AFL 2020 - AFL Round 5

[burge13]

Would be cautious adding Docherty to any same game multis for 20+ possies tomorrow night. Geary is set to return and from all reports will do a fwd tagging role on Doc who has been in great form

Jeez AFL is getting bad when a decade long s**t team like Carlton are getting their HB flanker whos missed 2 full seasons tagged.

Play with some dare/risk ffs. No wonder Gil keeps changing the rules

 

[NonPhixion]

McKay AGS, Crippa 20+, Hill 15+ $2.68
using SB SGM promo

 

[NonPhixion]

Billings O79.5 $1.88 Fantasy - BE
Taken his game to the next level, scores of 87, 112, 64, 87. Feel the line should be atleast 85

 

[BuddysBuddy23]

Jeez AFL is getting bad when a decade long sh*t tea like Carlton are getting their HB flanker whos missed 2 full seasons tagged.

Play with some dare/risk ffs. No wonder Gil keeps changing the rules

Agree wholeheartedly, I think tagging should be erased from the game altogether. No one wants to watch the best player/s from each side get shut down each and every week. But from what I’ve read it’s a big possibility that Geary goes to Doc this weekend

 

[burge13]

Agree wholeheartedly, I think tagging should be erased from the game altogether. No one wants to watch the best player/s from each side get shut down each and every week. But from what I’ve read it’s a big possibility that Geary goes to Doc this weekend

I dont mind tagging as such. Every player on field should be somewhat accountable for someone defensively but as a team your first instinct should be to attack. Tagging a HB flanker from a bottom 6 side is just sad...

 

[5 Bucks]

Parish 15+ $2
Continued to play the awful forward pocket role last week but with Merrett out hoping he finally sees a bit of midfield time, could spend some time on a wing potentially. He gets even half the game up the ground and he'll cover this easily

Mitch Hibberd to debut. Plays inside midfield and Parish was quite effective with 2 goals last week so I don't like his chances of midfield minutes this week.

 

[benji21]

Dan butler to kick 2 and 3 goals, kicked plenty this year and is leading tackles inside 50 this year (might get a holding the ball).

 

[NYRB]

Unibet decided to post their Total Match Points line this morning. Odds are nothing to ride home about. Their margins are set at 22-23%. The best line to bet on there in comparison with the other 5 bookies is the 181-190 line. (Sportsbet/TAB/TopSport/Neds/Palmerbet)

 

[Sausage Legs]

Unibet decided to post their Total Match Points line this morning. Odds are nothing to ride home about. Their margins are set at 22-23%. The best line to bet on there in comparison with the other 5 bookies is the 181-190 line. (Sportsbet/TAB/TopSport/Neds/Palmerbet)

View attachment 904294

I think you'll find with nearly every sport/racing bookies set the margin at 20-25 percent and slowly ease it closer to the event.

 

[BuddysBuddy23]

SGM Cripps 20+, Billings 20+ & Butler AGS $3 Ladbrokes

 

[burge13]

I don't rate Carlton so perhaps bias but St Kilda tonight at $1.85?? I really like it. Decent side at Marvel, Jones out a loss but still have Hill for that run.

What am I missing here? I'd price them 1.60ish

Edit: price has moved from 1.80 to 1.90 the last hour or so. Someone late out?

 

[dontlimitme]

really like St Kilda tonight at marvel as well, esp at the price and on sportsbet 6up halftime promo

 

[tangolikelama]

SGM @26

Saints H2H
Butler 2+
Walsh 15+
Ross 15+ Steele 15+
Cripps ATG
Marshall ATG

 

[GROTTO]

I don't rate Carlton so perhaps bias

Thats because they gave us a defective Gibbs.

 

[dontlimitme]

Lotto ticket AGS multi

Casboult/Butler/Mihocek/Stevenson/Papley/JJK/Danger/Rohan/Westhoff/Hipwood/Zurhaar/Brown/Hogan/Walker/Fritsch/Lynch/Greene/Cameron

50$ @ 215 (Sportsbet boosted to 263)

 

[TBellicious]

I don't rate Carlton so perhaps bias but St Kilda tonight at $1.85?? I really like it. Decent side at Marvel, Jones out a loss but still have Hill for that run.

What am I missing here? I'd price them 1.60ish

Edit: price has moved from 1.80 to 1.90 the last hour or so. Someone late out?

Adelaide fan not rating Carlton is really sweet not gonna lie. I think the prices look about right, probably a 60/40 game to them.

 

[burge13]

Adelaide fan not rating Carlton is really sweet not gonna lie. I think the prices look about right, probably a 60/40 game to them.

It's not a personal, deep-seeded hatred so not sure why it's sweet coming from me...
They're just not good. No longer shambolic like we have become but still a bloody average side at best

 

[andwhenitcomes]

Jarryn Geary AGS @ 5.00, 2+ @ 23, 3+ @ 151 (all bet365).

Worth a nibble - sounds like he'll take up his defensive forward role again if, unlike me, you can get a decent stake on with them

 

[NYRB]

2+ Goals Eddie Betts & 2+ Goals Max King @ odds of $12.75 with the Boost

Even though Max didnt score any goals last week, you know he will be a chance with a bag of goals with the way he presents himself up forward. Plays like his brother at Gold Coast. And Eddie is Eddie , he can do anything on his day.

 

[sneak]

5u stk -1.5 @1.95

 

[Ohh Ok]

4u Ross 15+, Billings 15+, Curnow 15+ @ $1.75 (SB)
2u Docherty Under 23.5 @ $1.87 (lads)
1.25u Both teams to score 60+ @ $2.70 (lads)

 

[NYRB]

Had a bit of a giggle with a few scorecast results tonight:

1 unit Cripps 1st goal x Saints Win = $65.00
1 unit Eddie Betts 1st goal x Saints Win= $36.25
1 unit Max King 1st goal x Blues Win= $34.50
1 unit Marsh 1st goal x Blues Win= $69.50
0.50 unit Murphy 1st goal x Saints win= $99.50
1 unit Dan Butler 2+ Goals & Total Match Points 161-170 = $37.50
0.50 unit Max King to kick 5+ goals at $101.00

As well as

2.5 units Cripps 2 + goals & 25+ disposals at $18.75
2.5 units Cripps to Score a goal in 1st half & score a goal in 2nd half at $14
2.5 units Cripps most Disposals in Group (Cripps, Walsh, Docherty, Murphy, Ross, Billings, Hannebery, Jack Steele) x Sam Walsh Over 18.5 diposals x Over 127.5 points at $16.50

I haven't watch much of Carlton this year but based on results this year, this might be a close one either way.

 

[targett]

 

[targett]

 

[chennef]

Cheeky tenner on this:
15+ Cunningham, Gibbons, Hill, Gresham, Clark
AGS Betts & Butler
$15.5 SB