Saturday Racing 23/12

[starz]

Post your best bets, tips here.
Get them in 5+ minutes before race and call the odds (give or take) if you can, and what you’re backing win/place/ew? .. Discussion welcome.
Some good races at Randwick and Doomben.

i'll post my tips tomorrow.

 

[Ron]

Road to Athens i reckon is a great chance in the 8th at Sandown, and is still paying some nice odds.

Publishing in the 4th, and Count to Zero in the 5th should be too good for the rest of the field.

 

[Em4N]

Randwick
R4. Red Queen should win
R5. Letter of Intent
R6. Prince Arthur
R7. Dan City E/W
R8.President Dane W - scratched

Doomben
R1. Pride of Power E/W - scratched
R2. My Chinese King W
R3. Princess Norma E/W - scratched
R5. Scenic Rule E/W - scratched
R8. Lombardy W

Sandown
All E/W
R4. Jungle Ruler
R5. Kings Champ
R6. Rubiton Raider
R7. Destina

Colac
R2. The Wolverine

 

[starz]

R1 Randwick - Danehill Smile, the only horse that I could see beating him has been scratched and @ 1.75 still looks value. Just a field of 4.
R2 Randwick - Backing Zeinab to win at 20/1+ & to place @ 6+
R3 Sandown - Swains world @ 3.20 to win & 1.5 plc.
R4 Sandown - Smaller bets on Publishing to win @ 1.75+ and Ejaad to place @ 1.8+
R7 Randwick - On the favourite Friday Creek to run a place @ 1.75+
R7 Doomben - smaller bet on Natural Destiny - to win @ 2.7+
R8 Doomben - A larger play on this one, backing Lombardy and Vitruvian as a team to win @ 4.0 & 4.5

 

[starz]

R1 Randwick - Danehill Smile, the only horse that I could see beating him..

*her

 

[SaintsSupporter]

I'm a little late here, but I think Keiki will lead them up and win. Danehill Smile had every single favour go its way last time, so 1.40 isn't appealing.

 

[starz]

I'm a little late here, but I think Keiki will lead them up and win. Danehill Smile had every single favour go its way last time, so 1.40 isn't appealing.

1.40? where do you shop?
TAB fixed odds had Danehill smile @ 1.70 all morning and 1.8 was on offer elsewhere up until 2 hours before jump.
Way too good anyway, an easy win.

 

[starz]

Easy win for Swains World

 

[Ricketts]

Had Cancanelle earlier.

Also like Count To Zero. Berners Lane at good odds to maybe beat Publishing.

Randwick - Tin Pan in the 8th and perhaps Real Strike in the Villiers.

 

[starz]

Backing Zeinab to win at 20/1+ & to place @ 6+

30/1 wasn't a bad run in the end, after being boxed in last when straightening.

 

[starz]

R4 Sandown - Smaller bets on Publishing to win @ 1.75+ and Ejaad to place @ 1.8+

Publishing wins @ 1.67 from Ejaad second @ 1.80 plc. Easy

 

[hawkeyeqld]

I really like Zac Purton's rides today at Randwick from the 3rd onwards.

Will have a small dabble E/W on all of them.

 

[sethlad]

Doomben R4 H16 Casaco @$11 e/w (IAS)

seth

 

[starz]

I really like Zac Purton's rides today at Randwick from the 3rd onwards.

Will have a small dabble E/W on all of them.

Good call, didn't take long 1/1.

 

[hawkeyeqld]

That one was my huge bet of the day.
Excellent start, was super confident.

I'll take it easy for the rest of the day now.

 

[starz]

That one was my huge bet of the day.

Maybe so, but i read it as "small e/w on all of them"

If it was your huge bet, declare it before the race because you wouldn't have said anything if it lost.

 

[hawkeyeqld]

yes sir, are you the boss around here?

I gave a hint of tips, that is good enough, but I won't create a threading begging for
selections and prices.
Why would I give anyone my premium selections that I spent two years researching?

 

[starz]

yes sir, are you the boss around here?

I gave a hint of tips, that is good enough, but I won't create a threading begging for
selections and prices.
Why would I give anyone my premium selections that I spent two years researching?

Don't make a big deal of it, i gave you credit. Call it before the event that's just the way it should be.
If you want to aftertime, go for it...

 

[sethlad]

This is funny stuff.....begging for selections LOL

IMO if youre going to demand all this information, it would also be a good idea to declare where you placed your bet.
Transparancy is important & punting is all about getting the right odds.
Anyone can say the odds they want,whats vital is what odds you took & where you got them,its not difficult
Saying you want $4 then claiming it when it wins at $2.75,whats the point? Full disclosure or no disclosure but halfway is pointless.

If no agency declared,we will assume you took Tote odds.

seth

 

[starz]

“begging for selections” ???
“Premium selections two years of research”
“Declare the agency”


Don't make ****'s of yourselves here, chill out.
We're giving tips & odds. I'm giving a lot more tips/info and making it clearer than everyone else on here.
If you don't like it, and feel safer aftertiming and generalising, you know where to go.

Anyway, Friday Creek swamped on the line 4th at 4/1
Vitruvian looks like starting a bit shorter than 4/1 in R8.

 

[sethlad]

What is your issue with being upfront about where you bet?
Cant be more specific than that.
You may be giving odds but theyre about as relevant as the newspaper odds.

"Im on --------- at $6 with Centrebet/IAS/Sportingbet."
Is that too much to expect?

seth

 

[starz]

I've said a number of times i bet with Betfair probably 80% of the time when it comes to racing and sometimes TAB.
I don't exaggerate odds, i usually take a bit off if anything.

 

[sethlad]

Ok,that wasnt that hard was it?
Would it be possible to put the matched odds after your bet?

It would actually help,plenty of punters here still dont realise what theyre missing by not using Betfair.

seth

 

[starz]

I usually put my bets through a few minutes before the jump.
Here, I post what I think it will roughly pay 6 hours before the jump so people have an idea of what to expect. As you can see most of the time I post what i got after the race which is usually pretty close to what i quoted earlier.

 

[sethlad]

6 hrs before is tough,I find IAS are one of the few to have their markets up early in the day for most meetings.IMO the best guide,including movers.

Its amazing how close the IAS & Betfair markets are from mid morning on metro meetings.TAB is no guide til 2 minutes before.

seth