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- Apr 14, 2013
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So, the next election in the 26 counties that constitute the Irish Republic (Free State under the whip of the Brits to the more hardcore republicans) will occur by March 2025. After the Sinn Fein surge last election, where they topped the poll but got locked out to the degree that mortal right wing Civil War rivals Fianna Fail and Fine Gael formed a coalition rather than deal with Sinn Fein, Sinn Fein has gone from strength to strength. Look at the latest collation of Polls
This is only growing and it's indisputable that Sinn Fein provide the next Taoiseach. For the first time since independence, Ireland will be led by the left. Who do they partner with? Do the bring in Fianna Fail as a broad nationalist coalition, or do they target the trots and left independents, SocDems, PBP? Or do they go it alone as a minority?
More broadly what does this do for Irish Unity. Sinn Fein has the highest vote in both the North and the South but the Southern vote is more focused on their housing and democratic socialist policies than unification, whereas their Northern vote is all about being freed from the British yoke.
How do we see the Republic looking after 2025?
Sinn Féin | 64 | +28 |
Fine Gael | 37 | +3 |
Fianna Fáil | 35 | -2 |
Independents | 11 | -10 |
PBP/Solidarity | 5 | nc |
Social Democrats | 4 | -2 |
Labour | 4 | -3 |
Green Party | 0 | -12 |
Aontú | 0 | -1 |
Right2Change | 0 | -1 |
This is only growing and it's indisputable that Sinn Fein provide the next Taoiseach. For the first time since independence, Ireland will be led by the left. Who do they partner with? Do the bring in Fianna Fail as a broad nationalist coalition, or do they target the trots and left independents, SocDems, PBP? Or do they go it alone as a minority?
More broadly what does this do for Irish Unity. Sinn Fein has the highest vote in both the North and the South but the Southern vote is more focused on their housing and democratic socialist policies than unification, whereas their Northern vote is all about being freed from the British yoke.
How do we see the Republic looking after 2025?