RonSon
Brownlow Medallist
- Jun 4, 2009
- 11,072
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-
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Certified Legendary Thread 2015 AFL Power Rankings
- Thread starter Roby
- Start date
- Tagged users None
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Gunstall555
Club Legend
- May 24, 2014
- 2,910
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If you knock out Sydney in the semi final though we'll be grateful!Go Doggies!!!!!! Do it for Roby!!!!!! DO IT FOR THE POWER RANKINGS!!!!!!!!!!!!
*Edit.......That means we'll lose another prelim in the process though
- Jun 27, 2013
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Sydney surprisingly are a finals bunny of ours, can't recall if we've ever lost to them in September (unless it was in the 30s 40s or 50s which I doubt).
The King!
Chosen One
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TheFVK
Norm Smith Medallist
- Mar 21, 2008
- 7,504
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- AFL Club
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I'm a bit disappointed in #ourRoby. A month of bad luck and you've done a ghostie? Carn mate. As an esteemed poster above pointed out, you could still technically be in the black with your long term picks.. it's far from over. Show some stiff upper lip and front up, son... bigfooty needs you
Ochre
Premium Platinum
I don't know what to say Roby.
One day
to the biggest battle of the Power Rankings life
all comes down to this round.
Either
you fix the power rankings
or you are going to crumble.
Bean by bean
bet by bet
till you're finished.
We are in hell right now, Roby
believe me
and
you can stay here
and get the shit kicked out of you
or
you can fight your way
back into the black.
You can climb out of hell.
One bean, at a time.
Now I can't do it for you.
I'm not worthy.
I look around and I see these young posters
and I think
I mean
I made every wrong choice a middle age poster could make.
I uh....
I pissed away all my beans
believe it or not.
I chased off
anyone who has ever ranked me 1rd.
And lately,
I can't even stand the avatar I see in my posts.
You know when you get old in life
things get taken from you.
That's, that's part of life.
But,
you only learn that when you start losing stuff.
You find out that life is just a game of beans.
So is betting.
Because in either game
life or football
the margin for error is so small.
I mean
one incorrect call by the kings
you don't quite win the game.
One small input error
and you don't quite beat the line
The beans we need are everywhere around us.
They are in ever break of the game
every minute, every second.
In this thread, we fight for that bean
In this thread, we tear ourselves, and everyone around us
to pieces for that bean.
We CLAW with our finger nails for that bean.
Cause we know
when we add up all those beans
that's going to make the ****ing difference
between WINNING and LOSING
between LIVING and DYING.
I'll tell you this
in any fight
it is the guy who is willing to die
who is going to win that bean.
And I know
if I am going to have any life anymore
it is because, I am still willing to fight, and die for that bean
because that is what LIVING is.
The bean right in front of your face.
Now I can't make you do it.
You gotta look at the poster above you.
Look into his avatar.
Now I think you are going to see a guy who will go get that bean with you.
You are going to see a guy
who will sacrifice himself for this thread
because he knows when it comes down to it,
you are gonna do the same thing for him.
That's a power ranking, Roby
and either we heal now, as a thread,
or we will die as individual posters.
That's Roby's Power Rankings guys.
That's all it is.
Now, whattaya gonna do?
God damn it Roby, you have 3900 beans left. It's not over. Not yet.
One more round of bets.
Finish what you started.
One day
to the biggest battle of the Power Rankings life
all comes down to this round.
Either
you fix the power rankings
or you are going to crumble.
Bean by bean
bet by bet
till you're finished.
We are in hell right now, Roby
believe me
and
you can stay here
and get the shit kicked out of you
or
you can fight your way
back into the black.
You can climb out of hell.
One bean, at a time.
Now I can't do it for you.
I'm not worthy.
I look around and I see these young posters
and I think
I mean
I made every wrong choice a middle age poster could make.
I uh....
I pissed away all my beans
believe it or not.
I chased off
anyone who has ever ranked me 1rd.
And lately,
I can't even stand the avatar I see in my posts.
You know when you get old in life
things get taken from you.
That's, that's part of life.
But,
you only learn that when you start losing stuff.
You find out that life is just a game of beans.
So is betting.
Because in either game
life or football
the margin for error is so small.
I mean
one incorrect call by the kings
you don't quite win the game.
One small input error
and you don't quite beat the line
The beans we need are everywhere around us.
They are in ever break of the game
every minute, every second.
In this thread, we fight for that bean
In this thread, we tear ourselves, and everyone around us
to pieces for that bean.
We CLAW with our finger nails for that bean.
Cause we know
when we add up all those beans
that's going to make the ****ing difference
between WINNING and LOSING
between LIVING and DYING.
I'll tell you this
in any fight
it is the guy who is willing to die
who is going to win that bean.
And I know
if I am going to have any life anymore
it is because, I am still willing to fight, and die for that bean
because that is what LIVING is.
The bean right in front of your face.
Now I can't make you do it.
You gotta look at the poster above you.
Look into his avatar.
Now I think you are going to see a guy who will go get that bean with you.
You are going to see a guy
who will sacrifice himself for this thread
because he knows when it comes down to it,
you are gonna do the same thing for him.
That's a power ranking, Roby
and either we heal now, as a thread,
or we will die as individual posters.
That's Roby's Power Rankings guys.
That's all it is.
Now, whattaya gonna do?
God damn it Roby, you have 3900 beans left. It's not over. Not yet.
One more round of bets.
Finish what you started.
- Sep 22, 2011
- 44,256
- 98,217
- AFL Club
- Essendon
Crankyhawk
Hall of Famer
Beautifully put. A single like not enough.
YippeeYiYeo
Norm Smith Medallist
- Jun 21, 2015
- 9,087
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- Banned
- #2,036
swansfan51
Brownlow Medallist
- Jun 3, 2007
- 12,753
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Quoted for posterity: the exact moment at which Roby's system was destroyed.
#IllridewithRoby
- Apr 17, 2010
- 8,238
- 11,900
- AFL Club
- Sydney
F
rip in pieces
rip in pieces
- Sep 22, 2011
- 44,256
- 98,217
- AFL Club
- Essendon
How casually did he drop it? Like it was nothing...
Yet he could barely hit Post for his sweaty palms
Crankyhawk
Hall of Famer
I like to think it was the two of us that led to him committing to a bank, you for your insistence and me for assuming the 40k bank which Roby decided to halve...
Essendon and hawthorn working together.... Doesn't sound right.
- Thread starter
- #2,043
A new era dawns... not
entirely
I have found a solution to the current problem ranking problem, unfortunately I do not have the time or expertise to implement it midseason. As many of you already know the rankings form the assumption teams will "put their foot off the accelerator" especially against weaker in order to make better use of their energy reserves throughout the season. This is especially true for teams who will be playing off for the premiership at the end of the season.
It seams now teams/players/coaches have become even smarter not doing so just against the weaker teams and playing their best against good teams, but also against more injured teams. If my theory is correct it would simply need to reweight how that expected performance outputs will vary with certain players injuries. Of course this is easier said than done but can certainly be achieved.
Bad Betting Beans
Speaking about energy levels my ability to get though another season has started to diminish with each passing year. I guess the last few bets would probably be symptomatic of trying to find closure and then I realised I still had plenty of money in the bank. Forget the idiotic claims that because a declared bankroll was given it exposed the betting because in actual fact the Power Rankings are WELL UP! It's not even closing to losing all time.
The last five weeks have been the worst (partly due to myself and not the model) in history but it certainly doesn't change the fact that in five years people have made quite a lot of cash on the rankings.
Bunk Moreland cannot even do SIMPLE arithmetic and obviously a failed gambler wants to spread his story about himself, but it is no way a reflection of anything but himself, the power rankings are the no.1 tipping model in Australia, have made plenty profit and everything contrary to that is just simply wrong.
As is AlibiMonday who I used PM a long while ago when he used to post his ELO Ratings on AFL, unfortunately he did not find the time to do a simple rating (when you can just get a spreadsheet to do all the work). Having a go at me about randomness and wasting money when he told me he did a Masters in Mathematics. I'm guessing it would have costed around $50-60k to complete? Yet all that money wasted and couldn't do a simple rating system.
Talking about simple chunkychicken is somebody with a mental illness, and I understand he really should not be hounded for that. It is why I have put him on the ignore list long ago. None the less I have solution for (and the previous mentioned) that might help them all.
A gambler, a yuppie and a donkey will like to show some cojones for once? See how you going been me for just two months.
I propose a simple wager, if the Power Rankings don't make profit come the end of the year, I will delete my account and never return to Bigfooty again.
On the other hand if they do... all three will need to delete their accounts and do the same. Due to the loss of three valuable members I will offer 10 Power Rankings subscribers 10 platinum memberships.
Of course I can't see why they won't take this wager the ranking have lost their initial stake more than once and very unlikely they will turn profit.
34 positions
This weeks represents the first 34 positional changes in one week. The Power Rankings love Carlton (9th) and they move up nine spots this week. Richmond (4th) move into premiership contention and Fremantle (11th) drop to their lowest position in four years and if they were to win the flag I will also stop posting the PR. And somehow the Pies are on bottom but their not much better than an injured Giants so...
The irony the irony
St Kilda (12th) move up six positions this week but still remain as the most favoured team by the Kings. Unfortunately this week the Kings cost them the four points.
The AFS
This week I am starting the AFS, otherwise known as the Anti-Squiggle Fund. If I don't have the energy to the model anymore I can always used that piece of crap to make money just by betting against it. I hope Final Siren posts it for many years to come so we can get doubly rich.
The betting system is easy whatever the squiggle wants to bet on the line like tonight, we bet on the other line.
So tonight the Squiggle predicts the Swans will win by 31 points and the line is 17.5 with Luxbet so will take +17.5 for Port tonight and put $10 on it.
2015 AFL Power Rankings Round 13
1 Gold Coast (-)
2 Hawthorn (-)
3 Bulldogs (-)
4 Richmond (+3)
5 West Coast (-)
6 Geelong (-)
7 Sydney (-3)
8 Adelaide (-)
9 Carlton (+7)
10 Essendon (+1)
11 Fremantle (-2)
12 St Kilda (+6)
13 Port Adelaide (-3)
14 Brisbane (-1)
15 Melbourne (-3)
16 Kangaroos (-2)
17 GWS (-2)
18 Collingwood (-1)
Tips for round 14 (tonight)
Sydney by 14 points
Ned_Flanders
Make me an Admin!
- Aug 22, 2009
- 77,158
- 142,372
- AFL Club
- Richmond
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- 76'ers
And he's going full Roby......
Dude, you never go full Roby
Dude, you never go full Roby
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Crankyhawk
Hall of Famer
Is that $10 or 10 beans Roby? Need to record it accurately after all.
A new era dawns... not
entirely
I have found a solution to the current problem ranking problem, unfortunately I do not have the time or expertise to implement it midseason. As many of you already know the rankings form the assumption teams will "put their foot off the accelerator" especially against weaker in order to make better use of their energy reserves throughout the season. This is especially true for teams who will be playing off for the premiership at the end of the season.
It seams now teams/players/coaches have become even smarter not doing so just against the weaker teams and playing their best against good teams, but also against more injured teams. If my theory is correct it would simply need to reweight how that expected performance outputs will vary with certain players injuries. Of course this is easier said than done but can certainly be achieved.
Bad Betting Beans
Speaking about energy levels my ability to get though another season has started to diminish with each passing year. I guess the last few bets would probably be symptomatic of trying to find closure and then I realised I still had plenty of money in the bank. Forget the idiotic claims that because a declared bankroll was given it exposed the betting because in actual fact the Power Rankings are WELL UP! It's not even closing to losing all time.
The last five weeks have been the worst (partly due to myself and not the model) in history but it certainly doesn't change the fact that in five years people have made quite a lot of cash on the rankings.
Bunk Moreland cannot even do SIMPLE arithmetic and obviously a failed gambler wants to spread his story about himself, but it is no way a reflection of anything but himself, the power rankings are the no.1 tipping model in Australia, have made plenty profit and everything contrary to that is just simply wrong.
As is AlibiMonday who I used PM a long while ago when he used to post his ELO Ratings on AFL, unfortunately he did not find the time to do a simple rating (when you can just get a spreadsheet to do all the work). Having a go at me about randomness and wasting money when he told me he did a Masters in Mathematics. I'm guessing it would have costed around $50-60k to complete? Yet all that money wasted and couldn't do a simple rating system.
Talking about simple chunkychicken is somebody with a mental illness, and I understand he really should not be hounded for that. It is why I have put him on the ignore list long ago. None the less I have solution for (and the previous mentioned) that might help them all.
A gambler, a yuppie and a donkey will like to show some cojones for once? See how you going been me for just two months.
I propose a simple wager, if the Power Rankings don't make profit come the end of the year, I will delete my account and never return to Bigfooty again.
On the other hand if they do... all three will need to delete their accounts and do the same. Due to the loss of three valuable members I will offer 10 Power Rankings subscribers 10 platinum memberships.
Of course I can't see why they won't take this wager the ranking have lost their initial stake more than once and very unlikely they will turn profit.
34 positions
This weeks represents the first 34 positional changes in one week. The Power Rankings love Carlton (9th) and they move up nine spots this week. Richmond (4th) move into premiership contention and Fremantle (11th) drop to their lowest position in four years and if they were to win the flag I will also stop posting the PR. And somehow the Pies are on bottom but their not much better than an injured Giants so...
The irony the irony
St Kilda (12th) move up six positions this week but still remain as the most favoured team by the Kings. Unfortunately this week the Kings cost them the four points.
The AFS
This week I am starting the AFS, otherwise known as the Anti-Squiggle Fund. If I don't have the energy to the model anymore I can always used that piece of crap to make money just by betting against it. I hope Final Siren posts it for many years to come so we can get doubly rich.
The betting system is easy whatever the squiggle wants to bet on the line like tonight, we bet on the other line.
So tonight the Squiggle predicts the Swans will win by 31 points and the line is 17.5 with Luxbet so will take +17.5 for Port tonight and put $10 on it.
2015 AFL Power Rankings Round 13
1 Gold Coast (-)
2 Hawthorn (-)
3 Bulldogs (-)
4 Richmond (+3)
5 West Coast (-)
6 Geelong (-)
7 Sydney (-3)
8 Adelaide (-)
9 Carlton (+7)
10 Essendon (+1)
11 Fremantle (-2)
12 St Kilda (+6)
13 Port Adelaide (-3)
14 Brisbane (-1)
15 Melbourne (-3)
16 Kangaroos (-2)
17 GWS (-2)
18 Collingwood (-1)
Tips for round 14 (tonight)
Sydney by 14 points
Also when you state power rankings to return a profit, does this mean you need to get back to a total of > 20000 beans? At end of grand final?
I'd be interested in the bet as a sig bet/ avatar bet for 12 months. I don't want to lose you from the site forever.
Ochre
Premium Platinum
- Sep 22, 2011
- 44,256
- 98,217
- AFL Club
- Essendon
Yeeessssss!
And lol Roby why the **** would I delete my account? All I ever asked of you was a credible measure of results. You finally provided it, started going south, went full mental with some crazy bets and then packed up your stuff and went home.
Your rankings aren't my problem, I just want to see if they produce or not.
And lol Roby why the **** would I delete my account? All I ever asked of you was a credible measure of results. You finally provided it, started going south, went full mental with some crazy bets and then packed up your stuff and went home.
Your rankings aren't my problem, I just want to see if they produce or not.
Last edited:
YippeeYiYeo
Norm Smith Medallist
- Jun 21, 2015
- 9,087
- 14,304
- AFL Club
- West Coast
- Banned
- #2,049
yes yes yes!!
gif of the year under the circumstances.
Thread lives. It LIVESSSSSSSSSSSSSS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
gif of the year under the circumstances.
Thread lives. It LIVESSSSSSSSSSSSSS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
