AFL 2022 AFL Round 2

[IDIG]

anyone else tempted to hammer GWS ?
Richmond had 40 inside 50s against carlton.
Gws have a superior team and midfield
they should win this easily?

Dusty Out, the price has already moved.

did you pull the trigger mate?

 

[tominator8]

Can anyone find the centre bounce attendance article for Rd1?
They used to release one every round in previous seasons but cant seem to find one for round 1 this season.

Try this mate

CBAs - DFS Australia

Centre Bounce Attendances are available from the 2020 season. Average refers to the percentage of CBAs each player has attended for the season (considering only those games they have played). Each round is denoted as percentage of CBAs attended for that round. Centre Bounce Attendance Percentage...

www.dfsaustralia.com

 

[langdon19]

anyone else tempted to hammer GWS ?

No,no,no
Pound them

 

[md20]

Try this mate

CBAs - DFS Australia

Centre Bounce Attendances are available from the 2020 season. Average refers to the percentage of CBAs each player has attended for the season (considering only those games they have played). Each round is denoted as percentage of CBAs attended for that round. Centre Bounce Attendance Percentage...

www.dfsaustralia.com

This is perfect, thanks.

 

[Veer Right]

Pies -19.5
Melbourne -23.5
Saints +14.5

 

[mouncey2franklin]

My bets for tonight

Durdin 1u each 2+ ($3.50), 3+ ($10), 4+ ($36), 5+ ($187) (all sb)

Silvagni 0.5u each on 2+ ($4.50), 3+ ($17), 4+ ($51), 5+ ($251) (all sb)

Fogarty 2u AGS @ $2.25 (pb), 0.5u 4+ @ $235 (sb)

Owies 2u 2+ @ $4 (pb)

Scott .5u 4+ @ $266 (sb)

---

Curnow kicked seven goals against the Dogs last time he played them.

1u 3+ @ $6 (pb), 1u 4+ @ $17 (sb), 1u 5+ @ $67 (TAB), 1u 6+ @ $101 (TAB)

Total outlay for match: 15u

Good luck everybody

 

[dontlimitme]

My bets for tonight

Durdin 1u each 2+ ($3.50), 3+ ($10), 4+ ($36), 5+ ($187) (all sb)

Silvagni 0.5u each on 2+ ($4.50), 3+ ($17), 4+ ($51), 5+ ($251) (all sb)

Fogarty 2u AGS @ $2.25 (pb), 0.5u 4+ @ $235 (sb)

Owies 2u 2+ @ $4 (pb)

Scott .5u 4+ @ $266 (sb)

---

Curnow kicked seven goals against the Dogs last time he played them.

1u 3+ @ $6 (pb), 1u 4+ @ $17 (sb), 1u 5+ @ $67 (TAB), 1u 6+ @ $101 (TAB)

Total outlay for match: 15u

Good luck everybody

gl sir mounce!

 

[The_Steadier]

Having a dip at Macrae most possies G1 + either of Owies or Curnow most goals.

Here's a selection of examples of my high roller stakes:

 

[IDIG]

Kreuger coming in for the pies. Played as a key back at the cats but the pies plan to play him as a fwd.

Bookies haven't got him up yet but might be worth jumping for anytime, 2+ especially if they price him as a defender.

“He is versatile and someone who, with his aerial abilities, can complement Brody Mihocek

28

Brody Mihocek

Age

33

Ht

192cm

Wt

99kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.9

3star

K

8.2

3star

HB

3.7

3star

M

5.3

5star

T

2.0

4star

G

1.6

5star

D

8.4

2star

K

6.3

3star

HB

2.1

2star

M

4.3

4star

T

1.9

3star

G

1.7

5star

D

10.2

3star

K

6.4

3star

HB

3.8

3star

M

4.6

5star

T

1.8

4star

G

1.6

5star

and Darcy Cameron

14

Darcy Cameron

Age

30

Ht

204cm

Wt

103kg

Pos.

Ruck

Career

Season

Last 5

D

6.0

1star

K

3.3

1star

HB

2.7

2star

CL

0.3

2star

HO

5.3

5star

D

7.5

2star

K

4.5

2star

HB

3.0

2star

CL

0.5

3star

HO

3.5

5star

D

6.0

2star

K

3.3

2star

HB

2.7

3star

CL

0.3

2star

HO

5.3

5star

and our other tall forwards.

 

[jefffff34]

Also on Macrae most touches and Curnow most goals.

 

[bluebob1]

These are the PointsBet spreads for the Stat Multiplier for tomorrow nights games (Kicks x Handballs x Goals). I have included the number of occurrences these players have landed on for the 2021 and 2022 matches cumulative:

View attachment 1352593


With $1 stakes, these are my tips

Bontempelli- NO PLAY
Dunkley - NO PLAY
Naughton- UNDER 62
Macrae- OVER 66
English- NO PLAY
Hunter- OVER 42
Vandermeer- NO PLAY
Weightman- NO PLAY


Cripps- UNDER 163
Kennedy- UNDER 102
Walsh - OVER 83
Fisher- UNDER 62
Harry McKay - OVER 43
Curnow- NO PLAY

Fisher under looks the pick to me. Should be breakeven if he kicks 1 which he doesnt too often. Cripps under looks risky the data you are relying on is from last year where he was mostly playing injured. Looks to be moving much freer.

 

[md20]

Cripps 100+SC/125+SC @ 2.15/5.50
Hewett 100+SC/125+SC @ 2.30/6.50

I assume they've been priced off historical numbers against the dogs but both are different beasts this year. Both scored 130+ last week and come up against the dogs who like to go head to head against opposition mids (Petracca 38 disposals for 163sc, Oliver 32d for 112sc last week).

If the blues dont get pantsed, i reckon they're a real sniff. Cripps in particular.

Is supercoach scoring a fair bit different to fantasy scoring?
Neds have Cripps 100+ $2.25 for fantasy points

 

[kicksome]

Hopefully the weather is not as bad as they are predicting. I think McLean is a tall?

uugh, im a goose.
lets hope he gets like 4 chopping of the arms free kicks

 

[Del125763]

Fisher under looks the pick to me. Should be breakeven if he kicks 1 which he doesnt too often. Cripps under looks risky the data you are relying on is from last year where he was mostly playing injured. Looks to be moving much freer.

Good point about Cripps. He looks a lot more fitter this year than last year. I think im backing on him spending a bit of time in the forward line like he did last year.


Also you would be a brave man to think Cripps doesnt snag a goal or 2 tonight.

 

[kicksome]

Kreuger coming in for the pies. Played as a key back at the cats but the pies plan to play him as a fwd.

very good, I was hoping he would get a game, He kicked 2 goals in a practice match and got knocked out in the other one

 

[Veer Right]

Cripps 100+SC/125+SC @ 2.15/5.50
Hewett 100+SC/125+SC @ 2.30/6.50

I assume they've been priced off historical numbers against the dogs but both are different beasts this year. Both scored 130+ last week and come up against the dogs who like to go head to head against opposition mids (Petracca 38 disposals for 163sc, Oliver 32d for 112sc last week).

If the blues dont get pantsed, i reckon they're a real sniff. Cripps in particular.

Cripps 5.50 is now 4.00.... Lasted less then two hours! I think it's still good value even now.

 

[Punter88]

did you pull the trigger mate?

no missed it ****k

 

[Punter88]

why is the price drifting for dees? gold coast are terrible

 

[md20]

McKay 4+
Treloar 2+
Fogarty AGS
Bontempelli 110+ Fantasy Points
Cripps 100+ Fantasy Points
$157.15 (Neds)

Also the same multi but with Dunkley 110+ Fantasy Points instead of Bont @ $125.97 (Neds)

 

[Del125763]

Surprised to see the payout limit of AFL Fantasy spreads (at PointsBet) is around 60 x of initial stake.


PointsBet Spreads for AFL Fantasy:


I dont follow AFL Fantasy that closely, but im guessing scores of 120 or so would mean you are pretty much close to top of the pile in a match?

I'd be keen to see how regular a score of say 180+ as an occurrence in a match.

 

[Bucking Bronco]

Surprised to see the payout limit of AFL Fantasy spreads (at PointsBet) is around 60 x of initial stake.


PointsBet Spreads for AFL Fantasy:
View attachment 1352892

I dont follow AFL Fantasy that closely, but im guessing scores of 120 or so would mean you are pretty much close to top of the pile in a match?

I'd be keen to see how regular a score of say 180+ as an occurrence in a match.

Dream Team Scoring Records @ FanFooty

Historical list of records for Dream Team scoring for Aussie Rules football players in the AFL compiled for FanFooty's fantasy football game.

www.fanfooty.com.au

Not very common. Once a year or so.

 

[IDIG]

Is supercoach scoring a fair bit different to fantasy scoring?
Neds have Cripps 100+ $2.25 for fantasy points

Yeah the scoring is quite different. I don't love Cripps for fantasy as he's never really been a great fantasy or dream teamer which is driven by basic stats and more suited to accumulators. Whereas Supercoach rewards contested possessions and efficiency which suits Cripps more.

He does look like he's moving much better this year though and would probably need to snag a couple of goals to get there.

 

[Geead]

My 3+ SGM bet on TAB tonight

My thinking is:

• Owies to snag a couple, kicked 2 last time out against the Dogs + kicked 0.2 last week - so hoping he can kick his first couple for the season
• Libba 20+ hoping Bailey Smith
  3

  Bailey Smith

  Age

  25

  Ht

  185cm

  Wt

  86kg

  Pos.

  M/F

  Career

  Season

  Last 5

  D

  18.3

  5star

  K

  8.5

  3star

  HB

  9.8

  5star

  M

  2.3

  2star

  T

  3.8

  5star

  CL

  2.7

  4star

  D

  19.8

  5star

  K

  9.6

  4star

  HB

  10.2

  5star

  M

  1.8

  2star

  T

  3.2

  4star

  CL

  3.2

  4star

  D

  14.8

  4star

  K

  7.6

  3star

  HB

  7.2

  5star

  M

  2.0

  3star

  T

  3.4

  5star

  CL

  1.6

  4star

  out means more middle time for Libba to rack up some disposals
• Kennedy 20+ liked Kennedy in the middle last week, think he should defs hit at least 20+

 

[kicksome]

Ok with the Sydney cats game since I've probably buggered up with going for McLean for goals since he's a tall and it's going to be wet, what does anything think of this one.
Oliver florent

14

Oliver Florent

Age

27

Ht

184cm

Wt

84kg

Pos.

D/M

Career

Season

Last 5

D

16.7

4star

K

9.9

4star

HB

6.8

4star

M

3.0

3star

T

2.2

4star

MG

350.0

5star

D

18.3

4star

K

11.7

5star

HB

6.6

4star

M

3.0

3star

T

2.1

3star

MG

350.0

5star

D

9.6

3star

K

6.2

3star

HB

3.4

3star

M

1.0

1star

T

2.2

4star

:
1+ $2.30
2+ $8
3+ $34

Kicked 3.0 past week and kicked 2 the last time he played the cats. Food for thought

 

[ShaunWDT]

U have to be a troll surely

Either a troll or needs to self exclude for his own safety lmao, strange betting strategies.