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Because i'm bored and its not footy season yet i was wondering what would have happened if the Saints had completely stopped trading in 2002 and took the next player of similar type instead. ( based on where they actually went in the draft ).
Came up with:
Barry Brooks, Jay Schulz
Luke Penny , Tom Lonergan
Gram and Guerra : Nothing ( Maybe Adcock if lucky).
Black for Fiora ... no choice.
Fergus Watts, Cleve Hughs.
Gardiner , Daniel Currie - Depends
Birss , Nothing
Schneider/Dempster , Merideth.
King/Gardiner , Nothing
Ray , Liam Shiels
Lovett , Bastinac ( like to say Fyfe ).
Peake , Probably nothing.
_____________________
So its clear if we'd done that, we'd not have made finals in 2009/10.
BUT if we now do it where we only avoid the big trades, and take the low risk options.
Brooks out Schulz in. Affect in 2004/5 Affect in 2009/2010 Hard to say ( same structure). Affect now zero. conclusion. Might have stopped the spoon.
Penny out Lonergan in. Affect in 2004/5 Negative. Affect in 2009/2010 Positive. Affect now zero. May have helped win a flag.
Gram out. Affect in 2004/5 Minimal. Affect in 2009/2010 massive negative. Affect now zero. V
Keep Guerra. Affect in 2004/5 negative ( should have kept him though ). Affect now zero.
Keep Fiora . total affect negative.
Watts trade. Total affect neutral.
Keep Gardiner
Birss.
Keep Scheider/Dempster ( obviously positive ).
Keep King.
Ray out Liam Shiels in. Affect in 09/10 negative. Affect now positive.
Lovett out Bastinac in. Affect in 2010. Enough to win a final. Affect now , still positive.
Peake stays in.
______________________________
So the only big trades that have really helped us ( ie giving up a 2nd rounder or more for a single player ).
Gram. ( the year we got out of Penny was not worth it ), and Farren Ray.
We have not made any decent trades that gave up first rounders.
If we'd avoided first round trades we are no worse off.
Came up with:
Barry Brooks, Jay Schulz
Luke Penny , Tom Lonergan
Gram and Guerra : Nothing ( Maybe Adcock if lucky).
Black for Fiora ... no choice.
Fergus Watts, Cleve Hughs.
Gardiner , Daniel Currie - Depends
Birss , Nothing
Schneider/Dempster , Merideth.
King/Gardiner , Nothing
Ray , Liam Shiels
Lovett , Bastinac ( like to say Fyfe ).
Peake , Probably nothing.
_____________________
So its clear if we'd done that, we'd not have made finals in 2009/10.
BUT if we now do it where we only avoid the big trades, and take the low risk options.
Brooks out Schulz in. Affect in 2004/5 Affect in 2009/2010 Hard to say ( same structure). Affect now zero. conclusion. Might have stopped the spoon.
Penny out Lonergan in. Affect in 2004/5 Negative. Affect in 2009/2010 Positive. Affect now zero. May have helped win a flag.
Gram out. Affect in 2004/5 Minimal. Affect in 2009/2010 massive negative. Affect now zero. V
Keep Guerra. Affect in 2004/5 negative ( should have kept him though ). Affect now zero.
Keep Fiora . total affect negative.
Watts trade. Total affect neutral.
Keep Gardiner
Birss.
Keep Scheider/Dempster ( obviously positive ).
Keep King.
Ray out Liam Shiels in. Affect in 09/10 negative. Affect now positive.
Lovett out Bastinac in. Affect in 2010. Enough to win a final. Affect now , still positive.
Peake stays in.
______________________________
So the only big trades that have really helped us ( ie giving up a 2nd rounder or more for a single player ).
Gram. ( the year we got out of Penny was not worth it ), and Farren Ray.
We have not made any decent trades that gave up first rounders.
If we'd avoided first round trades we are no worse off.







