AFL 2021 AFL Round 9

Remove this Banner Ad

Status
Not open for further replies.
Think this one might be around the mark - On 'footy classified' they agreed with you and recognised gray has had more minutes in the midfield over last 2 weeks and they thought he will be required there to combat the wb midfield depth..
View attachment 1125895

This post feels like a subtle brag, look at me Im a punter that still owns a TV and a phone too.:rolleyes:

I see through your post. :think:
 

Log in to remove this ad.

(Log in to remove this ad.)

2.5u - Tom Powell 20+ disposals - $1.90 - TAB
Down one disposal on what he was offered at last week. Game in Tasmania against the hawks a solid opportunity.

3.5u - Zac Bailey 20+ disposals - $1.75 - TAB
A beneficiary of Neale being out, has seen a rise in CBAs as a result. Cleared each game since he’s out.

2.5u - Jy Farrar 15+ disposals - $2 - TAB
Weather suits in this one. Had 21 in his debut in a loss vs the dogs, who are a top 3 inside 50 side. Went under in his next two match ups that were wins where opponents shots were down. Last week he cleared in a loss. Expecting the lions to win this week and pepper the goals, this should allow him to get his hands on it as the suns still attempt to build up through their backline from kick outs and rebounds.

3u - Jack Graham 20+ disposals - $2.05 - Ladbrokes
Will benefit from the outs to the team.

3.5u - Sholl 20+ disposals - $1.70 - TAB
Elite runner who has just signed a fresh contract extension. Has cleared this one 6/8. Line got pushed up toward 25 after a big game earlier in the year. Should look to exploit the size of Optus stadium on the weekend.

3u - Laird 30+ disposals - $2 - TAB
Would be more fair to be priced at $1.80-$1.90 which is where I think it will be come Sunday. WCE aren’t tagging and have seem similar accumulator type players rack up on them all season. Laird is quietly making a name for himself as a contested ball beast.

4u - WCE / Adelaide +50.5 - $1.82 - Ladbrokes
Taking this SGM. Far too big of a line for West Coast to cover imo. Will look to get the job done and get their team on ice. Crows will battle out until the end.
 
FADING THE HYPELORDS - ROUND 9

1U WB @ $2.31 - Clear second best side in the comp coming off a huge comeback win against an outstanding blues side containing the best forward since Buddy- more than enough juice in this to offset the game being played in Adelaide.

FADING THE HYPELORDS - ROUND 9 - PART 2

Looks like the laughable move for the GWS on nothing that matters has dried up

1.75U RICH @ 1.57525 (betfair post commission)
 
Darcy Fogarty 2+ @ $3.9 lads. Tex out so good chance Fogarty becomes the focal point instead.
relating to this-
Ronin O'Conner will also debut for Adelaide this week (AFC news). Hes a pure midfielder- guessing that means he goes into midfield, and fogarty goes up forward in tex's spot. Will look at disposals markets on O'Conner once bookies realise he will play this weekend.
 
2.5u - Tom Powell 20+ disposals - $1.90 - TAB
Down one disposal on what he was offered at last week. Game in Tasmania against the hawks a solid opportunity.

3.5u - Zac Bailey 20+ disposals - $1.75 - TAB
A beneficiary of Neale being out, has seen a rise in CBAs as a result. Cleared each game since he’s out.

2.5u - Jy Farrar 15+ disposals - $2 - TAB
Weather suits in this one. Had 21 in his debut in a loss vs the dogs, who are a top 3 inside 50 side. Went under in his next two match ups that were wins where opponents shots were down. Last week he cleared in a loss. Expecting the lions to win this week and pepper the goals, this should allow him to get his hands on it as the suns still attempt to build up through their backline from kick outs and rebounds.

3u - Jack Graham 20+ disposals - $2.05 - Ladbrokes
Will benefit from the outs to the team.

3.5u - Sholl 20+ disposals - $1.70 - TAB
Elite runner who has just signed a fresh contract extension. Has cleared this one 6/8. Line got pushed up toward 25 after a big game earlier in the year. Should look to exploit the size of Optus stadium on the weekend.

3u - Laird 30+ disposals - $2 - TAB
Would be more fair to be priced at $1.80-$1.90 which is where I think it will be come Sunday. WCE aren’t tagging and have seem similar accumulator type players rack up on them all season. Laird is quietly making a name for himself as a contested ball beast.

4u - WCE / Adelaide +50.5 - $1.82 - Ladbrokes
Taking this SGM. Far too big of a line for West Coast to cover imo. Will look to get the job done and get their team on ice. Crows will battle out until the end.
This is a really good list, jumped on a couple of them. Just some thoughts however:

Powell - I think this is a okay/solid bet, however he only covered this line 2/8 times, and most recently fell short by 20% against the 2nd weakest team in AFL

Farrar - Covered this line 2/4 times, 1 of them being bang on at 15 touches. There's a real risk of him being a lock down defender, which really makes this a 50/50 call, and therefore minimal value altogether

Graham - Covered this line 1/8 times. Just not a good player. Has upside from Bolton missing, but that's already been priced in as otherwise he would be more like $8.00 instead of $2.05 for 20 touches given his track record. Midfield minutes has also not been a problem as Edward/Martin/Cotchin have all missed recently, and he still only had 15 touches last week (25% off the line)
 
Battle to play up forward you'd think, named chf. Wood out of the team, Frawley in down back and Highmore listed as a key defender also in. @1.95, 6, 23
Can't even get 4+ this new goalscorer sh*t is aids

Try bet builder on 365 for 4+/5+ etc.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Remove this Banner Ad

Back
Top