AFL 2020 - AFL Round 5

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BuddysBuddy23

Club Legend
Mar 28, 2012
1,745
2,766
3rd spooky castle on left
AFL Club
Hawthorn
Other Teams
Pittsburgh Steelers Perth Scorchers
Isn't that 136ish under normal quarters? Massive ask - though he seems to beat his line every week
Not sure what it equates to with a normal game, I’ll take your word for it though. He’s averaging 102 fantasy and had 117 fantasy last week v Mumford. I just think he gets a hold of Phillips at stoppages & centre bounces, not to mention around the ground. $1.88 is worth chucking $10 on all the same
 

Parko31

Senior List
Apr 8, 2014
167
119
AFL Club
Essendon
Not sure what it equates to with a normal game, I’ll take your word for it though. He’s averaging 102 fantasy and had 117 fantasy last week v Mumford. I just think he gets a hold of Phillips at stoppages & centre bounces, not to mention around the ground. $1.88 is worth chucking $10 on all the same
Blues fans please weigh in on if Phillips is a good ruckman? Also Grundy has been a bit under the weather with a hip corky a few weeks ago not sure if he's okay now or not just something to keep in mind
 

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burge13

Club Legend
Jan 25, 2019
2,295
2,804
AFL Club
Adelaide
A mate bet Carlton on the 29th, game moved from MCG to Marvel on the 30th. He (claims he) was unaware of the move to Marvel until I said something today

Reckon he's eligible for the bet to be void due to location change? I think yes if he brought it up before the bounce but too late now. Never know though
 

iluvparis

Hall of Famer
Apr 1, 2005
33,938
26,366
AFL Club
Carlton
Other Teams
Calgary Flames, Man Utd
A mate bet Carlton on the 29th, game moved from MCG to Marvel on the 30th. He (claims he) was unaware of the move to Marvel until I said something today

Reckon he's eligible for the bet to be void due to location change? I think yes if he brought it up before the bounce but too late now. Never know though
No chance now
 

5 Bucks

Team Captain
Apr 20, 2011
397
68
AFL Club
Western Bulldogs
Merrett has been playing half back/wing. Shiel and McGrath seem to be the only pure mids with Parish, Stringer, Langford, Walla, Smith all playing M/F rotation roles.
Hibberd is also debuting, who Essendon recruited as an inside midfielder.
Good luck though I just don't think Merrett/Heppell out will change much.
I thought the same thing but you'll notice that the bombers have also brought in Laverde so that should free up Parish to move into the middle.
 

dontlimitme

Senior List
May 20, 2016
227
263
AFL Club
GWS
freezing cold wintery day in melbourne today + MCG = i think it's going to be low scoring, like the under 110.5, think similar to the 47-44 last week cats vs dees at the G
 

Ohh Ok

All Australian
Jul 31, 2018
732
823
AFL Club
Adelaide
3.5u Collingwood SU, Pendlebury 15+, Shiel 15+, McGrath 15+ @ $1.80 (SB)
2u Adams over 19.5 @ $1.97 (lads/neds)
1.25u Parish AGS @ $3.20 (365)
1.25u D.Smith AGS @ $3.20 (BE)

Confident that Collingwood bounce back from a game they should’ve won. Pendles, Shiels, McGrath all been the main ball winners for their sides this season.

Happy to take the price on Parish and Smith, definitely rate these higher than the 30~% chance that the bookies are suggesting. Both take almost a shot a game.

Reckon I’ll play Ablett AGS ($1.77). If you’re in to probability and situational games this bets an absolute winner imo. Going to wait a bit longer though and see if the total drops down and pushes the odds out for this one a bit.
 

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Sausage Legs

All Australian
Sep 17, 2014
654
607
AFL Club
West Coast
A mate bet Carlton on the 29th, game moved from MCG to Marvel on the 30th. He (claims he) was unaware of the move to Marvel until I said something today

Reckon he's eligible for the bet to be void due to location change? I think yes if he brought it up before the bounce but too late now. Never know though
If it's with Ladbrokes they void mine after 3 games but with 1 leg remaining
 

NYRB

Club Legend
Oct 6, 2011
2,524
846
Auckland, New Zealand
AFL Club
GWS
Other Teams
Patriots, Perth Glory, Wildcats
Any thoughts on Ess +17.5? Cold, wet, windy night and a biggish line for a team coming off the Steele Sidebottom fiasco...

I think it will be a lot closer than the odds suggest. Sidebottom I reckon has been Collingwoods best player this season, if not he is definitely in their top 3 for sure.

I reckon the Bombers will cover the handicap personally.
 

NonPhixion

Bookie Assassin
Mar 27, 2018
3,150
3,634
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
I’m going to give C.Brown 1 more chance this week
1U AGS $2.55 - lads
0.5U 2+ $8.50 - SB
0.3U 3+ $41 - SB

Staked so 1 goal will still turn a profit. Conditions should really favor him tonight
 

burge13

Club Legend
Jan 25, 2019
2,295
2,804
AFL Club
Adelaide
I’m going to give C.Brown 1 more chance this week
1U AGS $2.55 - lads
0.5U 2+ $8.50 - SB
0.3U 3+ $41 - SB

Staked so 1 goal will still turn a profit. Conditions should really favor him tonight
Watching him last week, he isn't very selfish - always looked to handball rather than snap himself. Prefer greed around goals for these bets but happy to back you in again. Hopefully he makes the distance from 30m out this week!!
 

Ohh Ok

All Australian
Jul 31, 2018
732
823
AFL Club
Adelaide
2.5u Grundy 150+ supercoach points $2.10 (TAB)

Wet weather = more stoppages. Up against Phillips who he should destroy.
 

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