Preview AFL Finals 2015 - Semi Final: Hawthorn v Adelaide, MCG, Fri, 7.50pm (AEST), 7.20pm (SA)

[Rory Walkerfield]

I disagree with Breust. I think he's been average for a few weeks and I think Brown will hold him

Brown won't play on breust, it'll be smith or Cheney. I hope Cheney with smith VB to block breusts run back to goal

 

[Suntory Boss Coffee]

Is there going to be a Gameday thread or will this be continuing through to the game?

 

[X_box_X]

With the AFL broadcast live on Eurosport tonight, can we expect European commentators?

 

[WWSD]

Hawthorn - 3rd
16 wins - 7 losses
Points For: 2516 (109.39)
Points Against: 1644 (71.47)
Form: WLWWL


Adelaide - 6th
14 wins - 8 losses - 1 draw
Points For: 2216 (100.72)
Points Against: 1923 (87.40)
Form: WWWLW


Recent Encounters
Round 12 2015: Hawthorn 17.12.114 defeated Adelaide 12.13.85 - Adelaide Oval
Round 17 2014: Hawthorn 15.14.104 defeated Adelaide 14.8.92 - Adelaide Oval
Round 6 2013: Hawthorn 13.11.89 defeated Adelaide 11.12.78 - AAMI Stadium
Round 26 2012: Hawthorn 13.19.97 defeated Adelaide 14.8.92 - MCG
Round 3 2012: Hawthorn 21.14.140 defeated Adelaide 12.12.84 - MCG


Games vs Top 8
Hawthorn: 6 wins - 3 losses
Adelaide: 4 wins - 5 losses


2015 Stats

Hawks - Crows
392 Disposals 361
75% DE 70%
223 Kicks 214
169 Handballs 147
100 Marks 91
10 Contested Marks 11
14 Marks Inside 50 14
66 Tackles 60
13 Tackles Inside 50 10
56 Inside 50s 56
47 Hit-outs 43
42 Clearances 40
16 Goals 15



Team Changes

Hawthorn

IN: Ryan Schoenmakers, Billy Hartung

OUT: Jack Gunston (Ankle) Will Langford (Omitted)


Hawks line-up
B: Ben Stratton, Brian Lake, Matt Suckling

HB: Grant Birchall, Josh Gibson, Shaun Burgoyne

C: Bradley Hill, Sam Mitchell, Isaac Smith

HF: Cyril Rioli, James Frawley, Liam Shiels

F: Luke Breust, Jarryd Roughead, Paul Puopolo

R: Ben McEvoy, Luke Hodge, Jordan Lewis

INT: Ryan Schoenmakers, David Hale, Taylor Duryea, Billy Hartung

EMG: Jonathon Ceglar, Will Langford, Angus Litherland


Adelaide

IN: Jarryd Lyons

OUT: Rory Atkins (Omitted)


Crows line-up
B: Kyle Hartigan, Daniel Talia, Rory Laird

HB: Nathan Van Berlo, Kyle Cheney, Luke Brown

C: Ricky Henderson, Matthew Crouch, Brodie Smith

HF: Eddie Betts, Taylor Walker, Charlie Cameron

F: Tom Lynch, Josh Jenkins, Richard Douglas

R: Sam Jacobs, Rory Sloane, Patrick Dangerfield

INT: Scott Thompson, David Mackay, Jarryd Lyons, Riley Knight

EMG: James Podsiadly, Jake Lever, Rory Atkins


Tip: Hawthorn by 10 points

 

[I Lost My Keays]

Is Isaac smith playing

 

[WWSD]

Is Isaac smith playing

Yep 100%.

We will likely see Isaac Smith vs Brodie Smith at some stage during the game. That will be a great match-up.

 

[TheKanga]

Hawks by 4 goals
Adelaide are great offensively, not as strong defensively.
They won't win a shootout at the G against the Hawks.

 

[Balance]

For those in Melbourne, how's the weather holding up? Had a look at the weather report but I hope it stays dry.

 

[JaxsonB]

Can anyone tell me what the weather's like in Melbourne and what it might be for the game? Had a look at the weather report but I hope it stays dry.

According to Google (which I believe uses weather.com), it's supposed to stay mostly dry until Monday.

 

[Yellow Feathers]

Game day, bitches!

Who's excited?! Should be a cracker!

 

[Nostradumbass]

I think the Hawks will win but I'm going for the Crows.

 

[McRobie]

Hawks by 27

 

[bkozican]

Going to be close from the start to finish

 

[kingswood71]

EMG: James Podsiadly et al

Well I never!!!....I didnt even realize he was still on Adelaide's list!

 

[rdhopkins2]

Hawks by 11 points. Should stay dry tonight and be a good contest.

 

[Present Not Past]

Tom Lynch to kick 10 goals - why? Because he can.

 

[Oneiros]

You look at those stat match-ups and it seems hard to see how Adelaide could win this.

 

[Roby]

Regardless if after fulltime this game ends in a draw, I pretty confident one team will win this.

 

[Oneiros]

Regardless if after fulltime this game ends in a draw, I pretty confident one team will win this.

The quality of insight that will eventually make the Power Rankings a vintage bay thread.

 

[Latour]

Regardless if after fulltime this game ends in a draw, I pretty confident one team will win this.

What

 

[MattyB_76]

Depends if they structure their defence to not allow those 15metre passes across their fwd 50. Some teams let them do it all game. I noticed west coast rarely allowed gaps in their fwd 50 which made them have to shoot from 50 or on the run in the pockets.

Will be a different story on the MCG. MCG is 20-25 metres wider than Subiaco, hence slightly harder to effect the zone.

 

[Roby]

The quality of insight that will eventually make the Power Rankings a vintage bay thread.

Oh ok... then in that case Hawks by 24 points.

 

[JaxsonB]

Well I never!!!....I didnt even realize he was still on Adelaide's list!

He doesn't get a game, probably because their forward line has arguably better, younger players - but he consistently kicked big bags in the SANFL this year. Like, ~9 goal bags.

 

[BoxMatrix]

Where is The_Wookie at?

We need our gameday thread

 

[SloppyJoe]

Here's to a good game and the matchday thread not getting clogged with whinges about umpiring (the former is probable and the latter is impossible).