2016 AFL - Round 20

[chrisdon16]

Looking ahead to next round I like the roos to upset the hawkers winning streak SU at $3.45. 21.5 start I think is a very good bet, I think the hawks will get rolled.

Any reasoning behind this or just going with your gut?

 

[Pies n Punt]

Any reasoning behind this or just going with your gut?

Roos look rejuvenated these last couple of weeks and the odds are against the Hawks to keep this winning streak going. Law of averages. Last time they played the kangas should have won and would have if not for inaccurate kicking. I would have been more confident had the game been at Etihad but in any case I think Roos +21.5 is a very good bet.

 

[Vhaluus]

Roos look rejuvenated these last couple of weeks and the odds are against the Hawks to keep this winning streak going. Law of averages. Last time they played the kangas should have won and would have if not for inaccurate kicking. I would have been more confident had the game been at Etihad but in any case I think Roos +21.5 is a very good bet.

That is not how averages work. If I flip a coin on average it will come up heads 50% of the time. If it comes up tails and I flip it again does that mean its more likely to come up heads now? no, it's still a 50% chance.

 

[dandyjester]

BOM is now forecasting 70% chance of showers for Sunday in Perth,6-10mm...All weather models are now pretty much agreeing now too.

Predicted rainfall reduced to 2-4mm now Bom

Sent from my SM-G900I using Tapatalk

 

[free at last]

Predicted rainfall reduced to 2-4mm now Bom

Sent from my SM-G900I using Tapatalk

Saw that...The cold front for Sunday appears to have stalled a bit.BOM is still forecasting a 90% of showers for Perth and it's not saying morning or afternoon either.

 

[CranktheAnchors]

The three weather models I look at to see if rain is a strong chance are conflicting with each other....The U.S. and the European models are in agreement of rain showers throughout the day in Perth.The Bureau of meteorology is showing rain showers earlier in the day and then again closer to nightfall!

There will be definitely a good amount of precipitation occurring in Perth this weekend,still to far out to know with any confidence of when.

Hey free at last. Do you have access to any weather modelling for the cricket in Sri Lanka? Cheers

 

[Woody15]

My logic was that was it? it was a small part a...................

I havent shot any1 in the foot for having an opinion. If you posted logical reasoning behind your opinion kangas will win, fair enough. But you didnt. Sounded more like a gut feel. Please feel free to go through my posts and you may discover this. Ive been wrong plenty of times, and ive been right plenty of times (more so right lately ).

Your comments regarding 99% people in here not knowing what they are doing and that most people fall in the red is also fairly chilidsh and unbased.

 

[OhhhhhCyril]

If there is 1 valuable lesson I have ever learnt when it comes to punting. It's never back Richmond .. Like ever campaigners have ****ed me on many occasions.


Happy to take Pendles 30+ @2.25 has covered for me last 2 weeks.
And Pies 1-39
Maybe something on the Unders total score.

 

[mookieb]

Roos look rejuvenated these last couple of weeks and the odds are against the Hawks to keep this winning streak going. Law of averages. Last time they played the kangas should have won and would have if not for inaccurate kicking. I would have been more confident had the game been at Etihad but in any case I think Roos +21.5 is a very good bet.

Let's see if we can make a case for the Kangaroos?

In Melbourne vs top 8 teams they have won 2 and lost 2, however, the loss to Geelong was unavoidable due to injuries and they were up by 2 goals at half time. Against Hawthorn you could make a case that they should have won, but for poor kicking. They had some key personnel out that day but put in a fantastic performance.

Against other teams in Melbourne they are 6 and 1.

Had a very bad stretch where a combination of injuries, schedule and travel crippled them. Been in good form the last couple of weeks.

Working against them is that they have 6 1st 22 players out injured which has stretched their depth. Hawks form has built beautifully and they will benefit from the game at the G not Etihad. I would think this will be a very big game for the Hawks - lose this one and you have a tough trip to WA the week after. Drop both and their premiership aspirations take a body blow.

So Hawks to win Kangas cover the line?

 

[free at last]

Hey free at last. Do you have access to any weather modelling for the cricket in Sri Lanka? Cheers

Go to stormsurf and click on the Indian Ocean icon then click the precipitation icon/word,it's in the top right of screen,click and modelling should start.
I looked at the Galle forecast,looks kinda okay for the next 2-3 days or so.

 

[Jimmy69r]

I know Richmond were poor last week, but does anyone think they were saving themselves for this game against Collingwood?
Im on collingwood -15pts but I have a feeling Richmond wont just roll over at the MCG in front of their fans

 

[Chism]

Can we play nice now?

 

[mookieb]

I know Richmond were poor last week, but does anyone think they were saving themselves for this game against Collingwood?
Im on collingwood -15pts but I have a feeling Richmond wont just roll over at the MCG in front of their fans

I jumped on Collingwood when they were even money a couple of weeks ago. Seemed like a gift. Since then they have rolled over in the 4th vs Hawthorn and not turned up against GWS.

I'm a bit worried about the game now though because there will be a fair amount of pressure (couple of ass. coaches flicked) and an insipid performance would surely ramp up pressure on Hardwick. However, they simply don't have the cattle to win and certainly without Delidio. Have won 6 games (Carl, Ess x2, Bris, Freo and Syd which looks like an outlier). So have only really beaten really poor teams and Collingwood is currently performing at a pretty good level over their last 6 games.

 

[X_box_X]

Can we play nice now?

I'm confused. Seems OK to me.

 

[Chism]

I'm confused. Seems OK to me.

Tis been cleaned dats why!

 

[The_Big_Ship]

Either u 15.5
Port +40.5
Haw 25+
GWS 1-39
WB +7.5
Adel 25+
Stk o 15.5
Gee
Fre +44.5

15 @ 117

 

[X_box_X]

Tis been cleaned dats why!

Fair

 

[benji21]

4U freo/wce 150 or less @3.60
With the weather expected. This price seems a little high

1U 151 to 160 6.25 to go with this

 

[Jonny Piers]

Line at 172.5 for pies v richmond looks about right on paper. thinking unders though
1. Cox is back and Moore out, Pies score considerable less with Cox in the team
2. Poor defensive performance last week from Richmond, Hardwick may come out defensively
3. Richmond attack is horrible atm

thoughts?

 

[X_box_X]

I reckon we might see a massive result tonight.

I'm on Tigers 40+ at $25.

 

[chrisdon16]

Richmond/Collingwood-U175.5

 

[apolis]

I jumped on Collingwood when they were even money a couple of weeks ago. Seemed like a gift. Since then they have rolled over in the 4th vs Hawthorn and not turned up against GWS.

I'm a bit worried about the game now though because there will be a fair amount of pressure (couple of ass. coaches flicked) and an insipid performance would surely ramp up pressure on Hardwick. However, they simply don't have the cattle to win and certainly without Delidio. Have won 6 games (Carl, Ess x2, Bris, Freo and Syd which looks like an outlier). So have only really beaten really poor teams and Collingwood is currently performing at a pretty good level over their last 6 games.

I'm on Collingwood also. Pies are the top tackling team in the comp (+175 for the year) while Richmond are the worst (-192) so if anything I think the Pies pressure is going to be too intense for the Tigers to handle.

 

[The_Big_Ship]

$20 draw @ 67

 

[demon_fanatic]

Sydney/Port-U176.5
Melbourne/Hawthorn-U180.5
Fremantle/West Coast-U167.5

What's your guys reasons for Hawks Dee's under....? Weather Gunna be ok and dees will set themselves for this can see a Hawks 105 dees 90 type score i think

 

[benji21]

It's the richmond curse