AFL 'Bet of the Round' POTY

Should we allow members 1 pass per year?

  • YES

    Votes: 4 80.0%
  • NO

    Votes: 1 20.0%

  • Total voters
    5
  • Poll closed .

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JuniorWatch

Club Legend
Jun 13, 2016
1,445
2,189
AFL Club
Essendon
Well what a ripsnorter of a final round. Lids and NP who've been bobbing heads all year both win their bets but Lids comes good with a Josh Caddy hail mary to take the top spot. Mookieb had a great line multi at the end to shoot from 7th to 3rd.
Was great to see people's specialities form as the year went on.
Lids nailing some big tigers bets. 9/11 bets were on the tigers.
NP as ever hot on the GS markets.
Langdon excellent on the TP lines hitting 7/8 when just going a single line.
Ohhok consistent all year picking the best from all over the market.
The group ROI is 19%, meaning that if you took all the bets on the board all year, you'd be doing very well for yourself.
So well done everyone and thanks for participating.
There's murmuring around the punting board water cooler that someone, possibly the Grot might be running a finals tipping comp.
If you want your individual spreadsheets, DM me.

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Sausage Legs

All Australian
Sep 17, 2014
787
729
AFL Club
West Coast
With rules as mentioned my bet would be Jason Castagna anytime gs at 1.80 on sb
- Has saluted 20 of past 25.
- Has hit scoreboard 24 of past 25 with only miss being that horror first game back of year when both sides only kicked 5 goals.
-Weather seems fine and shouldn't worry his game style anyway.
-They play GWS who have given up 4th most points against for the year and it looks like the smaller brigade are doing the main damage.
In castagna we trust.
Goodnite fellas
 

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mookieb

Club Legend
Oct 4, 2006
1,948
1,319
Perth
AFL Club
Hawthorn
Line is moving in Syd direction, but i'll jump on Hawks -4.5 or i'll forget to post.

Very rare for a team that has ability to not clear the line after three atrocious performances.

Additionally Syd with their injuries are borderline Ade like in talent. I think even if Hawks are low on confidence then on talent they should squeak past, but personally expecting a more dominant performance than that.
 

JuniorWatch

Club Legend
Jun 13, 2016
1,445
2,189
AFL Club
Essendon
Line is moving in Syd direction, but i'll jump on Hawks -4.5 or i'll forget to post.

Very rare for a team that has ability to not clear the line after three atrocious performances.

Additionally Syd with their injuries are borderline Ade like in talent. I think even if Hawks are low on confidence then on talent they should squeak past, but personally expecting a more dominant performance than that.
Price and book plz
 

Hamingja

Brownlow Medallist
May 20, 2014
14,724
18,359
AFL Club
Geelong
Line is moving in Syd direction, but i'll jump on Hawks -4.5 or i'll forget to post.

Very rare for a team that has ability to not clear the line after three atrocious performances.

Additionally Syd with their injuries are borderline Ade like in talent. I think even if Hawks are low on confidence then on talent they should squeak past, but personally expecting a more dominant performance than that.
Agreed. Surely the Hawks just get it done on experience with Buddy, Kennedy and Heeney missing for the Swans. I'll enjoy the schadenfraude if they don't so win-win.
 

JuniorWatch

Club Legend
Jun 13, 2016
1,445
2,189
AFL Club
Essendon
And we're off!
All 14 members have resulted. 6/14 wins. 8% overall group ROI.
To the surprise of no one, GS guru NonPhixion got us off to a hot start with Sexton 2+ saluting at $5.
Was mostly down hill from there with a 3 members understandably getting snagged on the blues.
karaoke got a nice possession multi today on the swans and there were a few other nice line wins.
The 'Nathan Brown award for getting absolutely nowhere near it' goes to OhhDeledio for picking Sam Day to get 2+. Day had 4 touches and looked less likely to snag one than Spider Burton in the wet. To be fair it was the longest shot of the round.
Don't worry Lids, we'll all be picking this award up at some point this year ;)

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For upcoming footyfest rounds, it's pretty simple.
Just post once per round at any time.
Round 9 starts Wednesday and finishes Sunday week.
 
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Sausage Legs

All Australian
Sep 17, 2014
787
729
AFL Club
West Coast
Not sure if its too early or not to punt on next round but since everyone has their tickets in Ill nominate a simple 2 leg team multi.
Saints to beat Swans into Eags to beat Cats. 1.91.
 

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OhhDeledio

Club Legend
Jul 30, 2014
2,993
6,121
Melbourne
AFL Club
Richmond
tom lynch 2+ @2 on ladbrokes

(was tempted to go for the 3+ but as the inaugural nathan brown winner, thought i should just play it safe and get on the winners list. hopefully :drunk:)

3/8 for the year. as a richmond supporter its been frustrating watching the way we've been entering our fwd line, with the ball seemingly coming in like its been dropped from a helicopter making it impossible for our talls to have any real impact on the game. dimma flagged that execution and polish going inside 50 has been a real team focus for the week so we should see a change in the way we go forward and the big forwards should get on the end of some clean ball for once. conditions should be alright aswell probably just a bit of dew.

last 3 weeks has gone 1.1, 1.1, and 0.2. if you take out his first few years as a developing player, he has never gone more than 3 weeks without kicking mutiple goals in a game. different year this year obviously but is due at least a couple. will always have his shots, just needs to put them through. will bounce back this week.
 
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squeaky1000

Senior List
Apr 30, 2018
224
293
AFL Club
Hawthorn
Changing tack slightly with a SGM for tonight's game that I'm quite keen on.
SGM: Both teams 40+, Macrae 20+, Libba, Smith and Daniel 15+ $2.15 lads

Few legs but fairly confident barring injury, thinking it is a fairly open high-possession game with none of the mentioned players tag or role effected.
Both teams should go over 40 comfortably in slightly dewy conditions at worst, tipping Macrae is closer to high 20's than low, and Libba Baz and Daniel are consistent 15+ players thanks to the Dogs handball happy game style.
 

NonPhixion

Bookie Assassin
Mar 27, 2018
3,767
4,696
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
Rozee AGS $2.35 - Lads

3/8 for the year doesn't look great, but with Rockliff coming back into the team i'm thinking/hoping that he sees less mid time and more time I50. kicked a goal 17/22 last year playing mainly as a forward. Has had looks at goal in every game bar last week. Classy players like Rozee dont stay quiet for too long and i like him to get back on the goalkickers list tomorrow night. Pretty happy to take $2.35 every week, but i dont think you will see his odds <$2 too often.
 

mookieb

Club Legend
Oct 4, 2006
1,948
1,319
Perth
AFL Club
Hawthorn
Looks like a favourite's round to me. Can't see Sydney, Essendon, Geelong or Fremantle winning given form or in particular industries. Might just go for a double with St Kilda and Brisbane at $1.98 TAB.

Reasoning - it's a miracle that Syd won with the team (they're backline is good though) they had on the park against the Hawks. The Papley double goal, wet weather, confined SCG I think has flattered Syd given their lineup is really Adelaide like in quality with so many injuries. Hopefully Rampe misses because he's a gun.

Saints are rolling. Only danger is if they get ahead of themselves like they did against Freo.

I think Ess hits the wall here. Scrounging out narrow wins against weak opposition with a weal line up given injuries. Distinct lack of key forwards means Andrews should dominate.
 

karaoke

Norm Smith Medallist
Mar 26, 2013
6,704
8,784
AFL Club
St Kilda
Curnow/Kennedy/Simpson 15+ - 2.62 SB

Again, working on the Hawks giving up ~320 possessions to opponents.

Hoping these 3 get amongst it.

In 2020 for 15+;
Kennedy - 3/3
Simpson - 7/8
Curnow - 7/8 (miss was 14disp)
 

GROTTO

Hall of Famer
Jul 5, 2013
45,668
52,467
AFL Club
Adelaide
Other Teams
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Cheeky 100-1 a snag when it opened up. Tried to get on for 30, denied and taken down strait away. Understandable.
They are so gutless at times with their odds. Happy to give crap odds for 20+ disposals and AGS, but glory be if you try backing a donkey at 100-1.
 

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