Corona virus, Port and the AFL.

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Even later news from the UK. Someone at Chelsea FC has tested positive for COVID-19 so they are also self isolating. With Arsenal and now Chelsea under a cloud the EPL is in danger of being suspended. Liverpool are that far in front they should call the rest of the comp and focus on the FA Cup.
Chelsea still managed to beat my lot 4-0 last week :(
 

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1/10 infected need a ICU bed, if you do that maths it's not pretty. I work in a major metropolitan hospital in Melbourne and we are thinking of opening up wards in areas that are closed for general medical beds and the food court has become a closed isolated screening centre. Anyone that calls this a overreaction is an idiot.
 
1/10 infected need a ICU bed. I work in a major metropolitan hospital in Melbourne and we are thinking of opening up wards in psychiatry for general medical beds and the food court has become a close isolated screening centre. Anyone that calls this a overreaction is an idiot.

Italy and Iran are the poster boys for not reacting swiftly and hard. Their health systems are collapsing which is resulting in much higher mortality rates as they literally run out of equipment with which to keep people properly respirated.

At this stage is not even a question of stopping it, it's a question of slowing it enough that the health system can deal with it adequately over time.
 
The EPL will hold an emergency meeting of all EPL clubs later tonight our time. The topic will be fixture changes in light of the corona virus.

Apparently the positive test at Chelsea was a player but SKY did not elaborate.

News services in the UK are carrying stories of widespread dissatisfaction with the UK Government's lack of action re corona virus.
 
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1/10 infected need a ICU bed, if you do that maths it's not pretty. I work in a major metropolitan hospital in Melbourne and we are thinking of opening up wards in areas that are closed for general medical beds and the food court has become a closed isolated screening centre. Anyone that calls this a overreaction is an idiot.

A French colleague advised overnight that many of the beds now occupied in ICU Units in Paris are to treat COVID-19.
 
The Prime Minister is going to the Sharks game. He said as much in his presser today.
Will he get boos that make the Goodes saga look like a cheap pantomime or will he get cheers ‘cos they all got to see the sharks?

I’m betting cheers because bumsniffers…
 

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The mechanics are exactly the same regardless of the factors that contribute to virulence (or lack of as the case may be). Additionally, we are heading into cooler months. In any case that point is moot as we have already seen the exact same multiplication of confirmed cases as was seen early on elsewhere where there are now 10,000 or more confirmed cases - with person to person transmission now being found to be the cause in almost all new cases.

It has happened and is continuing to happen in many other countries, some with similar climates, housing arrangements etc. (albeit less dry).

Our only mitigating factors is that our population is quite small, and our housing arrangements tend to be low density compared to other countries.

We need to make complete use of the fact our country is isolated through strict travel bans, and early lockdown. Get rid of it now, and we can continue on while everyone else still battles with it because they didn't act soon enough.

We will not get rid of it. It is not remotely feasible that we shut ourselves down from international trade and travel for months on end, the economic and social damage will be far more damaging that the observed mortality rates here.

Also, we have not seen any mass transmission events in any countries which are currently experiencing a similar weather pattern to us or warmer, this is interesting given this is exactly the climate range where the majority of the worlds population lives. It simply has not happened - name one? How do you also explain no mass transmission events (evidenced either through detection or increased mortality) yet anywhere in the tropical and sub tropical zones globally that have similar climates or warmer to us?

You are right, winter will be a danger time for us, particularly for Victoria, Tasmania and parts of WA, SA and NSW, however if the modelling holds true we should see a dramatic decrease in transmission and severity in the Northern hemisphere so international travel bans would be irrelevant to containing it.
 
Italy and Iran are the poster boys for not reacting swiftly and hard. Their health systems are collapsing which is resulting in much higher mortality rates as they literally run out of equipment with which to keep people properly respirated.

At this stage is not even a question of stopping it, it's a question of slowing it enough that the health system can deal with it adequately over time.

This is one of two major issues.
The second is to make sure that our healthcare workers (doctors, nurses, pharmacists, physios etc) are not all quarantined and out of action at the same time.

As of this afternoon, doctors are not allowed to travel interstate. In Melbourne, there was talk yesterday of restricting hospital departmental meetings to no more than 5-10 healthcare workers to slow the spread.

It's inevitable that many/most of us in the community will eventually be infected. Most of us will have people close to us (elderly, those with chronic illness, those on immunosuppressive drugs) who are especially vulnerable with mortality rates of 10% or more. As a health professional, the vast majority of patients I treat are vulnerable.

Make no mistake this is very serious. It goes well beyond the minor symptoms that the majority of Australians will get over from quickly.
 
This is not necessarily representative of what will happen in Australia. as there could be other factors, e.g. weather, that distinguish us from existing hot sports.
Wait? We're losing hot sports due to this as well?! You mean like Hot-Oil Wrestling, Foxy Boxing And Such And Such? :mad:
 
Italy and Iran are the poster boys for not reacting swiftly and hard. Their health systems are collapsing which is resulting in much higher mortality rates as they literally run out of equipment with which to keep people properly respirated.

At this stage is not even a question of stopping it, it's a question of slowing it enough that the health system can deal with it adequately over time.

Which what the experts are calling 'flattening the curve'. It is all about slowing the spread so that the health system can cope.
 
you could easily get some random disease from eating some mangy wallaby or something

Not true. I've eaten plenty of Mrs Macs pies and never caught a thing.
 
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