AFL round 1

[The_Doctor]

Lenny why dont you make your units smaller? having 1/6 of a unit bets seems very weird. Your biggest bet is 1/2 a unit

 

[Lensen]

Lenny why dont you make your units smaller? having 1/6 of a unit bets seems very weird. Your biggest bet is 1/2 a unit

I keep my units consistent, but bet less on most goals markets than H2H. you will see some 2 unit bets in head to head earlier in the thread

1 unit is approx 1.25% of my starting bankroll

 

[Rooster Cogburn]

Geez Hawthorn let me down tonight, took them straight out, and took the unders. Looked the goods for a bit there

 

[twarby]

Freo -1.5 @ 2.00
Rockliff > Black DT pts @2.00
Adelaide ML @ 2.00
Rioli > Johncock DT @ 1.90
Michael Osborne FGS for Hawthorn @ 11
Lewis > Sewell Disposals @ 1.80

WIN
LOSS
WIN
WIN
WIN
LOSS

great night, ends a huge day
saturday curse is off the back

 

[Moses01]

the Sportingbet 2nd chance for 1st goal scorer this round is fantastic, have cleaned up - get on it! been paid out for Jack Riewoldt, Nick Riewoldt, Goddard, Brown, Porps. Bring on Sunday

 

[ontheup]

the Sportingbet 2nd chance for 1st goal scorer this round is fantastic, have cleaned up - get on it! been paid out for Jack Riewoldt, Nick Riewoldt, Goddard, Brown, Porps. Bring on Sunday

i agree with you there i have done alright also but there odds are alot shorter than what other agencys are offering

 

[The Royal Sampler]

Considering fading Embley tomorrow in DT betting. He's looked very ordinary in preseason, although his returns against North Melbourne last year were excellent...

 

[twarby]

has scored 63 and 74 in his two matches so far?
not great, but not the worse.

Ryder > Hille DT @ 1.80
Hille is still lacking match fitness, Ryder really should win this bet with ease

Ward > Hocking/Murphy DT @ 2.55
Ward is coming off pre season average of 87 , taking him on form here.

Stanton >23.5 possessions @ 1.90
this looks like a low total to me, Stanton’s pre seasons are always huge, and he usually starts seasons very well.. his record vs the Dogs is good, I am expecting around 30 from him today.

Higgins > Gia DT @ 2.05
could go either way, so taking the better price here, Gia should play forward, and I give Higgins the scoring advantage if they both play there.

 

[The Royal Sampler]

Are they still talking about using Hille as a sub?

I don't have Sports Alive so I won't be taking that matchup, but I'll certainly track it.

 

[The Big Woofer]

Special thanks goes out to those books that out up $4.50 @ HT Adl v Haw.....you made it special.

Good Day, 2 from 3 on over/unders & 1 from 1 on win bets (plus a HT top up).

Adi, how did that solid Port Pirie Power Defence go today, the one you were so sure would hold intact??

Some good opprtunities Sunday, Ess are over-priced the Dogs will win by 3-5 goals so the $1.66 is value & a line of -9.5 quite acceptable, i marked the game -19.5 WBD....in a few hours we'll here from Adi who will say "get on Ess the dogs have shocking injuries" but he won't have looked at the facts properly, Lake is missing but the team selected is versatile & perfect to take on Ess style of play....Ess WILL NOT WIN.

Sydney could pose some value.

WCE do present value, Vic teams do not win in hot conditions in WA, especially when they are covering injuries.....

 

[The Big Woofer]

For Centrebet punters Shaun Higgins is $34 most goals, his true price should be $14 so you're getting value, this is a guy the Dogs are desperate to get more involved & he oozes class.... a lecras role is on the cards this year & they'e well aware they can't just have Hall kick the majority of goals.

 

[Rooster Cogburn]

It's $14 now. Did you get on last night?

 

[TurboBreuster]

I will tail that bet on Higgins for 0.25U thanks Big Woofer. Did anyone else get on Freo +10.5 @1.85 early in the 4th w/365? I think that they just look at the scores and don't think that these odds brought the lions injuries into consideration.

 

[TurboBreuster]

It's $14 now. Did you get on last night?

I did it not long after 8:30 this morning.

 

[Moses01]

Still $34 when i look

edit: actually down the $26

 

[mercurial]

For Centrebet punters Shaun Higgins is $34 most goals, his true price should be $14 so you're getting value, this is a guy the Dogs are desperate to get more involved & he oozes class.... a lecras role is on the cards this year & they'e well aware they can't just have Hall kick the majority of goals.

Subscribed. Nabbed it at $34 also.



Edit: Bet accepted at 10:12, is now down to 26 at 10:15.

 

[Rooster Cogburn]

WTF is going on?

When I posted at 10:07, it was definitely $14

http://dl.dropbox.com/u/7807520/Higgins.png

How are you still seeing $26?

 

[twarby]

surely WB TT of 103 is solid?

 

[Moses01]

i was still seeing $34 but when i went to place the bet it told me the odds have changed to $26

 

[Lensen]

WTF is going on?

When I posted at 10:07, it was definitely $14

http://dl.dropbox.com/u/7807520/Higgins.png

How are you still seeing $26?

wrong market he's talking about today not overall

 

[TurboBreuster]

WB TT does look good. I like it more than my bet on them ats.

 

[Cruiser23]

surely WB TT of 103 is solid?

Sportsbet have them at 99.5...

 

[Lensen]

Why the Higgins love? He hasn't scored more than two goals in a game since mid 2009.

He's good for one or two but not enough to win outright IMO.

 

[twarby]

Sportsbet have them at 99.5...

thanks
so many new markets at sportsbet

 

[Cruiser23]

thanks
so many new markets at sportsbet

Think that line will continue to go up to as i swear it was at 97.5 not long ago.