Racing March Daily Punt- Urban Ruler vs the Flemington Ambulance

[iluvparis]

Surely its difficult for a horse like cosmic force to back up 1 week after running on such a heavy track on Saturday?

Generally running the week before has been a huge negative - I believe one horse in the last 20 years or so has done it but can't remember who.

 

[iluvparis]

Race is such a lottery that deserves a poll update? Think thoughts have been conclusive on the current one.

 

[TBellicious]

Race is such a lottery that deserves a poll update? Think thoughts have been conclusive on the current one.

Yep

 

[iluvparis]

Looks like Stratum (2005) was the last winner to race the week before

 

[bigpapagman]

Looks like Stratum (2005) was the last winner to race the week before

And he was a pretty dicey animal either side of that.

 

[juice t]

Race is such a lottery that deserves a poll update? Think thoughts have been conclusive on the current one.

Would do it if I could change the ****ing options

 

[FallingLiefs]

Generally running the week before has been a huge negative - I believe one horse in the last 20 years or so has done it but can't remember who.

prized icon smashed some absurd record to win the champagne on this rule a few years back forget the exact record, may have been first ever.

 

[iluvparis]

prized icon smashed some absurd record to win the champagne on this rule a few years back forget the exact record, may have been first ever.

Looking back at the field if ever there was a line up to do it against that is what you would asked for.

 

[FallingLiefs]

Looking back at the field if ever there was a line up to do it against that is what you would asked for.

yeah just went looking for the record and couldn't find but had to chuckle at the field.

 

[FallingLiefs]

Golden Slipper thoughts

Yes Yes Yes, not for me from 19. looked very positive run but fillies on same day marginally better on clock and with weight swing and better map i'd rather tenley.

Microphone. at 7's looks the sort of horse that will run well but is probably a touch short of what one will do here. barrier 1 a negative for me if it rains i'd be avoiding him.

TTR - don't know.

Cosmic Force - i'd like to back him, or at least keep him safe. with a better preparation is probably the winner but reproducibility of last start 7 days later off a heavy 12 is of concern.

Lyre - about right trial was fair probably have her at 3rd of godolphins

Tenley - top pick best profile, good draw, good racing manners, good preperation, unbeaten filly and could improve which cannot be said for many. around a $4.80 chance open race

Pin Sec - best bet, loved the way she won LST, biggest improver for mine and that's what you need. $7.00 ish

Anaheed- Best roughie. solid SP profile in correct races her whole career.

Loving Gaby - implode or explode, tough one. i'll say implode and go nowhere.

 

[TBellicious]

Tenley for me. Really like this horse, looks a real star.

Only query for me is settling back in a big field on a tighter track in Rosehill. Let's hope from the gate she can settle closer.

 

[rideclutch]

In regards to Blue Diamond form, I'm still counting my cash from Lyre's gorgeous victory, but that was her race - much tougher here. Will have a Ralphy #funbet on her because I love her so much, but I wonder if she has the scope to improve here?

Loving Gaby probably wins/goes close with the winners run in the BD and she does have a bit of scope, distance wise anyway. With my sensible trousers on I think she might be able to turn the tables on Lyre. Wet track shouldn't be an issue.

The thing is though, even in years when the BD was HOT those horses haven't won the Slipper - so in an even year it's gonna take a super filly to do it. On paper it's the wrong form.

 

[king rising]

We’re back. About ****ing time too

 

[iluvparis]

Winx @ $1.06 is genuine huge overs in the Ryder. Against this line up and in these conditions she looks a genuine $1.01-$1.02 shot to me.

 

[iluvparis]

Also was reflecting in the shutdown that perhaps Liefsy and I should make a joint application to replace Gator on racing.com.

Pre standard Sandown Wednesday BM64
Liefsy - produced nice figures when holding on from up on the pace in a high rating BM70 at Pakenham last start.
Paris - yes Liefsy but have you considered the fact that this horse is a cat!?

 

[RobbyRoy]

Will be sticking with Lyre and Yes Yes Yes because a) they have done nothing wrong by me and b) I can't be arsed doing form for this race.

Would have been an absolute cracker on firm ground, thanks Sydney.

 

[RobbyRoy]

Also was reflecting in the shutdown that perhaps Liefsy and I should make a joint application to replace Gator on racing.com.

Pre standard Sandown Wednesday BM64
Liefsy - produced nice figures when holding on from up on the pace in a high rating BM70 at Pakenham last start.
Paris - yes Liefsy but have you considered the fact that this horse is a cat!?

Would definitely watch.

Gator leaving Racing.com is disastrous for them. Absolute shit show now, besides Lady Grace.

 

[juice t]

I'd like to meet the dickhead at Racing.com who didn't bother with Gator's contract and ask him if he still has a job

Now all they on Get On is useless Hutchison, plus Richo with his head up his arse not bothering to call a spade a ****ing shovel

 

[thetradesman]

Redzel looks overs in the Galaxy.

Has beaten all of these horses before, draws well and gets some give in the ground which he loves. Can see McEvoy sitting him just off Nature Strip and Ball of Muscle, and him being too strong for them late.

 

[iluvparis]

Redzel looks overs in the Galaxy.

Has beaten all of these horses before, draws well and gets some give in the ground which he loves. Can see McEvoy sitting him just off Nature Strip and Ball of Muscle, and him being too strong for them late.

The peoples champ winning one of our famous sprint handicaps carrying the grandstand paying a generous price again. I may shed a tear if he wins again

 

[TBellicious]

I think INTO THE ABYSS represents good each way value in the first on Saturday at Rosehill. Wet track form behind Pohutukawa when being wide no cover and first up last prep also wnc and got within a couple of Sunlight. Trial was incredible and Lane on shows to me Thompson think she can win. Maps well.

In the same race I could also spec SERENE MISS ew after a nice fresh run. 2 from 2 second up and will be fitter and is also 2 from 2 on rain affected tracks.

 

[thetradesman]

I think INTO THE ABYSS represents good each way value in the first on Saturday at Rosehill. Wet track form behind Pohutukawa when being wide no cover and first up last prep also wnc and got within a couple of Sunlight. Trial was incredible and Lane on shows to me Thompson think she can win. Maps well.

In the same race I could also spec SERENE MISS ew after a nice fresh run. 2 from 2 second up and will be fitter and is also 2 from 2 on rain affected tracks.

Got Into the Abyss as third pick so could potentially spec it on the day.

Saying that, I think the form out of the Wenona Girl Quality is probably the best form line, so I have Sweet Scandal on top, but Star Reflection at $16 looks good value.

 

[AvantGardener]

Two for Friday I think are worth a ticket: Shoals in William Reid and Emperors Way in Albury Cup.

 

[AvantGardener]

Redzel looks overs in the Galaxy.

Has beaten all of these horses before, draws well and gets some give in the ground which he loves. Can see McEvoy sitting him just off Nature Strip and Ball of Muscle, and him being too strong for them late.

Agree. Graff the main danger but I think Redzel should have him. Encryption perhaps enticing at those odds as well EW but I have him 4th pick atm - need to do proper form first.

 

[TBellicious]

Impressive debut from Chenier there at Sandown. Looks really a smart colt.