Round 23

[Barnzy]

2.5 units first half margin Collingwood 37+ points (Sportingbet). Think they will put the foot down early then back off later.

Most disposals group B

1 unit Alan Didak @ $8 (Sportingbet). Coming off 30 touches last week. Only competition in this group seems to be Sidebottom and Johnson.
0.5 units Steele Sidebottom @ $9

 

[TurboBreuster]

2U Coll 1H -36.5 @1.98

FGS
0.1U Anthony @34 (Centrebet)
0.1U Didak @34 (Betfair)
0.15U Krakouer @20 (Betfair)
0.15U Dawes @18.5 (Betfair)

MGS
0.15U Swan @18 (Betfair)
0.1U Didak @34 (Sportingbet)
0.15U Blair @12 (Betfair)

2U WCE 1-39 @2.25 (Sportingbet)

 

[Woody15]

2u @ pies -16.5 1q

 

[Unrivaled Mach]

Liking the HT -35.5 line tonight. Thinking the Pies will take the foot off after a probable 50+ lead at 3qtr time and be thinking about the Cats next Friday.

Took this, no worries in the end

 

[Thedeftouch]

Took a big stand against the overs (have a look at the Betfair total match points market while its open, see how silly the odds got). Thought I was drawing dead after the first quarter, but a nice second quarter and it's a ball game again

It's pretty tilting laying the overs when Collingwood play... they are a pretty potent offensive team.

Let's go defensive spoils, rushed behinds, and out-of-bounds-on-the-full shots at goal.

 

[The Royal Sampler]

The accuracy tonight has not worked in your favour. Freo are normally one of the most inaccurate teams in the league... at least this season.

 

[The Royal Sampler]

2 units - Sidebottom > Broughton DT @ $1.87

Rusty hasn't been great these last couple but will play further up the ground now with Krakoeur back in. Subi suits his endurance and ability to find space. Broughton's scores have suffered since Barlow returned and he went back, and the press doesn't allow cheap stats to half-backs. The danger is if we do allow Freo a loose man simply because Leon doing the same at our end will be more damaging... but then Broughton would have to be that guy which is still no sure thing.

+1.74 units.

 

[JuddyBuddy]

And...

Coll/Freo - Over 188.5 @ 1.90

Loss by 5 points. FML.

 

[denitofinito]

Took this, no worries in the end

They ended up covering the FT line too, but was cutting it close there for a sec!

 

[aguila]

Loss by 5 points. FML.

oh definitely, totes FML

 

[Thedeftouch]

Took a big stand against the overs (have a look at the Betfair total match points market while its open, see how silly the odds got). Thought I was drawing dead after the first quarter, but a nice second quarter and it's a ball game again

It's pretty tilting laying the overs when Collingwood play... they are a pretty potent offensive team.

Let's go defensive spoils, rushed behinds, and out-of-bounds-on-the-full shots at goal.

Epic sweat, good on freo for battling in the last 10 minutes

 

[Thedeftouch]

It is raining here in inner-Brisbane, and forecast to rain again throughout tomorrow.

If you are lucky enough to have an unrestricted B365 account, pump u1805.

I don't think anywhere else has a total up yet.

 

[Mr Crow!]

What do you guys think of:

Fremantle +39.5 vs. Collingwood @ $4.50?

I'm glad I didn't get on this!

 

[TurboBreuster]

2U Coll 1H -36.5 @1.98

FGS
0.1U Anthony @34 (Centrebet)
0.1U Didak @34 (Betfair)
0.15U Krakouer @20 (Betfair)
0.15U Dawes @18.5 (Betfair)

MGS
0.15U Swan @18 (Betfair)
0.1U Didak @34 (Sportingbet)
0.15U Blair @12 (Betfair)

2U WCE 1-39 @2.25 (Sportingbet)

Adding:
2U KANG/STK <173.5 @1.9 (B365)
3U KANG/STK <171.5 @1.9 (B365)
I have been anxious to see the total for this line since last Sunday and happily put 2 units on it last night. After sleeping on it I have added more units at a slightly lower total. The game definately has finals type importance and I can't see it going over 160. Only 1 of the Saints last six at Etihad have gone >160 and when these two teams played 7 weeks ago the total was 149.

2U HAW/WBD >182.5 @1.9 (Centrebet)
I want to put more on this but it's my own team so I will hold back. How can a team concede 97 to the Power like the Dogs did last week? Buddy, Cyril and co should have a field day and a scoreline of 130-85 would not surprise me.

2U BRIS/WCE <175.5 @1.9 (B365)

MGS
I have tailed some of Lenny's plays and added some of my own
0.4U Jpod @3.75 (Sportingbet)
0.05U Reid @41
0.15U Hawkins @15
0.3U Rioli @11 (Centrebet)
0.5U Milne @5
0.1U Harvey @26
0.3U Any other @11 <Cornelius, Staker> (Centrebet)
0.15U Q.Lynch @26 (Centrebet)

FGS
0.25U Reid @23 (B365)
0.2U Jpod @10 (B365)
0.15U Tutt @41 (B365)
0.3U Buddy @8 (Centrebet)
0.3U Milne @9 (B365)
0.15U Harvey @21 (B365)
0.15U Pederson @34 (B365)

 

[Lensen]

0.5 units Vickery most goals Adel v Rich @ $26 (Sportingbet, $15.75)

 

[TheNextBigThing]

Geelong 121+/Hawthorn 121+ @ $4.84

 

[sneak]

wce vs bris 150pts or under @ 3.25

 

[Trojan Pies]

0.5 units Vickery most goals Adel v Rich @ $26 (Sportingbet, $15.75)

Good spot - worth a cheeky bet. Only paying $17 on Centrebet

 

[TurboBreuster]

Geelong 121+/Hawthorn 121+ @ $4.84

Nice multi, I will add:

0.8U Haw >114 /Gee >113.5 @3.61 (Centrebet)

 

[baywatch5]

ROUND 23 FRIDAY NIGHT

ATS - DOCKERS +70.5 (x2) LOSS

Not a great start to the round with the Dockers failing yet again..... 0-1 -2.2u

SATURDAY

DOUBLE: SWANS +63.5 / WBULLDOGS +60.5 (x2)
1ST H - EAGLES -10.5 (x3)

 

[TheNextBigThing]

Anyone else like Stokes more goals than Varcoe @ $1.86, Varcoe has been playing a lot more on a HBF lately while Stokes is more likely to spend a lot more time up forward.

 

[IDIG]

Any late news in the hawks dogs game? Can't seem to put a most possy bet on (at iasbet)

 

[IDIG]

Reports on MMM that Mitchell may be a late out.

 

[Lensen]

Most goals Ess/Port:
0.5 units Butcher @ $8 (Sportingbet, $3)

Most goals Melb/GC:
0.16 units N.Ablett @ $41 (Sportingbet, $13.23)

 

[IDIG]

Confirmed.

He might miss next week, too.

Against the suns too, that sucks for my sc

Having small goes at -
Hale FG @ 11
Hale MG @ 14
Gia MG @ 17
Goodes MG @ 18
JPK MP Group 1 @ 9
Swans lowest score for round @ 6.50 (Freo 52)

Wanted to have a go at Griffin MP as well.