Imagine you posting clusters of teams in a Ladder Prediction thread, and gloating that your 'Ladder Predictor' is better than mine (which may very well be the most accurate in the entire thread - I'm still waiting for evidence to the contrary), despite the fact you didn't even do a Ladder Predictor.Imagine my ladder predictor being more accurate than yours, glad you dug it up for me Fadge
Can't be bothered doing a spreadsheet though
But that's OK. Because I'm here to call you out on your deceitfulness.
I've taken the five minutes required to transform your 'clusters' into Ladder Predictors, and the results are in!
Because you only shared 'clusters' - I have deduced two scenarios - best case (Arrow BC) and worst case (Arrow WC), with the outcomes as follows:
As you can see, if you ranked the teams from your respective clusters in the absolute best case scenario, your resulting Ladder Predictor is AS ACCURATE as mine. That is the ABSOLUTE BEST CASE. But we do know the likelihood (or dare I say, probability) of that being the case though, don't we? Particularly when we take into consideration the fact you had previously declared Collingwood weren't going to be making top 4, and also nominated Brisbane as the big drifter.
Obviously, when your best case scenario is only as accurate as my actual Ladder Predictor, your worst case scenario is miles off. Miles.
So from this we can deduce:
- Fadge's Ladder Predictor is in the top one percentile of all Ladder Predictions in the thread. Starting with Collingwood and Brisbane as the top 2 teams, in that order;
- Arr0w's clustered groupings are in the bottom 20% of all analyses in the thread. Starting with Richmond (LOL), Melbourne (Hmmm) and Geelong (forgivable) as the Top 3 teams. Followed by your declarations re: Collingwood and Brisbane (referenced above).
Wowee.