Discussion Remaining Fixture

[Keg still on legs]

8th is still possible even if we lose, but that will be relying on Essendon actually putting in some effort so its a very small chance. And that would also mean West Coast in Perth which is the least desirable finals match up.

Has it been confirmed that WC get to play in WA?. I don't know how that works unless their Premier loosens the reigns on border crossings

 

[Keg still on legs]

Won't matter after the Suns beat the pies tonight anyway

 

[George]

If Pies lose both only way we tumble out is Giants beating us by around 50 points.

 

[Plugger35]

The Suns have about as much chance of beating the Pies as the Hawks had of beating the Dogs, would be great if it happened but I'm not counting on it.

 

[Keg still on legs]

The Suns have about as much chance of beating the Pies as the Hawks had of beating the Dogs, would be great if it happened but I'm not counting on it.

Adel vs GWS





I'm not banking on it but anything can happen

 

[Diehard Saint]

Adel vs GWS
I'm not banking on it but anything can happen

Much as I would like it, I don’t think you can compare the Pies to GWS.
Won’t stop me barracking for the upset obviously.

 

[Keg still on legs]

Much as I would like it, I don’t think you can compare the Pies to GWS.
Won’t stop me barracking for the upset obviously.

I think pies win by 27 without getting out of 3rd gear but yep - let's kick the suns home

 

[George]

Looks like even if we had beaten North Melbourne & Fremantle (provided we win on Friday) we still would've ended up finishing 6th. Either way, finishing 6th or 7th nets us the same result - elimination final on neutral ground. Only difference is with 2 extra wins we'd have already clinched finals.

Hopefully we get the win on Friday and look back on it not having cost us anything.

 

[SaintsSeptember]

I'm thinking if we lose to GWS we finish 9th.
Otherwise we are betting on an out of contention Essendon to decide to make a statement against melbourne, or the same scenario with Freo and Bulldogs.
Under those circumstances GWS would finish 10th, but they will still be motivated because they still get in if Melbourne and Bulldogs both lose.

 

[bird_man]

From $9 to $4.50

 

[mighty_sainters]

Probably because we’re all loading up haha

 

[BrutThough]

From $9 to $4.50

Would be from everyone hedging their beats.

The actual percentage chance on if we make it or not hasn't actually changed.

 

[bird_man]

Would be from everyone hedging their beats.

The actual percentage chance on if we make it or not hasn't actually changed.

$9 was ridiculous odds IMO.

 

[BrutThough]

$9 was ridiculous odds IMO.

It was.

But most neutrals hadn't spent the past few weeks working out every way he could miss the finals so wouldnt be aware how generous those odds were.

 

[bird_man]

It was.

But most neutrals hadn't spent the past few weeks working out every way he could miss the finals so wouldnt be aware how generous those odds were.

Well at least if we lose I can take the Mrs our for nice feed and have a night on the sauce.

 

[Armitage2Riewoldt]

From $9 to $4.50

Glad I jumped on at $7. Disappointed i hesitated for a couple hours!

Although we’re all hoping to make the 8 I suppose it doesn’t matter what the odds get to or were.

 

[StCicatriz]

i dont think we can miss under normal circumstances even if we lose the game. win and we avoid playing WCE in perth

 

[George]

i dont think we can miss under normal circumstances even if we lose the game. win and we avoid playing WCE in perth

Melbourne win by 4 goals we're out.

 

[StCicatriz]

Melbourne win by 4 goals we're out.

if we lose by a point, melbourne will have to win by 45 points to make it

i just can't see us not making it unless we absolutely s**t the bed

god now i feel like i'm jinxing it

 

[George]

if we lose by a point, melbourne will have to win by 45 points to make it

i just can't see us not making it unless we absolutely sh*t the bed

god now i feel like i'm jinxing it

It's about a 50 point swing. In all likelihood if we were to lose a close one it'd be around 1-2 goals meaning Melbourne would have to beat Essendon by about 6-7 goals. Actually possible as they'll know exactly what they need to do before their game and may even set up to score heavily / play a much more attacking brand.

Personally think we're out if we lose. Said last week it was our biggest game in 10 years well this trumps it.

 

[bird_man]

if we lose by a point, melbourne will have to win by 45 points to make it

i just can't see us not making it unless we absolutely sh*t the bed

god now i feel like i'm jinxing it

Sounds like you are setting yourself up for one of your world famous melts...

I'll get the popcorn!

 

[#gosaintas]

We will lose by under a goal and then Ess will roll over and Melb will finish 8th. Saints don't win games like these. 5 15 to us and 8 goals straight to GWS.

 

[Keg still on legs]

In the end if we lose and don't make it we would only have ourselves to blame. We would have lost 5 out of the last 6 when we only needed 2 wins to secure a spot

If we win (and I think we will) we finish 6th which I think is a nice result seeing we avoid the eagles in perth

 

[wolfpac13]

Had a $100 bonus bet thats been sitting their for yonks. I put it on us to miss the finals at $9.50.

 

[George]