Saturday Racing 16/12

[starz]

Post your tips and best bets here, include odds and what option you're backing (win, place) if you can.

I'll kick it off with Pigeon Ponds @ 4.40 win & 1.60+ to place in the 3rd @ Ballina in 20 minutes.

 

[starz]

Won easily got 4/1 and 1.60

 

[SaintsSupporter]

Dr. Neeson in the next at Ballina, showing 7.40 & 2.40 on the NSW Tote.

 

[HeLMie]

Ballina??? Please......

 

[SaintsSupporter]

Ballina??? Please......

Don't reply if you don't like it. He's already delivered a win.

 

[HeLMie]

Deloraine Win race 2 at Sandown.... Good win last start over some likely types and looks easier here.... Danger would be Olivers mount, but really is unproven yet, has got a couple of favourable runs, in not so good fields....

 

[HeLMie]

Don't reply if you don't like it. He's already delivered a win.

I'm sorry

 

[SaintsSupporter]

Deloraine Win race 2 at Sandown.... Good win last start over some likely types and looks easier here.... Danger would be Olivers mount, but really is unproven yet, has got a couple of favourable runs, in not so good fields....

I noticed Sahifa got beaten by the favourite last start by 1.5 lengths, but meets it 4.5 kilos better this time in so I'd be inclined to give it another chance. Before that it put up a nice performance at the valley when it ran up to the promising Liger.

 

[HeLMie]

Also hopefully after a couple of non impressive runs, Kincharm can get out to good odds and win over the lesser distance....

 

[SaintsSupporter]

What a disappointing horse that's been. Well backed every start but never delivers. I think Operetta Lass from a nice barrier is hitting fitness.

 

[HeLMie]

I noticed Sahifa got beaten by the favourite last start by 1.5 lengths, but meets it 4.5 kilos better this time in so I'd be inclined to give it another chance. Before that it put up a nice performance at the valley when it ran up to the promising Liger.

Yep, but carried six less than liger.....

Still you have added extra doubts to my mind....

 

[HeLMie]

What a disappointing horse that's been. Well backed every start but never delivers. I think Operetta Lass from a nice barrier is hitting fitness.

Its run last start wasnt that bad....

Heres the video analysis: at the rear 11L off lead in a good pace, still at the rear 7L off at the 500m, widest into straight, hung in at the 300m, challenged at the 150m, ll, battled on strong one pace.

And it only went down by a length....

 

[SaintsSupporter]

Yep, but carried six less than liger.....

Still you have added extra doubts to my mind....

Yes, but meeting a horse that beat it by one and a half lengths last start carrying 4.5 kilos less than its last run should just about even it up. I'm saying it has the ability to cover the favourite, Deloraine is the wildcard.

 

[SaintsSupporter]

Its run last start wasnt that bad....

Heres the video analysis: at the rear 11L off lead in a good pace, still at the rear 7L off at the 500m, widest into straight, hung in at the 300m, challenged at the 150m, ll, battled on strong one pace.

And it only went down by a length....

The good pace is what allowed it to run on. If it were just an average pace it would have been beaten 3-5 lengths.

 

[Lockyer24]

Melb R4 Threedee fixed odds $7

 

[HeLMie]

The good pace is what allowed it to run on. If it were just an average pace it would have been beaten 3-5 lengths.

In all likelyhood the pace will be on again, SSAS, coalminer, deRiguer....

 

[HeLMie]

Melb R4 Threedee fixed odds $7

Drops back to the 1400....

 

[HeLMie]

Anyone see the NZ start

 

[HeLMie]

Bloody Williams again...

 

[nicolbolas]

Bloody Williams again...

and hopefully he backs it up with a double in the next

 

[HeLMie]

Or hopefully Newitt

 

[nicolbolas]

very happy with Williams, good ride. and reasonable value at 5.5

cheers

 

[Ricketts]

Canyonville at Rosehill.

Will watch Imagining in the last at Sandown too, looks very talented.

 

[HeLMie]

Threedee- that hurts....

 

[Lockyer24]

Yeah the nose cost me winner and 20% of the first four dividend

Another 50m would have been nice