Polls Thread Mk III

[Hank Scorpion]

Expect the Coalition vote to fall of a cliff if they follow through with pension cuts on budget night.

A good poll result for the Greens, finally getting over that 15% hump, although maintaining it will be the challenge. On the leadership I think that Di Natale would be the best choice at present.

 

[poller]

Morgan polls shows no improvement for the coalition


labor 52 -48 in front

 

[Hank Scorpion]

Essential Research

TPP ALP: 51, Coalition: 49

nothing outrageous, rather some other data caught my eye

Most important electoral issues
Economic management: 54%
Health system quality: 50%
Protection of Australian jobs: 37%
Education: 27%
Environmental protection: 13%
Climate change action: 10%

*Respondents may choose three,
more options available, key areas listed


Abbott might want to be careful when these sort of measures are introduced:

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-04-22/medicare-locals-like-to-face-the-axe-in-budget/5402414

Labor would certainly be favoured on issues 2 and 3.

Cutting ABC Funding
Approve: 21
Disapprove: 61

Pension age raised to 70
Approve: 20
Disapprove: 71

Pension assets test (including family home value in assets test for eligibility)
Approve: 26
Disapprove: 64

It doesn't appear that any of the issues Essential ever surveys on earn much approval of the government.

http://essentialvision.com.au/documents/essential_report_140422.pdf

 

[pjcrows]

Almost all of the Essential Poll "issues" figures favoured Labor before the last election. Didn't do much good.

 

[RUNVS]

Almost all of the Essential Poll "issues" figures favoured Labor before the last election. Didn't do much good.

It was weird as most people knew they would be worse off under Abbott as leader but they still voted for him because they hated Labor. It is strange thinking.

 

[pjcrows]

It was weird as most people knew they would be worse off under Abbott as leader but they still voted for him because they hated Labor. It is strange thinking.

Not really. People want a united front, not ridiculous and childish division. You can't change the PM twice in 3 years and claim you can lead a nation, regardless of policies.

 

[yibbida]

"@GhostWhoVotes: #Essential Poll 2 Party Preferred: L/NP 48 (-1) ALP 52 (+1)

 

[Ice-Wolf]

Not really. People want a united front, not ridiculous and childish division. You can't change the PM twice in 3 years and claim you can lead a nation, regardless of policies.

That worked out well though didn't it, Abbott is Rudd on steroids.

 

[Hank Scorpion]

Galaxy

 

[Pessimistic]

Thats five or so parties combines with just 39 %

 

[GOAUS!]

When the next Newspoll anyone?

 

[Hank Scorpion]

When the next Newspoll anyone?

Last Newspoll was on 8th April. It usually comes out fortnightly, with an expected break for Easter.

I'd have thought we'd get one last week. Maybe LimitedNews is trying to hide the bad polls .

No idea when the next comes out.

 

[Docker Clint]

Last Newspoll was on 8th April. It usually comes out fortnightly, with an expected break for Easter.

I'd have thought we'd get one last week. Maybe LimitedNews is trying to hide the bad polls .

No idea when the next comes out.

Nope, even News Corpse is giving up on fudging the figures. Poll shock? Why is the fall such a shock?

 

[Hank Scorpion]

Ghostwhovotes is tweeting ReachTel poll results.

Primary
Coalition: 39 (-1)
ALP: 40 (+2)
Green: 11 (-)
PUP: 6 (-)

ALP primary has jumped the Coalition's.

TPP
ALP: 54 (+2)
Coalition: 46 (-2)


The real test is whether this rebounds if the budget turns out to be kinder than expected.

http://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/7-news-national-poll-3may2014

 

[poller]

Ghostwhovotes is tweeting ReachTel poll results.

ALP (40) primary has jumped the Coalition's (39). ALP TPP figure up to 54(+2).

The real test is whether this rebounds if the budget turns out to be kinder than expected.

or is shows that the abbott government is being driven by the polls , by making the budget softer

which is not a good sign , it will be another lie from Abbott that the opinion polls do not matter,

 

[Docker Clint]

or is shows that the abbott government is being driven by the polls , by making the budget softer

which is not a good sign , it will be another lie from Abbott that the opinion polls do not matter,

No better than Labor, flip flopping based on polls. Choose an ideology and stick with it, whether it be right or wrong.

 

[Juddism]

http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/ne...o-see-the-doctor/story-fni0xqrc-1226905300608

Galaxy Polling regarding lifting of retirement age and medicare co-payment..interesting that coalition voters are more opposed to lifting of retirement age than medicare co-payment.

 

[Docker Clint]

http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/ne...o-see-the-doctor/story-fni0xqrc-1226905300608

Galaxy Polling regarding lifting of retirement age and medicare co-payment..interesting that coalition voters are more opposed to lifting of retirement age than medicare co-payment.

Says a lot about the demographic. Medicare is for the unwashed

 

[poller]

Morgan poll has labor in a comfortable lead
2pp
labor 55%

Coalition 45%

http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/5566-morgan-poll-may-5-2014-201405050509

 

[RUNVS]

A broken promise so I think Abbott should start calling for an election to let the Australian people decide about this new tax

 

[Footy Smarts]

Newspoll

Primaries:
LIB - 38 (-5)
LAB - 34 (0)
GRN - 14 (+3)
Other - 14 (+2)

2PP:
LAB - 53 (+4)
LIB - 47 (-4)

Abbott:
Satisfied - 35 (-5)
Dissatisfied - 56 (+9)

Shorten:
Satisfied - 35 (+4)
Dissatisfied - 41 (-1)

PPM:
Abbott - 40 (-1)
Shorten - 38 (+5)

 

[Footy Smarts]

I think that's the equal lowest newspoll primary vote the coalition has ever received under abbott equalling a couple of very early results after turnbull was ditched. Also that's the highest green primary in almost 2 years which was only just after bob brown retired.

 

[Pessimistic]

It was weird as most people knew they would be worse off under Abbott as leader but they still voted for him because they hated Labor. It is strange thinking.

Didnt latham (yes i know hes a douche) lose a few percent by one agressive handshake ?

The strangest things change votes. When people went to vote no merger at hawthorn in 1996, a few people switched back to a yes vote because club champions were heckled and jeered. OK it was bad behaviour but change your vote on an important issue just because someone annoyed you ?

 

[Pessimistic]

No better than Labor, flip flopping based on polls. Choose an ideology and stick with it, whether it be right or wrong.

ALPs biggest failure was to poorly explain its tough decisions. This month will reveal a lot about the abbot govt

 

[Pessimistic]

Says a lot about the demographic. Medicare is for the unwashed

If there is a solid howard battler come baby boomer demographic, they will get more and more beligerant over the coming years. need to remember a good portion is your 10 pound poms who probably killed the republic referendum etc even though they seemingly refuse to be citizens. Why would they, for some reason they get a vote, something other natonalities and poms arriving post 1983 do not get