I think I have to stop doing ladder predictors, they're a complete headf*ck. I just did one that had us finishing 9th on 14 wins. I then hit 'autotip', which had us finishing 7th on 13.......




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Same predictor for meI did a ladder predictor this morning, and brace yourselves...
I had a finishing 9th too!
Basically we just need to win the games we should, and hope Freo lose a few extra, then we'll be absolutely safe.
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Can't blame him, he still has a young, immature and developing body. As much as I love him and am desperate for him to succeed, time is very much on his side. It might be best to put him on ice for this season and then unleash him in '26 after a hopefully full pre-season, especially with Cholly doing so well, Gunners' renaissance, Mitchy hopefully dropping seamlessly back into place soon, Ram-man showing decent signs, and Scaife and McCabe playing well at BH and waiting in the wings....Great to listen to Rob McCartney's mid-season appraisal (always find him very measured/insightful). Interesting that he was really talking up Calsher as a long term prospect, get the feeling the lack of a preaseason really set him back this year and they are hopeful rather than confident he can impact this season - makes sense given box hill watchers observation that he is struggling to run out BH games.
I think that's too tall down back. If you had to take out one of the talls who would it be and who would come in?B: Hardwick - Barrass - Battle
HB: Sicily - Scrimshaw - Amon
C: Morrison - Day - DāAmbrosio
HF: Moore - Lewis - MacDonald
F: Ginnivan - Chol - Watson
FOL: Meek - Newcombe - Ward
INT: Weddle - Nash - Worpel - Impey - Mackenzie (sub)
Trying to find a spot for Gunston but there isnāt an obvious out.
Morrison sub, Gunston in and one of Battle, Weddle or Scrimshaw wing.
Tough
One of the talls to a wing. Hardwick Amon and Impey are smalls. Itās definitely not too tall.I think that's too tall down back. If you had to take out one of the talls who would it be and who would come in?
They can't play wing.One of the talls to a wing. Hardwick Amon and Impey are smalls. Itās definitely not too tall.
Itās not just favourites itās whoās the most talented and whoās the best. If they can fit into the system in a way whether natural or not then itās worth trying.They can't play wing.
Can you be ruthless in pursuit of a premiership? Or do you play favourites and risk it all?
But what if they can't fit into the system? Not sure I can see all of Barrass/Battle/Scrimshaw/Sicily in the team regardless of talent.Itās not just favourites itās whoās the most talented and whoās the best. If they can fit into the system in a way whether natural or not then itās worth trying.
Scrimshaw has the tools, battle has done it before and Weddle has the ability. For example.
I can. Iām sure theyāll figure it out. Versatility.But what if they can't fit into the system? Not sure I can see all of Barrass/Battle/Scrimshaw/Sicily in the team regardless of talent.
Barrass, Battle, scrimshaw as the backs. Weddle to play wing/ forward. Sicily to play forward.But what if they can't fit into the system? Not sure I can see all of Barrass/Battle/Scrimshaw/Sicily in the team regardless of talent.
Hmmm not sure about that13 wins will get you in the 8 this year for sure, maybe even 12 with a good percentage.
14 wins you will be pushing top four.
What if they can?But what if they can't fit into the system?
Iāve been a bit disappointed by the lack of focus on counteracting positions game plans. Perhaps itās due to the injuries and disruptions to the best 22, and the desire for consistency, but I think to win it all this year we canāt solely focus on our own strengths. Weāre not good enough. We need to counteract the opposition. Whether thatās tagging Daicos, playing one less tall against Brisbane, etc.Barrass, Battle, scrimshaw as the backs. Weddle to play wing/ forward. Sicily to play forward.
What i'd like to see more though is a bit of selection or position changes based on opposition not just what we want.
If we're playing Brisbane, actually think about the matchups and don't have Sicily on Ah Chee and Battle on Cameron. We have so much depth and flexibility with defenders that we should be looking to use Hardwick, Impy, Mitchell and Amon 1 week, and battle, Barrass, as scrimshaw and sicily another.
This is something that might be revealed in finals. This whole year has been trying to find balance with our best team. We have been sending players to mind other players but it's been more subtle and for short periodsIāve been a bit disappointed by the lack of focus on counteracting positions game plans. Perhaps itās due to the injuries and disruptions to the best 22, and the desire for consistency, but I think to win it all this year we canāt solely focus on our own strengths. Weāre not good enough. We need to counteract the opposition. Whether thatās tagging Daicos, playing one less tall against Brisbane, etc.
I don't count Weddle as a "tall" and have never mentioned him as one.What if they can?
What if ruling them out doesn't work?
Everything is a 'what if'...but I still think the bottom line is you play the best talent.
Addressing the 'too tall' issue (a genuine issue), Weddle has the most scope to play as a pure utility, leaving Scrim, Barrass and Battle as the talls, and Sicily the fourth option (as a swingman, or as a part of a 4 man 'tall' rotation)
Maybe 14 wins would be just outside the top four but 13 wins will almost definitely get us in the eight this year I feel.Hmmm not sure about that
Nah, we get pick 2I have done the predictor.
We get pick 3 from Carlton.
Am I doing this right?
and an early 2nd rounder.I have done the predictor.
We get pick 3 from Carlton.
Am I doing this right?
Mmm no, with our lowish percentage I think we will likely miss finals with 14 wins. We will need 15 wins to make the 8, and 16 wins for top 4.Maybe 14 wins would be just outside the top four but 13 wins will almost definitely get us in the eight this year I feel.
The wild card is Gold Coast with the game up their sleeve but I feel like they will have their standard late season fade away and all the rest of the teams outside the eight are only on 6 wins which is miles off it.
This is what you get when you get every favourite winning for the rest of the season which never happens. I have found our game against Freo in a few weeks could decide our fate as them and GC are the two most likely teams to missMmm no, with our lowish percentage I think we will likely miss finals with 14 wins. We will need 15 wins to make the 8, and 16 wins for top 4.
Which means⦠We simply canāt afford to lose to anyone outside the top 8.. must beat North, StKilda, Melbourne, Port and Carlton. Have to also beat one or two of Fremantle, Brisbane, Adelaide (all of them interstate) and Collingwood. Gonna be a tough run home