Werewolf Depends on the numbers WW The sequel - Day Seven - Mafia Wins

[Nothing]

I was pretty open with who I was protecting last night.

I'm still waiting for one of the remaining wolves to come out and claim that they tried to kill the Godfather last night. Maybe that's what Nothing is trying to tell us with the Hatchy1992 vote?

I'm just going off the vibes in the thread. If Hatchy isn't evil I won't play WW next week.

 

[The Half Back]

I'm just going off the vibes in the thread. If Hatchy isn't evil I won't play WW next week.

If you're not a wolf that attempted a kill last night that was unsuccessful, I'm not super interested.

 

[MC Bad Genius]

For the Mafia, the two missed kills make any patterns impossible to see, but I had originally wondered if they had missed on Night 3 on KT. But when he survived last night as well, I'm convinced that they missed on someone else on night 3 (because if they'd missed on KT, surely they would have taken him out last night knowing he couldn't be protected on both nights). So on Night 3, they missed on either Night Immune or someone random that the Doctor protected - I'm going to look through the votes on The_Reaper from yesterday.

So these were the votes on The_Reaper yesterday:

11:10am - Nothing
11:20am - WAbulldog
12:03pm - King Tenz
12:05pm - Chipmunk
12:21pm - myblueroan
12:23pm - dogs105
12:29pm - MarcMaverick
1:04pm - Hatchy1992
1:10pm - MC Bad Genius
2:44pm - The Half Back

And just for completeness, the other votes were:

jmoo wan (now dead) on Hatchy1992
The_Reaper (now dead) on King Tenz
DERO on MarcMaverick

In my mind it's likely that some of The_Reaper's teammates might have held off a little bit on voting for them or voted elsewhere. THB is the uncontested doctor and I know that I'm a Villager (some might disagree ha!), so I'm looking at Hatchy and DERO as possible Wolves.

 

[Nothing]

If you're not a wolf that attempted a kill last night that was unsuccessful, I'm not super interested.

I'm not.

Yesterday, I called out Reaper's activity and he got involved. Turned out as SK.

Last night I did the same to Hatchy.

Those who don't post much when evil feel the need to defend when called out.

 

[MC Bad Genius]

I was pretty open with who I was protecting last night.

I'm still waiting for one of the remaining wolves to come out and claim that they tried to kill the Godfather last night. Maybe that's what Nothing is trying to tell us with the Hatchy1992 vote?

Possibly - he did start the vote on The_Reaper yesterday too, but it could also just be that he's hunting lurkers, which I'm not against at all.

Also, I was thinking more about your Night 3 protection. No need to announce it, but do you think it's more likely the Mafia hit Night Immune or the person you protected?

 

[Hatchy1992]

Come join me on Hatchy. We'll all be there soon.

Why are you so keen on starting a bandwagon on a claimed villager? Sounds like something evil would do.

Nothing for the moment thanks Gralin

 

[DERO]

On a scale of jmoo to dank how sure are you that MM is evil?

Boncer

 

[The Half Back]

Possibly - he did start the vote on The_Reaper yesterday too, but it could also just be that he's hunting lurkers, which I'm not against at all.

Also, I was thinking more about your Night 3 protection. No need to announce it, but do you think it's more likely the Mafia hit Night Immune or the person you protected?

I think the target on night three was the player that I protected. Could be wrong, but I believe the player that I protected is not evil.

 

[The Half Back]

Boncer

 

[Nothing]

Boncer

Well in that case

Marc Mav

Gralin

 

[Nothing]

Why are you so keen on starting a bandwagon on a claimed villager? Sounds like something evil would do.

Nothing for the moment thanks Gralin

I've laid out my reasons why. But you're old news. We're boncering MM now.

 

[DERO]

Well in that case

Marc Mav

Gralin

What I meant is I don’t know.

I just thought MM’s effort not to vote on the goon stood out.

I don’t think the village should be hitching their wagons to my view on things. Maybe we should follow The half back. He seems to know what is going on.

 

[Chipmunk]

Here are the kills so far, which I was doing to look mostly at the Serial Killer, but figured it might see some sort of pattern for the faction kills as well:

Mafia	Wolves	Serial Killer
Kurve	MP_	JHF1870
ZergMinion	Bovo	Pie 4 Life
---	BEaston	dank420_
---	---	jmoo wan

SK-wise, it feels to me like someone that has been playing for a while and would get enjoyment from taking out their targets. Is it too early for me to name names? Haha, here goes. My first guess is DERO, and then Chipmunk. But if it's neither of them, then maybe it's myblueroan (even though she doesn't meet the criteria I just stated) or Hatchy1992 even.

Can anyone see any other sort of pattern there?

For the Mafia, the two missed kills make any patterns impossible to see, but I had originally wondered if they had missed on Night 3 on KT. But when he survived last night as well, I'm convinced that they missed on someone else on night 3 (because if they'd missed on KT, surely they would have taken him out last night knowing he couldn't be protected on both nights). So on Night 3, they missed on either Night Immune or someone random that the Doctor protected - I'm going to look through the votes on The_Reaper from yesterday.

The Half Back - You know who you protected and can probably work out whether or not you think that person would've been targeted that night. No need to share it (as you can keep them guessing for tonight).

And for the Wolves, the only semi pattern I can see is that Bovo and BEaston were both quiet players, but that doesn't fit with MP_. I called out BEaston in the thread for that too, but I don't think anyone really voted for him, so don't know if that influenced the Wolves kill.

I’d like to think I’m a more strategic player rather than one who enjoys killing people. I certainly wouldn’t have killed Pie having joked that I was in the game to do so and then doubling down on that Day 2, I would have let that play out for longer.

For me it does feel like voting patterns are also an interesting way to go, not just on the people being lynched but those who we know are evil (one thing that struck me a couple of days ago was dank’s early vote on Nothing, which since he flipped wolf makes Nothing unlikely to be a wolf). I don’t have a voting spreadsheet but I suspect you might be able to glean something from that. I’ll look back at your post from Day 1 and do my vote from there - I still think my logic on MM leading to my Day 2 vote had some sense.

 

[Nothing]

I certainly wouldn’t have killed Pie having joked that I was in the game to do so

Yes you would.

 

[Nothing]

What I meant is I don’t know.

I just thought MM’s effort not to vote on the goon stood out.

I don’t think the village should be hitching their wagons to my view on things. Maybe we should follow The half back. He seems to know what is going on.

Well that's a disappointing back down.

Can we still lynch MM?

 

[Chipmunk]

Yes you would.

I mean … I wouldn’t, and you‘ve left out the second half of that sentence.

 

[Chipmunk]

I've gone through the thread from yesterday and here are the Day 1 votes and rolling tallies (it's what I use for moderating games):
View attachment 2466695

A few things to note:

• King Tenz and Tarks were joint leaders
• Then a couple of votes came in from Zerg and KT that put Nothing into the lead
• A couple of late switches from DP and Crimson put Tarks back in the joint lead with Nothing

I'm not sure it tells us a whole lot, to be honest. You could say DP and Crimson were trying to save Nothing, but DP flipped as Villager and Nothing's point that he didn't change his own vote has me convinced. You could maybe say that Zerg and KT were trying to protect KT or Tarks by putting Nothing in the lead, but that doesn't really make any sense to me.

So the only other thing apart from dank voting Nothing as before, is Crimson voting for MM - so unlikely to be in the same faction?

 

[Nothing]

I mean … I wouldn’t, and you‘ve left out the second half of that sentence.

You're claiming villager yeah.

 

[Chipmunk]

You're claiming villager yeah.

Haha of course.

 

[Chipmunk]

So these were the votes on The_Reaper yesterday:

11:10am - Nothing
11:20am - WAbulldog
12:03pm - King Tenz
12:05pm - Chipmunk
12:21pm - myblueroan
12:23pm - dogs105
12:29pm - MarcMaverick
1:04pm - Hatchy1992
1:10pm - MC Bad Genius
2:44pm - The Half Back

And just for completeness, the other votes were:

jmoo wan (now dead) on Hatchy1992
The_Reaper (now dead) on King Tenz
DERO on MarcMaverick

In my mind it's likely that some of The_Reaper's teammates might have held off a little bit on voting for them or voted elsewhere. THB is the uncontested doctor and I know that I'm a Villager (some might disagree ha!), so I'm looking at Hatchy and DERO as possible Wolves.

From this I think we can rule out Nothing and WABulldog as wolves.

 

[DERO]

Well that's a disappointing back down.

Can we still lynch MM?

I’m happy to keep my vote on him. Like jmoo wan he offers very little.

 

[Nothing]

I’m happy to keep my vote on him. Like jmoo wan he offers very little.

 

[King Tenz]

MarcMaverick please Gralin

 

[Nothing]

So these were the votes on The_Reaper yesterday:

11:10am - Nothing
11:20am - WAbulldog
12:03pm - King Tenz
12:05pm - Chipmunk
12:21pm - myblueroan
12:23pm - dogs105
12:29pm - MarcMaverick
1:04pm - Hatchy1992
1:10pm - MC Bad Genius
2:44pm - The Half Back

And just for completeness, the other votes were:

jmoo wan (now dead) on Hatchy1992
The_Reaper (now dead) on King Tenz
DERO on MarcMaverick

In my mind it's likely that some of The_Reaper's teammates might have held off a little bit on voting for them or voted elsewhere. THB is the uncontested doctor and I know that I'm a Villager (some might disagree ha!), so I'm looking at Hatchy and DERO as possible Wolves.

Like last game, is there any benefit in the real Doc contesting THB? I wouldn't if I were the real Doc, not until THB or KT die.

 

[Chipmunk]

MarcMaverick it is!

Gralin