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Preview Round 24, 2025: Brisbane v Hawthorn, 7.20pm Sunday 24th Aug, Gabba

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Not quite that simple. Depends on how much we score.

If we score our lowest winning score so far (47), we only need to win by 5.
If we score 60, we will need to win by 7.
If we score 70, we will need to win by 9.
If we score 80, we will need to win by 11.
If we score 90, we will need to win by 12.
If we score 100, we will need to win by 14.
If we score 110, we will need to win by 16.
If we score 120, we will need to win by 18.
If we score 130, we will need to win by 20.
If we score 140, we will need to win by 22.
If we score highest winning score so far (150), we will need to win by 23.

Of course, if Port can hold on and beat the Suns, we'll only need to win by 1.
This needs to be pinned to the top of this thread!

The Cats at the G is better than the Crows in Adelaide.
 
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Port winning tonight helped but didn't help. Helps with top 4 so long as we win vs BL.
Doesn't help if we lose to BL. Losing puts us at risk of travelling to GWS for an EF.
Assuming GWS wins and Hawks lose.

Not sure both those events will occur.

Ross Lyon will release the shackles in last game of the year.

Hawks have a top 4 spot on the line against a wounded opponent.

Suspect we finish 3rd and spoil the Scats inside lane run to the winning post the AFL fix-ture has kissed them on the pecker with this season.

Believe Hawkers...
 
Stakes couldn't be higher for a home and away game.

Win and we play our arch enemy at home with a double chance.
Lose and it's death vally in some sydney backwater.

No pressure from us here.
 
Geelol at the G on a Friday or Saturday night would be epic. That would be a PR dream for the AFL and both clubs.

Please make it so by getting the job done tomorrow.

Hopefully we’ve learned from last time and will better shape around the ground ball contests. They cut us to ribbons last time.

Huge test for our midfield against one of the best. Even without Neale and Berry they have a top notch unit.
 

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For the maths geeks, the lead that we require to remain higher than Collingwood's percentage is given by the equation:

lead = 0.182822702*score - 4.570567554
(where score = Hawthorn's score)

Shove any score into this equation and it will give the required lead to stay above Collingwood's percentage.

Which means if we only scored 20, we could lose and still remain above their percentage. Interestingly the score that puts us exactly on their percentage is a 25 all draw.
 

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Certainty. We get stitched up every time.
Burnie Burns Conspiracy GIF by Rooster Teeth
 
Annoying we have to wait until the end of the weekend for this while there are 3 essentially dead rubbers on today.
Yeh, clearly the AFL planned it that way, get the boring shit in mid weekend and leave the interesting games for last. All 3 Sunday games should be good.
 
Yeh, clearly the AFL planned it that way, get the boring shit in mid weekend and leave the interesting games for last. All 3 Sunday games should be good.
Yep. I'll be clearing the decks today in preparation for an interruption-free Sunday.
 
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