/Fre @3.93.

 

[mattys123]

Got to say I don't like that bet, St Kilda have the ability to explode out of the blocks.

Yeah true, don't know what I was thinking, Collingwood never start well, I mean in the only real time they have turned up this year they kicked 8 goals to 3 against another premiership contender.

What was I thinking? (I know now this will blow up in my face, but Stkilda are over rated for fast starts).

Ottens out makes my Freo bet of the week at +24.5 seem very nice now.

 

[smiddaz123]

More you bet, more you win

$500 of Port Adelaide though....I mean....gutsy.....

 

[KikidadidaK]

st.kilda have just blown out to $1.33

 

[tarky]

More you bet, more you win

or lose....

 

[GoodesStuff]

Biggest bet on the season so far is:
St.Kilda/St. George (NRL) @ 1.51
GL Guys

 

[dUkezz]

ahhhh had 5 on sidebum for first goal @ 68, marked 40 out right infront in the first minute but missed it... coulda been a perfect start to the week.. for the record tonite im on stk-17.5/ total over 178.5

 

[lidzychief]

tab is offering kreuzer at $51-1 for most goals tomorrow night
i think this is extremely good value in a game that is unlikely to have a major goal kicker and kreuzer will get his fair share of time in the square.

i think it would be stupid not to have 10 or so on it

 

[BlazingDon#9]

Collingwood paying 2.50 at the moment...

 

[GoodesStuff]

Biggest bet on the season so far is:
St.Kilda/St. George (NRL) @ 1.51
GL Guys

The Saints win without a forward line and fresh legs. Pies very poor... lucky to get away with it after Riewoldts injury. St. Geroge won with ease as expected.

 

[The Big Woofer]

a very nice start to the weekend, thankyou Saints.

.....onwards & upwards.

 

[stuziman]

tab is offering kreuzer at $51-1 for most goals tomorrow night
i think this is extremely good value in a game that is unlikely to have a major goal kicker and kreuzer will get his fair share of time in the square.

i think it would be stupid not to have 10 or so on it

considering he has not kicked a goal this year id say 51-1 is about right?

 

[GoodesStuff]

A couple more bets to finish off round 3...

Sydney (-39.5) @ 1.92

The swans are in great form, coming close to the Saints round 1 and smashing the crows last week. The same cant be said for the tigers whos season is over already. They are unsetteled with 6 changes as opposed to no changes for the swans. I was at the G last year when I saw the swans beat the tiges by 62 points, and expect a bigger flogging up here in Sydney.

Sydney / Adelaide / Western Bulldogs @ 2.50

The swans win well. Everyone seems to be thinking the dees are a good bet this week. IMO they have very little chance against the crows. The hawks are wounded and coming off a short break without 2 good ruckman. I see the two latter selections as value as I have them both below 1.40.

Thanks Guys, and good luck

 

[adii_7]

considering he has not kicked a goal this year id say 51-1 is about right?

williams 21-1 will take abit of the action

 

[Cuzz09]

Had like $18 left in my account....

Went:

Sydney win @ $1.08 into
Carlton win @ $1.48

$18 @ $1.59 = $28.77 (profit of $10.77 )

(IF) this happens I will probably put the $28 on:

Adelaide (-13.5) @ $1.90 into
Bulldogs (-13.5) @ $1.90 into
Fremantle (+24.5) @ $1.32

$28 @ $4.77 = $133.43 (profit of $105.43)

Total profit of $115.43 and starting to rebuild.

*1 slip up and BANG its over!*

 

[Ron]

Carlton ht/ft double of $1.92 looks pretty good and i've had a fair go at that.

Also taken a bit on total match points under 192.5. Just looks a bit dark outside and there may be a few showers which will limit scoring. Even if it doesn't rain these two teams may find it hard to kick lots of goals.

 

[Cuzz09]

had like $18 left in my account....

Went:

Sydney win @ $1.08 into
carlton win @ $1.48

$18 @ $1.59 = $28.77 (profit of $10.77 )

(if) this happens i will probably put the $28 on:

Adelaide (-13.5) @ $1.90 into
bulldogs (-13.5) @ $1.90 into
fremantle (+24.5) @ $1.32

$28 @ $4.77 = $133.43 (profit of $105.43)

total profit of $115.43 and starting to rebuild.

*1 slip up and bang its over!*

epic fail!!

 

[mike262]

West Coast lose today, essendon win
Should result in good odds for west coast next week

Any odds over 1.50 for WCE i might go large similar to the saints.