Strategy Can the Saints make the finals this year?

[Jack Stevens]

I think we're going to fall just short. Port, Hawthorn, North x2 and Gold Coast games were the ones that got away.

 

[CHBench]

We were unfortunate to play Port when we did. We would have them covered if we played this week. (That's a thumbs up to our steady progression over the season)


I just hope that if we lose to the Swans we don't drop our heads and pack it in. It's not over unless we lose to Richmond too.

 

[Tongue In Cheek]

Going into the last game verse the Lions we would need to win by around 130 points at the Dome to steal 8th....now that could be interesting.

The other scenario is Port Adelaide upset the Crows, then we would be chasing their percentage for 8th spot as well.

On the face of it, beating Sydney looks like the shortest odds. That would also shake up the entire top 5 with percentage being the decider. Hawthorn could lose to West Coast in which case our result against Sydney would decide whether the Hawks made top 4 or not!

Edit: I love how there is an equivalent thread on the North board. Delicious

https://www.bigfooty.com/forum/threads/can-we-miss-the-8.1140664/

 

[George]

Had a quick look at the draw/results and tried to make our path into the eight as easy as possible (whilst having to win all three games).

We would get in on percentage if the following occurred;

Round 21:
Hawthorn def North Melbourne by 60 points.
St.Kilda def Sydney by 12 points.
LADDER
8. North Melbourne 12-8, 107.1%
9. St.Kilda 11-9, 96%


Round 22:
Sydney def North Melbourne by 30 points
St.Kilda def Richmond by 60 points
LADDER
8. North Melbourne 12-9, 105%
9. St.Kilda 12-9, 99.3%


Round 23:
North Melbourne def GWS by 12 points
St.Kilda def Brisbane by 110 points
LADDER
8. St.Kilda 13-9, 106%
9. North Melbourne 13-9, 105.4%


If we keep winning and Hawthorn and Sydney beat North by over 12 goals it won't matter if North win their last game by a few goals because we'll have them on percentage.

 

[plugger66]

If we had only beaten North I think we would be certainties.

 

[Roadto2018]

That f*n game against the hawks, not only would it mean we only need to beat tigers and lions if north lose all 3, but would've given us so much more belief/confidence for the whole year, and likely not had the huge floggings in perth and adelaide and had a significantly better %. Imagine if we win this week and next and then drop the brisbane game, only needing a win to get in.. The melts on here would almost be worth not playing the final!

 

[dougiemac]

That game against Gold Coast still has me gnashing m teeth. But how many games have we had where those F***in' umpires screwed us?

 

[JG22]

That game against Gold Coast still has me gnashing m teeth. But how many games have we had where those F***in' umpires screwed us?

1 definitely, the Hawks game

 

[Highlander35]

33 points v Port at Adelaide Oval*
57 points v Doggies at Docklands
3 points v Hawks at Launnie^
47 points v Giants at Docklands
7 points v North at Docklands^
103 points v WC in Perf'
88 points v Crows at AO'
40 points v Gold Coast at Cararararararara*
23 points v North at Docklands*

^ = Very Annoying
* = Immensely Frustrating
' = Simply disappointing

 

[bergholt]

Just missing out looks perfect for the club - otherwise we'd have to reschedule the B&F!

 

[#gosaintas]

33 points v Port at Adelaide Oval*
57 points v Doggies at Docklands
3 points v Hawks at Launnie^
47 points v Giants at Docklands
7 points v North at Docklands^
103 points v WC in Perf'
88 points v Crows at AO'
40 points v Gold Coast at Cararararararara*
23 points v North at Docklands*

^ = Very Annoying
* = Immensely Frustrating
' = Simply disappointing

We didn't even try in the GC game. That was the worst one for me and I flew up for it.

 

[Murraj1966]

At least we'll have a better idea by Sunday morning.

Either 100% out or in with a red hot crack

 

[Dr Spaceman]

...or in with a red hot crack

Sounds painful

 

[Murraj1966]

Sounds painful

Get some ointment

 

[TheEnsign]

I won't mind a close loss on Saturday at all, as long as the effort is there. The year has been awesome and everything from here is well and truly a bonus:

- Barring an act of God, we'll beat Brisbane and finish on minimum 11 wins for the year;
- It's the third to last round and we're still in genuine contention for finals. Even if we lose on Saturday night, if North lose (badly) on Saturday, it will _still_ be mathematically possible heading (just) into R22. So frickin' far above expectations.

 

[NathanMX]

I just hope we end the season with a bang, 2003 we did bar the last round loss at Kardinia Park and we all know how 2004 went. Reckon the boys will take great confidence out of a big end to this season and be salivating over summer to get back into the footy and start 2017 with a bang

 

[Kilroy]

 

[PoppedCorn]

That ****ing hawthorn game earlier in the year

 

[Murraj1966]

That ******* hawthorn game earlier in the year

The North game is the killer.

 

[JG22]

no,

2017 the hope but I would so we are unlikely to play finals

 

[Murraj1966]

No because the umps take 3 wins a year off us usually

 

[sonnywalters]

Lock and close this thread Mods.

 

[Kilroy]

Lock and close this thread Mods.

... and apply petrol and matches.

 

[George]

If North lose their last two by 10 goals, and we beat Richmond by 10 goals and Brisbane by 110, we're in. Lol.

 

[Mowman]

If North lose their last two by 10 goals, and we beat Richmond by 10 goals and Brisbane by 110, we're in. Lol.

If i wasn't so unhappy,sad and angry, I would give this a Lol