The NBA 2010/11 Thread

[Cruiser23]

Will add that now as I think the line will move closer towards 6 (better not go other way ).

Actually opened at -4.5 in some places in the States so it's more likely to increase, Sportingbet already have them at -5.5.

Spurs into Hawks looking like a very solid play tomorrow at over $2.

 

[Cruiser23]

Miami just fell from -10.5 to -8.5 at Sportingbet.

 

[Barnzy]

That's odd. Maybe one of James/Bosh/Wade are out? 9 on Bet 365 at the moment.

Only worry I see with that bet is someone said the other week that Miami seem to play better and are more focused away from home when they are getting booed whereas at home when getting cheered they take it easy and just cruise especially against easy teams. I agree with that.

• Heat are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5.
• Heat are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record
• Heat are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
• Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
• Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite
  

Also

• Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• Underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
• Road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings

All points to Bucks covering. Still, sometimes you can focus too much on stats and Bucks are a horrible team especially without Jennings which is important to factor in. Hopefully it gets up for you. I might leave it alone with those trends, don't know what will happen. Could be close or a massive blowout.

 

[Serum]

Like the sound of both those bets cruiser on them both myself BOL!

 

[Cruiser23]

That's odd. Maybe one of James/Bosh/Wade are out? 9 on Bet 365 at the moment.

Only worry I see with that bet is someone said the other week that Miami seem to play better and are more focused away from home when they are getting booed whereas at home when getting cheered they take it easy and just cruise especially against easy teams. I agree with that.

• Heat are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5.
• Heat are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record
• Heat are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
• Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
• Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite

Yeah they are 5 - 12 ATS at home which is a slight worry. At the moment i'm leaning just the Unders but considering the Bucks won't be able to make runs, if they get behind they should get blown out as shown in their 3 losses without Jennings. Spoelstra did emphasise his team can't have lapses and become lazy a few days ago, it seemed to register today, should carry over. May just run with it as they have the Bucks again 2 days after so if they don't play well, they will in Milwaukee. Not sure, like the Unders much more.

 

[Borgsta]

Did a half unit play on all 3 as I like em Cruiz @ 6.95

 

[Cruiser23]

Another line that's dropped a fair bit is Chicago. Opened at -9.5 against Toronto, now down to -8.

 

[Barnzy]

Maybe because Bargnani is expected to play. They've been pathetic on offense without him. Although this would've been known when the line opened.

 

[Cruiser23]

Maybe because Bargnani is expected to play. They have been pathetic on offense without him. Although this would've been known when the line opened.

Reckon it helps the Bulls personally. Boozer will absolutely dominate and players coming back from a lay off don't normally come out firing first game back, reckon Andrea might be throwing up a few bricks tomorrow which will help the Bulls and the Unders. DeRozan has been scoring well, Andrea back may affect that, not sure how these two will work together now, they may be really off tomorrow. Lineup is too unsettle to cover here i think especially with Calderon questionable and Weems still out who gives them a bit off the bench.

 

[Cruiser23]

Now the Hawks line dropping from -6.5 to -5 against the Kings. May have something to do with the Hawks having Utah the day after but the Kings are terrible.

 

[Cruiser23]

Now to -4.5...

Miami against Milwaukee -10.5 to -8.5
Chicago against Toronto -9.5 to -7.5
Atlanta against Sacramento -6.5 to -4.5

 

[baywatch5]

TODAY: 1/1 +1 unit
Weekly Breakdown 9 - 3 (75%) +5.3 units
http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/2011/01/weekly-summary.html

 

[baywatch5]

DOUBLE - SPURS ML / BULLS ML x1.5 unit play LOSS http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/2011/01/official-play_7631.html

 

[baywatch5]

ATS - THUNDER -2 - x1 unit play LOSS
http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/2011/01/official-play_6616.html

 

[Barnzy]

Where's Dallas vs Portland market?

 

[Cruiser23]

ATS - THUNDER -2 - x1 unit play

http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/2011/01/official-play_6616.html

Just a little stat on that play, apparently teams coming off a Lakers victory are 9 - 1 ATS this year.

Love your other play though, will be one of my bigger ones i think.

 

[baywatch5]

Just a little stat on that play, apparently teams coming off a Lakers victory are 9 - 1 ATS this year.

Love your other play though, will be one of my bigger ones i think.

Cheers Cruiser. Fair stat. Also line has moved to -1. Should have held off till this morning as Grizzles would be the public play for sure after last start. Not worried though, I still think the win and cover. Only spot I miss now is 1pt win. I would lose while others now push. No harm no foul. GO THUNDER!

Good luck on your plays today Cruiser

 

[Heropsychodreamer]

Hi all, thanks for your thoughts... i'm fairly similar.

Gone for one long-odds multi.
SAS - ATL - OKL (All At Line) @ 6.85

What are everyones thoughts on Portland. Took them at 2.35. They aren't travelling well, but I think Dirks out. He stook in their way last time

CORRECTION: Dirk is definately out

 

[twarby]

Cheers Cruiser. Fair stat. Also line has moved to -1. Should have held off till this morning as Grizzles would be the public play for sure after last start. Not worried though, I still think the win and cover. Only spot I miss now is 1pt win. I would lose while others now push. No harm no foul. GO THUNDER!

Good luck on your plays today Cruiser

OKC is the public play, Memphis showing RLM

im not fooled though, im on OKC -1

 

[Bic]

Memphis +1.5
Portland +3
Sac +5

Good luck

 

[N1k0s287]

OKC -1
Spurs/Bulls ML
Spurs -5

Good luck to all

 

[Bic]

Liked all dogs today... Just went with the stronger leans.

Hopefully chose the right ones

 

[Surf Goon]

Up tempo game in New York so far...Overs looking good early.
Both teams are shooting over 60% from the field...

 

[demon_fanatic]

i put Memphis +5 to +8 in all my multi teasers... simply OKC continues to be overrated by everyone including the oddsmakers... so i will keep betting against them when they play half ok teams..... they arent what they were last year

 

[mdc]

Up tempo game in New York so far...Overs looking good early.

I still don't understand why that total was so low...216 would have been closer to the mark.