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AFL 2020 - AFL Finals Week One (no aftertiming allowed)

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demon_fanatic said:
Are finals traditionally way lower in disposals or was last night an anomaly? I heard late on Rockckiff or someone was like the only player on
Whole ground over 20 touches! Think Neale and Lyons go well tonight but maybe well for a final will only be 22-26 touches not near 30??
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Dangerfield, Rockliff, Boak, Wines all had 22 possessions or more.

Keep in mind, both of these teams have been incredibly difficult to amass disposals against.
 
Ohh Ok said:
3u Neale most disposals @ $1.91 (SB)

No massive threats here. Lions third most restrictive team in terms of opponent disposals, whilst we know Neale will go into this one without the threat of a tag.
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I like it. Included in all three of my three-leg multis.

Of the three, here's my favourite:

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Berry has kicked a goal in each of his last three matches, Riewoldt kicked four against this mob last time.
 

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2u Prestia Under 21.5 disposals $1.80 (unibet and betfair)

Hard to back him for overs on this one after such a long time away from the game. Went 3/5 unders this total prior to injury. Won’t see his usual TOG, and whilst he was gone plenty of guys have shown they can join in on the rotation. They’ll be making sure he is right for the next game.
 
Last bets for the night:

3u Highest Scoring Half - 1st Half $2.02 (lads)
1u Brisbane 1st Half SU, Richmond SU, McCluggage 15+ $9.25 (SB)

20/30 games this one has saluted at the Gabba this season now. Bookies rate it a 49% chance, what we’ve seen this season is a 66% strike rate. I like this one to hit in. A night game as the few begins to hit.

Brisbane #1 first half side and expect them to come out with a bang. Quite a young side still who will put it all on the line, and have lots of energy early. As the second half sets in we may see a few of the guys who have been absent find their feet and the experience and poise kick in for the tigers. May see some nerves from the Lions at times too once the adrenaline wears off. Like McCluggage to get 15+ only missed 3 times and had a quietish end to the year, should be looking to bounce back after a rest!
 

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Like it, going to continue my betting as follows

$150 on lions SU $2.08 (pb lead at half time promo)

$176 on Tigers SU $1.77 (b365)

Worst case lose $14 if both team leads at HT/FT,

Best case - collect on both if lions HT/ Tigers FT
Ohh Ok said:
Last bets for the night:

3u Highest Scoring Half - 1st Half $2.02 (lads)
1u Brisbane 1st Half SU, Richmond SU, McCluggage 15+ $9.25 (SB)

20/30 games this one has saluted at the Gabba this season now. Bookies rate it a 49% chance, what we’ve seen this season is a 66% strike rate. I like this one to hit in. A night game as the few begins to hit.

Brisbane #1 first half side and expect them to come out with a bang. Quite a young side still who will put it all on the line, and have lots of energy early. As the second half sets in we may see a few of the guys who have been absent find their feet and the experience and poise kick in for the tigers. May see some nerves from the Lions at times too once the adrenaline wears off. Like McCluggage to get 15+ only missed 3 times and had a quietish end to the year, should be looking to bounce back after a rest!
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AFL 2020 - AFL Finals Week One (no aftertiming allowed)

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