Well fair enough, though their simulations are based on their statistics and they got Melbourne so badly wrong in the pre-season
Champion Data also said Melbourne had the best listChampion Data has us finishing fourth which would mean an away game to a shared ground against Geelong. Both the Eagles and the Cats call the MCG their alternate home ground so apart from the air travel, not be too bad.
Obviously the preferred outcome would be to win the next 5 and we stay at Optus but the alternative still gives us a double chance
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Stats, regardless of who collates them, are good for explaining for what happened but next to useless for predicting what willI think we can all agree that it is best to ignore Champion Data for realistic analysis. Supercoach, fine. Real footy, no.
Yep, you get one upset and most of their predictions can go out the window.Stats, regardless of who collates them, are good for explaining for what happened but next to useless for predicting what will
It’s the fundamental flaw with Champion Data extrapolating past results into future predictions. The sooner the media realise this and stop sprouting it as some sort of gospel the better
I ran a ladder predictor where Port, Hawthorn and the Bulldogs won all their remaining games. GWS missed the 8 with 12 wins. It's not what you'd call a likely outcomeIt is possible for three teams outside the eight currently on eight wins ,Port,Hawthorn and the Bulldogs to each win their last five games and finish on thirteen wins.They do not play each other so no garanteed loses for any of them so it might take fourteen wins just to be garanteed a top eight spot without a very good percentage.
-Still a long way to go in the season but we have very little wriggle room and need to win four more games to be a realiatic top two definate top four chance.I reckon we can .The Richmond game worries me not because I fear them.They have only beaten us once in five years and that was dodgy time at the mcg but theres every chance a few things can go wrong, an injury or two a bit of dud umpiring and the margins for error are not very much in any game .As we learned v Collingwood.
Really think very serious time for the Eagles starts this weekend and pacing yourself through the marathon season is just about up and the sprint finish starts early this year.
My ladder predictor suggests 4-1 has us second on percentage, by a nose from Richmond. So that could easily be third if they smack a few sides in the next month but we currently have a bit of a buffer.Just saw they’ve also got Richmond at the G in round 23, they won’t be winning that. So really, we should be able to tie up second if we an go 4-1, might even get lucky if we go 3-2.