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Changes for round 7 Vs Power

  • Thread starter Thread starter mulehoops
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Incidentally, for anyone interested. Since Simpson has been our coach

Interstate away games
Hawthorn 8-9 (47% win rate)
West Coast 17-16-1 (50% win rate)
Geelong 9-7 (56% win rate)

Compared to their win rates at home or local away games

Hawthorn goes from 49-15 (76.6%) a drop of about 30% when playing away interstate
West Coast goes from 32-10 (76.2%) a drop of about 25% when playing away interstate
Geelong goes from 42-16-1 (71.1%) a drop of about 15% when playing away interstate

*theres probably a game or two wrong, I've been half looking at this while doing other things.
 
Stop relying on your memory. Richmond finished 5th

Ok so in he last 6 seasons going back to 2011 we have beaten 4 good sides away.

Carlton
Richmond
Gws
Adelaide.

We are doing great. I'm changing my opinion based on these wins.

Hopefully we Win this weekend as well and I'll be glad to be proven wrong about our away form against top sides for the rest of the year.
 

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Well you'd think Vardy is out then because there's no need to elevate Mcinness if he isn't

So it looks like we're officially going to the bottom of the well with our ruck stocks

Good luck Fraser, you'll need it

Jimmy_the_Gent you're voodoo doll strategy has come to fruition

I'm glad that my man is playing but I'd be a lot happier with a healthy squad and I suspect Large McInnes is the same, although he's probably more pumped to be playing.

Good luck to him indeed. I think he'll struggle early on but one thing that's actually true about Fraser is that he's going to keep building until he fits in.

EDIT: Didn't read everything before posting and jumped the gun. Hope Vardy is ruled fit but McInnes' form pushes him out.
 
That team was 8-0 playing a 1-7 Collingwood at the MCG in 2005. They lost. Couldn't beat Sydney at the SCG. Lost by over 70 points at Kardinia Park. Lost a home final going in as heavy favourites. Lost at home in the last when a win would have won the minor premiership. Lost to 13th placed Brisbane at home. Gave up a 36 point lead at Docklands to Essendon.

People forget that champion teams don't play as champions all the time. The win on the last day covers all sins.

We win last year and the GWS game becomes folklore. Proof of a team that can win against the odds. We win in 2015 and our QF against Hawthorn becomes club legend. They beat us 5 weeks earlier but we got them when it mattered, bouncing back like great sides do.

The middle stretch of 2006 from Round 10-16 could have lost us a chance at a flag. We went 4-3 with all wins being under two goals, including those two massive comebacks. In fact we were down at 3QT in 10 out of 11 weeks from Round 6-16 (round 9 we were up by a point).

Exactly. In 2006 we lost both the derbies too. Don't really care about these so called must win games in April as long as we keep winning our home games comfortably which almost guarantees a finals berth.
 
Incidentally, for anyone interested. Since Simpson has been our coach

Interstate away games
Hawthorn 8-9 (47% win rate)
West Coast 17-16-1 (50% win rate)
Geelong 9-7 (56% win rate)

Compared to their win rates at home or local away games

Hawthorn goes from 49-15 (76.6%) a drop of about 30% when playing away interstate
West Coast goes from 32-10 (76.2%) a drop of about 25% when playing away interstate
Geelong goes from 42-16-1 (71.1%) a drop of about 15% when playing away interstate

*theres probably a game or two wrong, I've been half looking at this while doing other things.

Thanks for the analysis. I suspected as much.

Eagleboy68
 
At the risk of posting about the actual thread topic, sounding from Simpsons's presser that there'll be no changes to the side today, but that McInnes and two other emergencies will travel as cover for Vardy, Duggan and anyone else who might not get up. Mutimer will retain his spot.

As a guess I'd say Hutch and Karps for the other two seats on the plane.
 
Bring on the Karps if Duggan doesn't get up
 

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Incidentally, for anyone interested. Since Simpson has been our coach

Interstate away games
Hawthorn 8-9 (47% win rate)
West Coast 17-16-1 (50% win rate)
Geelong 9-7 (56% win rate)

Compared to their win rates at home or local away games

Hawthorn goes from 49-15 (76.6%) a drop of about 30% when playing away interstate
West Coast goes from 32-10 (76.2%) a drop of about 25% when playing away interstate
Geelong goes from 42-16-1 (71.1%) a drop of about 15% when playing away interstate

*theres probably a game or two wrong, I've been half looking at this while doing other things.

I also think every time we've finished top six since 2004 (so 2005, 2006, 2007, 2011, 2012, 2015, 2016) we've lost once at home to either Hawthorn or Geelong. We don't get beat at home often when we're a good side.
 
At the risk of posting about the actual thread topic, sounding from Simpsons's presser that there'll be no changes to the side today, but that McInnes and two other emergencies will travel as cover for Vardy, Duggan and anyone else who might not get up. Mutimer will retain his spot.

As a guess I'd say Hutch and Karps for the other two seats on the plane.
Karpany and Mcinness are certainties to be added to the 22 that played Fremantle

Take your pick of Hutchings, Jetta, Schofield or Mackenzie for the last seat
 
Just saw Vardy and yeo at the airport checking in. Did not realise how tall yeo is. He isn't far behind Vardy.
 
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Not sure if serious....in fact I'm sure you are joking.

No serious. These arguments should not be taken "lightly".

You said we would have lost the GF against two sides who couldn't even make the finals in 2015. Kind of similar arguments, aren't they?

Anyway, Karpany for Duggan. Mutimer to Midfield.
 
Yeah. I suggested Geelong and hawthorn to you.

You implied you would be waiting a long time.

Be interesting to find out how many of those wins were against "good" sides away for hawthorn and geeelong.

Jesus, shift goalposts much? Quinz's stats clearly show a much lower winning percentage for Geelong and Hawthorn away from home. If you want to do a 'good' side analysis knock yourself out.
 

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