Werewolf Depends on the numbers WW The sequel - Day Seven - Mafia Wins

[King Tenz]

Like last game, is there any benefit in the real Doc contesting THB? I wouldn't if I were the real Doc, not until THB or KT die.

Don’t worry about THB.

 

[MC Bad Genius]

I think the target on night three was the player that I protected. Could be wrong, but I believe the player that I protected is not evil.

So that means we learn less about the early votes on The_Reaper, but I still think there is some worth looking at the later ones.

 

[MC Bad Genius]

I’d like to think I’m a more strategic player rather than one who enjoys killing people. I certainly wouldn’t have killed Pie having joked that I was in the game to do so and then doubling down on that Day 2, I would have let that play out for longer.

For me it does feel like voting patterns are also an interesting way to go, not just on the people being lynched but those who we know are evil (one thing that struck me a couple of days ago was dank’s early vote on Nothing, which since he flipped wolf makes Nothing unlikely to be a wolf). I don’t have a voting spreadsheet but I suspect you might be able to glean something from that. I’ll look back at your post from Day 1 and do my vote from there - I still think my logic on MM leading to my Day 2 vote had some sense.

Oh, you're definitely more strategic than that, but I think everyone has a game now and then where they just want to have a little fun with it. It does make me lean more towards DERO now though.

 

[MC Bad Genius]

MarcMaverick please Gralin

MarcMaverick thanks, Gralin.

What did he seer as? Dero seems to think he's a Goon and Chip thinks he's more likely to be a Wolf - it'll be interesting to see whose opinion is confirmed and whether that tells us anything about the other.

 

[ZergMinion]

Dead PM Gralin and thanks for the game

 

[MC Bad Genius]

MarcMaverick thanks, Gralin.

What did he seer as? Dero seems to think he's a Goon and Chip thinks he's more likely to be a Wolf - it'll be interesting to see whose opinion is confirmed and whether that tells us anything about the other.

Sorry. Need to bold it.

MarcMaverick thanks, Gralin.

 

[Nothing]

Here are the kills so far, which I was doing to look mostly at the Serial Killer, but figured it might see some sort of pattern for the faction kills as well:

Mafia	Wolves	Serial Killer
Kurve	MP_	JHF1870
ZergMinion	Bovo	Pie 4 Life
---	BEaston	dank420_
---	---	jmoo wan

SK-wise, it feels to me like someone that has been playing for a while and would get enjoyment from taking out their targets. Is it too early for me to name names? Haha, here goes. My first guess is DERO, and then Chipmunk. But if it's neither of them, then maybe it's myblueroan (even though she doesn't meet the criteria I just stated) or Hatchy1992 even.

Can anyone see any other sort of pattern there?

For the Mafia, the two missed kills make any patterns impossible to see, but I had originally wondered if they had missed on Night 3 on KT. But when he survived last night as well, I'm convinced that they missed on someone else on night 3 (because if they'd missed on KT, surely they would have taken him out last night knowing he couldn't be protected on both nights). So on Night 3, they missed on either Night Immune or someone random that the Doctor protected - I'm going to look through the votes on The_Reaper from yesterday.

The Half Back - You know who you protected and can probably work out whether or not you think that person would've been targeted that night. No need to share it (as you can keep them guessing for tonight).

And for the Wolves, the only semi pattern I can see is that Bovo and BEaston were both quiet players, but that doesn't fit with MP_. I called out BEaston in the thread for that too, but I don't think anyone really voted for him, so don't know if that influenced the Wolves kill.

My read of the kills.

I'd add you name to the list of SK possibilities but agree that Dero (jmoo and dank kills, on request) and Chippy or you (P4L kill).

For mafia, Kurve is a target for someone (CF?, I don't keep track of the regular feuds). Zerg's a target for everyone! The N3 miss feels like a night immune because they didn't revisit it, if it was Doc/KT. I agree, it's unlikely that it was KT, or they would have gone there again.

For wolves, surely the N4 miss was on KT, who is the only one who can destroy them. As such, they probably go back there tonight, which means KT needs to reveal everything he knows before sunrise.

For wolves

 

[Hatchy1992]

Well if KT wants MarcMaverick i'm happy enough to change my vote. He was on my suspect list anyway. Change of vote thanks Gralin

 

[King Tenz]

Anything to say here MarcMaverick?

 

[MarcMaverick]

Anything to say here MarcMaverick?

Sorry for the inactivity. I was just in the zone in the gym.

I am a viliager. Like last game. If you did seer me it would match my claim.

Sorry for not completely trusting your seer.

Also yesterday, I was rather bushed. It was chaos at my place. Today, less so.

Anyway, I did find enough time and placed a vote on Reaper who turned out to be an Alpha.

Unfortunatelly, I happen to be the play today.

 

[The Half Back]

If the god of WW King Tenz says MarcMaverick, then MarcMaverick it is. Gralin

Are we dealing with a big evil or a little evil KT?

 

[dogs105]

No evil faction kills overnight. Would love to see one of the underlings come out and point the finger at the big evil they missed their kill on.

Also, there is now only 3 villager roles left if I have counted the numbers correctly.

No probs THB!

Hi,
My name is dogs105 and I'm a wolf. I want to point the finger at Chipmunk because he is night immune. Thank you Gralin.

unless you protected him, which would be a bit stupid.

 

[The Half Back]

No probs THB!

Hi,
My name is dogs105 and I'm a wolf. I want to point the finger at Chipmunk because he is night immune. Thank you Gralin.

unless you protected him, which would be a bit stupid.

This is what I have been waiting for!

Chipmunk for being big evil thanks Gralin.

Unless KT has anything else to say about it.

 

[Nothing]

This is what I have been waiting for!

Chipmunk for being big evil thanks Gralin.

Unless KT has anything else to say about it.

My only hesitation is that this happened after a strong run on MM. It may be that dogs is goon and MM is GF.

It would explain the double miss by mafia too. Went Chippy, thought he was Doc so went again.

 

[King Tenz]

No probs THB!

Hi,
My name is dogs105 and I'm a wolf. I want to point the finger at Chipmunk because he is night immune. Thank you Gralin.

unless you protected him, which would be a bit stupid.

I’ll take that instead.

Chipmunk please Gralin

 

[King Tenz]

If the god of WW King Tenz says MarcMaverick, then MarcMaverick it is. Gralin

Are we dealing with a big evil or a little evil KT?

Think SK could take care of MarcMero tonight if they want too.

 

[Nothing]

Chipmunk has been a naughty rodent

Gralin

 

[The Half Back]

My only hesitation is that this happened after a strong run on MM. It may be that dogs is goon and MM is GF.

It would explain the double miss by mafia too. Went Chippy, thought he was Doc so went again.

And if that is the case, they will both be dead by tomorrow at the latest. If dogs is the goon, the remaining wolf can take him out overnight and we lynch MM tomorrow.

What would dogs get out of revealing himself if not to rid the opposing faction head? It's either the worlds dumbest villager play, or he wants an evil head lynched the same as the village.

Think SK could take care of MarcMero tonight if they want too.

Or this.

 

[Nothing]

And if that is the case, they will both be dead by tomorrow at the latest. If dogs is the goon, the remaining wolf can take him out overnight and we lynch MM tomorrow.

What would dogs get out of revealing himself if not to rid the opposing faction head? It's either the worlds dumbest villager play, or he wants an evil head lynched the same as the village.

Or this.

Yeah. I'm overthinking it.

 

[dogs105]

And if that is the case, they will both be dead by tomorrow at the latest. If dogs is the goon, the remaining wolf can take him out overnight and we lynch MM tomorrow.

What would dogs get out of revealing himself if not to rid the opposing faction head? It's either the worlds dumbest villager play, or he wants an evil head lynched the same as the village.

Or this.

Just doing my bit for the village

 

[myblueroan]

Think SK could take care of MarcMero tonight if they want too.

Hey KT,
just to clarify, I read it that you saw THB last nite to confirm what they said?
And I don't think you have seered Mav, but think he is evil?

I just got home and reason I'm asking is, I feel like Mav and Hatchy are as they say.

Anyway, thanks doggy for offering that.

CHIPMONKEY shinnanigans ta Gralin

 

[DERO]

Oh, you're definitely more strategic than that, but I think everyone has a game now and then where they just want to have a little fun with it. It does make me lean more towards DERO now though.

Chipmunk likes this.

 

[King Tenz]

No probs THB!

Hi,
My name is dogs105 and I'm a wolf. I want to point the finger at Chipmunk because he is night immune. Thank you Gralin.

unless you protected him, which would be a bit stupid.

Chipmunk do you have anything to say here?

 

[Hatchy1992]

For too long, Chipmunk has evaded the wheels of justice. But not anymore. Change of vote again thanks Gralin.

 

[MarcMaverick]

I might place a vote on Chip for now, although its roughly 5AM BST now

TA Gralin .