Need to wait for sydney to finish their pre season before we judge them
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Certified Legendary Thread Race for the flag, in squiggly lines
- Thread starter Final Siren
- Start date
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Can we get a new thread for the start of the new season? Perhaps with a squiggle FAQ in the OP?
Wow this is a change, we play a horrid grandfinal as opposed to losing any other final in which we are competitive and follow it up with one of the worst opening rounds from the swans i've ever seen. Result we're talked up as top 2 rather then the usual Sydney's done they'll miss the 8 prediction.
Based on bigfootys track record we're stuffed.
Based on bigfootys track record we're stuffed.
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Wasn't it round 1 last year you lost to GWS?
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and anyone who watched would have seen we played better for 3/4 qtrs of that game. then we did our 1/4 qtr against the dons.
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It was a fabrication so get over it
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I don't think the squiggle has an algorithm for injuries.
Final Siren you really need to start a new thread! 
Swans moved sideways like as if they were drifting. The change was so severe and shocking to the Squiggles system, that they've come in from 17-5 to 19.3, increased % by 20 points and went from losing the GF by 20 points to winning it by 15. About 8 point change in the end.
Doggies are really on the roll.
2015 ROUND 2 TIPS
West Coast 109 - 79 Carlton
Subiaco (WA)
Richmond 100 - 72 Western Bulldogs
M.C.G. (VIC)
Greater Western Sydney 94 - 66 Melbourne
Manuka Oval (NSW)
Collingwood 79 - 97 Adelaide
Docklands (VIC)
Port Adelaide 86 - 75 Sydney
Adelaide Oval (SA)
Gold Coast 107 - 76 St Kilda
Carrara (QLD)
Geelong 80 - 79 Fremantle
Kardinia Park (Gee)
Essendon 74 - 102 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)
North Melbourne 103 - 65 Brisbane Lions
Docklands (VIC)
Swans moved sideways like as if they were drifting. The change was so severe and shocking to the Squiggles system, that they've come in from 17-5 to 19.3, increased % by 20 points and went from losing the GF by 20 points to winning it by 15. About 8 point change in the end.
Doggies are really on the roll.
Final Siren you really need to start a new thread!
Swans moved sideways like as if they were drifting. The change was so severe and shocking to the Squiggles system, that they've come in from 17-5 to 19.3, increased % by 20 points and went from losing the GF by 20 points to winning it by 15. About 8 point change in the end.
Doggies are really on the roll.
I think that is partly a result of a statistical quirk in the squiggle where it over-values keeping teams to a low score.
Not really, have a look at Fremantle 2013 and Pies 2011, as well as us in 2005/06 and 2012.
Low scores directly correlates to strong defence.
Squiggles now has Swans as the clear best team, winning the comp by 2 games and the GF by 17.
If only the Swans didn't cake it last season...
If only the Swans didn't cake it last season...
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Swans were favourites last year right?
Slight favourites but it was pretty close to 50-50. He showed the algorithms last year and had the Swans winning about 70% of them, but by 2 goals or less.
Squiggle has Adelaide finishing 4th, but has a 5th placed Port defeating them by 1 point in the semi. That would be entertaining.
Absolutely, I'd even pay to see that game @ AO
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Squiggle got 4/9 this week, poor form.
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We just had to get the dream final, didn't we?
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Mildly so
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Where is Squiggle at?
Yes - the squiggle evaluates on ratios, so you can get a defence explosion (a large movement on the x axis) when a team keeps its opposition to a very low score. It's easier, theoretically, to get a longer line moving horizontally than vertically. For example if Sydney stopped Port from kicking 4 more of their goals, the line this round would have been twice as long! For more examples of this - look back on the squiggle data before 1910's when scores were far lower than today.
To perform a similar act on the y-axis, Port could have scored c.90pts and Sydney c.180pts. From a form perspective, the squiggle doesn't make a distinction between these 2 scenarios. It just governs the direction of the line. Yet arguably, 45:90pts is far more likely than 90:180pts over history. Of course should Sydney have halved Port's anticipated score and doubled theirs (ie PA 45 vs SYD 180), then the line would have moved roughly equal length, but directed 45 degrees to the top-right corner.
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Final Siren are you able to post the Squiggle's Round 1 tips? I didn't catch them before the Tuesday update.
BTW - it would be awesome if we could some how look back at the tips for any round. If not, then I'm happy to manually log them to for the avid followers.
BTW - it would be awesome if we could some how look back at the tips for any round. If not, then I'm happy to manually log them to for the avid followers.
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