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Position 2026 Rucks

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They should trade him and we can all lock in Jackson for the next five years

Darcy was set to dominate. That one year hes was averaging like 140 first half the season.

my spies tell me Nonghead is mesmerised by the prospect of becoming a sainter next yr and creating a ruck menage a trois

so freo need to keep darcy up and about for the inevidble
 
English and Gawn will benefit most from ruck changes. They might not get to every contest but they play around the ground and intercept any ball kicked out of defence. Darcy & Naughton already ruck the forward 50 contests for English while he sits in the midfield. Gawn plays big stints in the forward and defensive 50s taking marks.

Xerri made a killing in physical rucking so he's the biggest worry. Same with ROB & Marshall. Marshall's role is going to change anyways.

TDK might benefit but with a new team it's best to be cautious on him.

Jackson is playing more midfield from reports. He might be a monster option or drop off in avg because he's got to learn a new role on top of rucking and kpf. Either way he's going to be around the ground more than when he was last season with a fit Darcy.

Cameron. No longer has Cox. He's doing it alone now. New rules might hinder him anyways. Frampton was drafted as a ruck so he might be that ruck chop out tandem.

Blicavs & Stanley. Wouldn't be surprised depending how the season goes Geelong look at changing their rucks around again. SDK got booted out of the ruck because he wasn't strong enough to compete.

Grundy will be good. He's improved himself around the ground that he can compete.

Briggs might be an option.
Cameron's the one that I keep coming back to. Better intercept marker than the others, except maybe Gawn. Less attendance at ruck contests than the others and less reliance of HTA for SC scoring.
 

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It helps Darcy more I reckon. After writing all that I realised that a fit Darcy without Jackson breathing down his neck means he's going to be back to at least his old 100+ self. He's also cheap.
Darcy is too risky for me. If he gets injured he's at a price where there's no other rucks around him that are relevant. Unless you're picking him as flex.
 
Cameron's the one that I keep coming back to. Better intercept marker than the others, except maybe Gawn. Less attendance at ruck contests than the others and less reliance of HTA for SC scoring.

I definitely want to dive more into it, but Cameron and English seem to have the lowest correlation between hitouts and big scores.
Xerri especially drops off a cliff when he has less than 30 HO's. (I just wish his first 3-4 games weren't so juicy! 🧐)

Maybe it's worth factoring in early trades...
Xerri -> English, Anderson -> Bont...

(It means nailing the rooks tho...)

EDIT: Sorry, I did muck up the BYEs there, but you get the idea...
 
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I definitely want to dive more into it, but Cameron and English seem to have the lowest correlation between hitouts and big scores.
Xerri especially drops off a cliff when he has less than 30 HO's. (I just wish his first 3-4 games weren't so juicy! 🧐)

Maybe it's worth factoring in early trades...
Xerri -> English, Anderson -> Bont...

(It means nailing the rooks tho...)
I'm warming to English for a few reasons:

  • Historically bullied in ruck contests but good leap so new rules help
  • Great tank
  • Has gone large previously (128 avg in 2023)
  • Has played 23 games last 3 yrs, injury issues seem behind him
  • Can push fwd and kick a goal, might see more of this as less mobile rucks struggle with increased game pace
  • Expecting a bit more control from Dogs this yr so we don't get burnt as much on turnover, English historically gets involved in chip-chip when it happens
  • Solo ruck with Darcy chop out
 
Sorry, that's actually 320pts for $1.6m. If you meant 2 rookies then you'll have to add another $300k to your base cost (now $1.9m)

If I factor a 15% loss of output on the top 2 rucks then I'm only getting 216pts for a $1.3m outlay add an 80pt rookie and that's only ~ 300pts for $1.6m

If I'm upgrading a Mid MP to a premo then I'm going to target a mid with a pretty flash draw, so I'm hoping for an early average of 130+ not 110.

Looking at the numbers this way with 2 top rucks and 2 MP's

$1.38m for 216pts + $600k for 160pts = $1.98m for 376pts

$600k for 160pts (rucks) + $1.3m (mids) for 260pts = $1.9m for 420pts

So $80k better off (worth 16PPG) and 44pts, which makes a fair difference early doors especially when the loss of value v the gain in value is taken into account.


I forgot a comma lol. 😂

2x 150k rookies = 300k

cheap rookies are closer to 120 but I decided to leave in some ceiling. So if you have Jagga/Brodie on field and they each average 80 that’s 160 points from 238k

….

Even factoring in a 15% point reduction (which is unlikely especially given the draw Gawn/Xerri have but sure let’s go with it) that’s 376 points for 1.7M

It’s quite the claim that the midfielders you bring in will average 130 for the season. Which since they are keepers you aren’t trading them out so we’re talking season averages.

Let’s be generous and say they average 115-120 slightly above projected value.

Thats 390-400 points for 1.9M.

So your paying an extra 200k roughly for say 15-25 extra points (if the rucks drop 15%) which would be worth about 75-125k according to the magic number.

So the premium ruck option is margainly better…. If everything goes right for the midfield scenario.

Also it’s worth noting that mid pricers are the some of the most valuable points per dollar players in the game having a premium instead of them doesn’t help that equation.

What it does is helps with trade math and allows for certainty of production. From a pure value standpoint loading up on rookies and midpricers is better
 

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