AFL Round 21

[Resarenco]

why so pov?

pov? and what do you mean what am I talking about I gave my tip and bet for this week.

it is the mymatch market....

 

[Lensen]

the "what are you talking about" was to KP

and i was asking why so pov only betting $500 on a $1.55 shot last week after $3500 on a $2 shot last week

 

[TheNextBigThing]

Bris/GC and Ess/WB both 221+ @ $11.25

 

[Resarenco]

the "what are you talking about" was to KP

and i was asking why so pov only betting $500 on a $1.55 shot last week after $3500 on a $2 shot last week

Well I don't bet consistent amounts, some weeks I don't even bet. I don't work in units like you guys if I bet less on something it doesn't mean I am any less confident then any other bets. I rarely ever bet outside the odds of $1.30 to $3.00. Regardless of the odds I take I have the same confidence in my bet. So the odds and amount I am betting doesn't reflect how confident I am in my bet. The reason I am betting less this week is because I am quite happy to keep the cash in the bank this week.

 

[KardiniaPark]

the "what are you talking about" was to KP

and i was asking why so pov only betting $500 on a $1.55 shot last week after $3500 on a $2 shot last week

lol @ POV.

Sorry Lenny I was trying to make a point that you are well in front on most goals and that it was a ridiculous comment about the pokies..

 

[Cro19]

The same game earlier this year showed a 122-51 win to thomas, but im not too big on past games, also last few games have similar form to both players

but after you stated I checked average as well and thomas has a decent lead there.

I assume you will be taking him then as well, what are your reasonings, as may be tempted to up to 2u depending.

Montagna picked up a knee injury at the first bounce in that game and could barely move though.
Saying that I'd still take Thomas too, Montagna is not the DT player he was with Hayes out of the team.

 

[Donkson]

any danger at all in this thread talking about some real bets ie who is going to win the games or what lines will be covered ?

yea lol i rkn hawks and pies and cats will win i will multi them ez money hahaha gl evry1

 

[Lensen]

All of Saturday's most goals tips:

0.5 units Schulz @ $21 (TAB, $6.24)

0.39 units Betts @ $6 (Sportsbet, $5.19)
0.07 units Gibbs @ $34 (Centrebet, $26.97)
0.04 units Mzungu @ $67 (Centrebet, $40.45)

0.5 units Reimers @ $34 (Centrebet, $7.49)

0.5 units McGrath @ $8 (Sportsbet, $6.56)

 

[GoodesStuff]

What's the price in the brackets refer to Lenny?

 

[Lensen]

What's the price in the brackets refer to Lenny?

My odds, tants asked if I would post them and I have no issues doing so

 

[Borgsta]

4u under 174.5 Pies vs Saints.

Hasn't reached 170 in their last 7 matches

 

[5 Bucks]

Jacobs over Ottens in DT @ 1.87

The fact that Vardy is playing makes this a certainty. Ottens will get a red vest if they don't have any injuries.

 

[carpsi]

Jacobs over Ottens in DT @ 1.87

The fact that Vardy is playing makes this a certainty. Ottens will get a red vest if they don't have any injuries.

He wont get the vest. Vardy will be playing in the ruck while ottens will be playing forward replacing Hawkins.

 

[ChelseaFC]

Saints 5-1 to lead or draw a quarter. Thoughts?

 

[Dingster]

Collingwood 1-39 @ $2.35. The Saints will try and slow the game down and should be competitive enough to keep it under 39.

 

[baywatch5]

ROUND 21 FRIDAY NIGHT:

1ST Q - SAINTS +9.5 (x2)
ATS - SAINTS +37.5 (x2)

 

[twarby]

mugasenco

 

[twarby]

I think the Fisher stuff is overrated. He carved us up when they were better than us as we'd just bomb it to the hot spot every time and he'd take mark after mark. We don't do that anymore as evidenced by Fisher's stats in the last three games

two games were GFs, the game earlier in year he had almost 110 at 3/4

stick to the goals bets

 

[Resarenco]

mugasenco

Come on Twarby you have to be realistic you always talk the talk but you never walk the walk. i put my neck out with $4500 on Essendon last week and won $4500 and what did you do just sit there trying to make fun of others like a little kid. If you want to call me a mug please verify your statement. Is it because I said I don't use units ? Stating units is pointless anyway everyone on here has different valuation of units (5 units means 5% of bankroll for some people and for others it is less then 1%). It would be better if people used percentages, ie 5% (of the bankroll).

 

[laam]

adding

1u freo win @ 3.11
1u GC win @ 3.27

 

[Thedeftouch]

Any reason why the total on tonight's game is moving way over?

Getting smashed on all my over positions

Seems like a low scoring game to me...

 

[arkie]

4u under 174.5 Pies vs Saints.

Hasn't reached 170 in their last 7 matches

I like this.

Let's hope for a low scoring affair!

 

[Lensen]

two games were GFs, the game earlier in year he had almost 110 at 3/4

stick to the goals bets

we'll see, but IMO the Fisher domination in the past is off the back of a totally different game style (by the Pies) that suited him down to the ground

 

[denitofinito]

Most Goals
0.5u Milne @ 5.50
0.5u Beams @ 26
0.2u Swan @ 17

1st GS
0.2u Fasalo @ 26
0.2u Wellingham @ 41
0.2u Tarrant @ 31

Also on the under 173.5 for 3u.

 

[TurboBreuster]

2U STK +9.5 1q @1.92 (Sportsbet)
1.2U 1H <86.5 @1.9 (Centrebet)