AFLW Pre-season (Nov/Dec 2021) - Practice match results in OP

Remove this Banner Ad

Log in to remove this ad.

Western Bulldogs v North Melbourne
Score
WB: 0.0 0.0 1.2 1.2 (8)
NM: 2.2 5.5 7.8 8.11 (59)


Richmond v Geelong

Half time
Rich: 1.4 2.4 (16)
Geel: 3.0 3.6 (24)

Goals
Rich: 2 Wakefield
Geel: 1 McWilliams, 1 Ivey, 1 ?
 
Richmond v Geelong
Half time
Rich: 1.4 2.4 (16)
Geel: 3.0 3.6 (24)

Goals
Rich: 2 Wakefield
Geel: 1 McWilliams, 1 Ivey, 1 ?
Full time
Rich: 1.4 2.4 3.6 3.7 (25)
Geel: 3.0 3.6 5.8 6.12 (48)

Goals
Rich: 2 Wakefield, 1 Kiely
Geel: 2 McWilliams, 1 Ivey, 1 Higgins, 1 Darby, 1 ?

BL: 1.5 2.9 6.14 9.15 (69)
GC: 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.2 (8)

Goals
BL: 3 Farquharson, 2 Bodey, 1 Ellenger, 1 Smith, 1 Lutkins, 1 Yoshida-Martin
GC: 1 Groves-Little
Brisbane match report:

Full time at Casey Fields

Melb: 0.0 2.4 2.5 6.5 (41)
Coll: 2.2 2.3 3.4 3.4 (22)

Goals
Melb: 4 Hore, 1 West, 1 Hanks
Coll: 2 ?, 1 Frederick
Some footage:
 
Last edited:
Western Bulldogs v North Melbourne
Score
WB: 0.0 0.0 1.2 1.2 (8)
NM: 2.2 5.5 7.8 8.11 (59)
Goals
WB: 1 Morris-Dalton
NM: 2 Riddell, 2 Garner, 2 Ashmore, 1 Bateman, 1 Emma King


Carl: 3.4 4.6 6.8 6.10 (46)
StK: 0.1 2.1 4.2 4.4 (28)

Goals
Carl: 2 Vescio, 2 Stevens, 1 Hammans, 1 Walker
StK: 3 ?, 1 Shannon
Carlton match report contains a highlights video and a goals video:

Full time
Rich: 1.4 2.4 3.6 3.7 (25)
Geel: 3.0 3.6 5.8 6.12 (48)

Goals
Rich: 2 Wakefield, 1 Kiely
Geel: 2 McWilliams, 1 Ivey, 1 Higgins, 1 Darby, 1 ?
Full Richmond v Geelong replay already uploaded:
 
Teams for Frem v WCE.


Regulars missing include: O'Driscoll, Kara Antonio and Tiah Toth for Fremantle; Gibson for West Coast.
 
FRE: 0.0 1.3 1.5 3.5 (23)
WCE: 2.1 4.1 5.2 5.2 (32)

Goals
FRE: 1 Runnalls/Houghton, 1 Webb, 1 Stewart
WCE: 2 Gilmore, 1 Bowen, 1 Thomas, 1 Bullas

I missed the first half. Conflicting reports about one of Fremantle's goal kickers.
 
"The potential to cause injury must be factored into the determination of Impact"

It took a whole day for that to be made a mockery of.


No way has it been factored into account with Moloney's tackle on Brancatisano. And any doubt with regards to that being careless or intentional ought to have been clarified by the fact Moloney wanted to go on with it after the tackle.

Meagan Kiely was also lucky, not even picking up a reprimand after she ran past the ball to bump Georgie Prespakis which resulted in a head clash (an ultimately tame one, but again: "potential to cause injury must...").
 
FRE: 0.0 1.3 1.5 3.5 (23)
WCE: 2.1 4.1 5.2 5.2 (32)

Goals
FRE: 1 Runnalls/Houghton, 1 Webb, 1 Stewart
WCE: 2 Gilmore, 1 Bowen, 1 Thomas, 1 Bullas

I missed the first half. Conflicting reports about one of Fremantle's goal kickers.
surprising result given both teams playing basically full strength. Is there a replay available anywhere?
 

(Log in to remove this ad.)

I have developed the most powerful tool in sports prediction technology since that soccer octopus.

This science-adjacent forecaster, known as the CRAP (Collectivity, Reliability, Accountability and Productivity) system, analyses four weighted categories and represents each team’s premiership chances in a single percentage figure.

CRAP says Melbourne have a 12.16% chance of winning the flag, the highest in the league. They are closely followed by North Melbourne (12.13%), who might’ve been runaway favourites if not for a sub-par Accountability rating.

Although many confused pundits claim Brisbane’s teamwork and tactics are the foundation of their success, CRAP has assigned the Lions an underwhelming 1.68 Collectivity rating, suggesting a smaller-than-average arsenal of exceptional playmakers are responsible for their high Productivity ranking.

Other noted notables include some well-regarded teams, like Adelaide and Collingwood, ranking low in Reliability because of poor injury track records to key players.

This research is based on eighty bushels of data, and any questioning of the findings is forbidden.

CRAPaflw.png

CRAP PER (Player Exquisiteness Receptor), an extension of CRAP, has decided Dana Hooker (8.57%) is the most likely League B&F winner, followed by Monique Conti (7.84%). It also indicates Alyssa Bannan (15.25%) is the most likely player to take out the Rising Star award, while Danielle Ponter (27.91%) is a certainty to win the Vescio Medal.
 
I have developed the most powerful tool in sports prediction technology since that soccer octopus.

This science-adjacent forecaster, known as the CRAP (Collectivity, Reliability, Accountability and Productivity) system, analyses four weighted categories and represents each team’s premiership chances in a single percentage figure.

CRAP says Melbourne have a 12.16% chance of winning the flag, the highest in the league. They are closely followed by North Melbourne (12.13%), who might’ve been runaway favourites if not for a sub-par Accountability rating.

Although many confused pundits claim Brisbane’s teamwork and tactics are the foundation of their success, CRAP has assigned the Lions an underwhelming 1.68 Collectivity rating, suggesting a smaller-than-average arsenal of exceptional playmakers are responsible for their high Productivity ranking.

Other noted notables include some well-regarded teams, like Adelaide and Collingwood, ranking low in Reliability because of poor injury track records to key players.

This research is based on eighty bushels of data, and any questioning of the findings is forbidden.

View attachment 1302909

CRAP PER (Player Exquisiteness Receptor), an extension of CRAP, has decided Dana Hooker (8.57%) is the most likely League B&F winner, followed by Monique Conti (7.84%). It also indicates Alyssa Bannan (15.25%) is the most likely player to take out the Rising Star award, while Danielle Ponter (27.91%) is a certainty to win the Vescio Medal.
So what sort of metrics have been used to collect this data ?
Love your work btw, this gets me very excited.
 
So what sort of metrics have been used to collect this data ?
Love your work btw, this gets me very excited.
C - Player disposals/goals/contested marks/etc in relation to league average
R - Games missed due to injury
A - Tackles, intercept possessions, R50s vs points conceded
P - Clearances won, metres gained, I50s vs points scored

C, A and P weighted for performance against assessed quality of opposition, recency and list changes from previous years (including presumed changes, i.e. Patrikios unavailable). R weighted for quality of assessed injured player.

For the League B&F, I took the top ~50 still-active vote-getters, and measured how they poll (how often/many votes they get in wins/losses) vs how their team is predicted to perform (derived from the CRAP system). I also added player's individual R rating, but changed that to "games missed due to football-related injury and suspension"... ensuring Hooker would rank first, rather than somebody who has already won it before because that would be boring (though it's also a logical modification). Similar process was used for leading goal-kicker.

For the Rising Star, I just measured the characteristics of eligible nominees against the average characteristics of past winners. Bannan (19y8m, high draft pick, Victorian club with high CRAP) fit the bill in most areas.
 
C - Player disposals/goals/contested marks/etc in relation to league average
R - Games missed due to injury
A - Tackles, intercept possessions, R50s vs points conceded
P - Clearances won, metres gained, I50s vs points scored

C, A and P weighted for performance against assessed quality of opposition, recency and list changes from previous years (including presumed changes, i.e. Patrikios unavailable). R weighted for quality of assessed injured player.

For the League B&F, I took the top ~50 still-active vote-getters, and measured how they poll (how often/many votes they get in wins/losses) vs how their team is predicted to perform (derived from the CRAP system). I also added player's individual R rating, but changed that to "games missed due to football-related injury and suspension"... ensuring Hooker would rank first, rather than somebody who has already won it before because that would be boring (though it's also a logical modification). Similar process was used for leading goal-kicker.

For the Rising Star, I just measured the characteristics of eligible nominees against the average characteristics of past winners. Bannan (19y8m, high draft pick, Victorian club with high CRAP) fit the bill in most areas.
That's amazing, nice work. If you don't mind sharing/Pm'ing the spreadsheets I'd be super interested.
 
That's amazing, nice work. If you don't mind sharing/Pm'ing the spreadsheets I'd be super interested.
Sure thing, I'll probably start a thread for it once I'm able to make it (or make it seem) intelligible and plonk all the numbers in there.
 

Remove this Banner Ad

Back
Top