Polls Thread Mk III

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The latest Newspoll reckons the ALP primary vote up 2 to 38% whilst the LNP is down 1 to 35%. On those figures, the LNP is in deep, deep s**t!!
If there was an election anytime soon. Which there isn't.
 

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Can't see much changing anytime soon or in the future either.

Now that the adults are in charge...
Wait, scratch that.
Now that the knifing of sitting PM's has stopped...
Wait, scratch that.
Now that the carbon tax is gone and power bills are going down...
Wait, scratch that.
Now that we have a strong leader...who knows what could happen.
 
The farce of parliament generally member's dual citizenship isn't totally the Turnbull's govt's fault per se, but I wonder if the punters blame the govt when parliament goes down the toilet.

Hopefully govt support will continue to leach away and settle around 44 - 56 for a massive loss next election.
Indeed. I know you aren't a fan of Pilbaserk, but the shadow front bench bats pretty deep.

Dreyfus, Albo and Burke all have the ability to be solid senior ministers in any Labor cabinet.

Add to that a reasonable policy platform and the fact they aren't the dead set nutbags that have gained control of the coalition and we might have a semi-reasonable, or at least not completely awful government.
 

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Question is if labor do get elected, do the polls immediately swing against them?
Absolutely. Polling favours those who aren't happy as they are more likely to respond, and the current over polling creates a momentum of it's own
 
Polls mean nothing. It's the LNP all they need to do is stop attacking people for 3 months to win the next election. Tipping him to release Malibu Stacy with a new hat right before we go to the polls. General populous to fawn and succumb and vote for their masters.
 
Time for Bill to stand down and Albo to take the ALP to glory?

Bill Shorten's popularity and standing as preferred prime minister has taken a hammering from voters, but Labor has kept its election-winning lead over the Turnbull government.

The findings, contained in September's Fairfax-Ipsos poll, show Labor has maintained the 53 per cent to 47 per cent lead in the two-party preferred vote it enjoyed in May, based on 2016 election preference flows.

http://www.smh.com.au/federal-polit...te-bill-shorten-nosedive-20170910-gyehpf.html
 
Time for Bill to stand down and Albo to take the ALP to glory?

Bill Shorten's popularity and standing as preferred prime minister has taken a hammering from voters, but Labor has kept its election-winning lead over the Turnbull government.

The findings, contained in September's Fairfax-Ipsos poll, show Labor has maintained the 53 per cent to 47 per cent lead in the two-party preferred vote it enjoyed in May, based on 2016 election preference flows.

http://www.smh.com.au/federal-polit...te-bill-shorten-nosedive-20170910-gyehpf.html
6 point drop in 5 months. How do these PPM numbers translate to the polling booth? Given that the Lib/Lab numbers are static do these numbers make any difference?
 
We all know Labor isn't changing leaders.

Because there's been too much leader changing since 2006. And because Albo is of the Labor left. Labor Right weren't happy with the policy discipline last time they were in Govt. It was of course not the disaster claimed by Murdoch and Abbott, but it could've been better. So we have a Labor Right leader who can work with Unions and business.

Get over personality politics and pay attention to policy.
 

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