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AFL 2023 - AFL Round 15

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Jeremy cameron 4.75 (tab) for 4 tackles isnt worst bet..crunch game at home he will be making prescence felt and could even spend a couple mins here n there pinch hitting in mid with no danger, hes gone 0,3,3,4 past month so not the worst... Bruhn for 10 tackles too at 7.00 or take the3.00 for 8.
 

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Throwing a bit of loose change at this at Daisys SGM

At $55, on Sportbset, its a bit too big to ignore.

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James Jordan tackles at TAB.

No Oliver, Geelong missing some key mids. Cold and wet, on a smaller ground. Could be a tough, hard-fought match.

2/4/6/8/10 paying 1.25/2.6/8/26/81

He hasn't hit more than 3 this year, but he's been the sub for most of his matches. He's in the 22 tonight.

IF you adjust his 2023 Time on Ground to 80%, he'd be averaging (pro-rata) 4.8 tackles a match, with (extrapolated) games of 6, 7, 10.

I think the best bet is 6+ @ $8. I have some money on this.

If I wasn't SGM banned, I'd also try 2+/4+/6+/10+ for odds of $251. He's done this once before in his 51 matches (or ~40 if you ignore sub matches).

He's hit 8+ four times in 40 full matches. Or 1/10 vs odds of $26 (or $34 using SGM trick).
 
1.5u - Rohan 2+ @ $2.85 (SB)
0.5u - Rohan 3+ @ $7.75 (SB)
0.5u - Rohan 4+ @ $23 (SB)

Rohan
Close
Fritsch
2u @ $3.47 (PB)

Rohan 2+
Fritsch 2+
Close
Neal-Bullen
0.5u @ $15 (SB)
 
Alright men, no buggerising about this week by throwing beer money at big VFL spuds. After giving the books a reprieve over the last couple of weeks, It is time to wheel out the segment that has caused yacht dealerships and Golf courses to be flooded by an entirely new breed of nouveau riche degenerate.

Thats right, the LONG SHOT LOUIE LOCK OF THE WEEK. currently up 169.2 units on the year.

This week, the unenlightened books have priced as strong favourites: a Collingwood side that not only has a forward line consisting of role players but whose previous area of strength(the midfield), has been depleted by the loss of both De goey and Sidebottom, the latter of whom was a star in the last encounter between these sides.
If we have learnt anything this year it is that teams can not afford to carry a shallow midfield.

Adelaide only lost the recent game between these sides by a solitary point due to the most atrocious goal kicking I have ever seen in my life.
Collingwood fielded a stronger side on that day then they will here and the Crows will likely come into this game unchanged after a confidence boosting 20 goal victory.

For the reasons outlined above, THE CROWS H2H@$3.50 IS THE LONG SHOT LOUIE LOCK OF THE WEEK.

5 Units

Completely different side away from home. Unlikely we will get within 5 goals. You're batshit crazy Louie
 

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Hmm, So does no more JC mean more chances for jack Henry to go fwd now?
 
Hmm, So does no more JC mean more chances for jack Henry to go fwd now?
Didn't see much of Jack Henry in 1st qtr, saw Oliver Henry drop a mark in the 1st qtr in the forward line though. Think saw a bit of rain coming down at the end of 1st qtr too.
 
Deez to lead @ halftime, 1-12 or 13-24.
James Franco Flirt GIF
 
Windhager 4+ tackles @ $2.40 tab - Led the Saints in CBA's last week to finish with 7 tackles. Ross out which should only help his role.

6+ @ $7.50
8+ @ $26
10+ @ $151
 
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