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Certified Legendary Thread The Squiggle is back in 2023 (and other analytics)
- Thread starter Final Siren
- Start date
- Tagged users None
🥰 Love BigFooty? Join now for free.
- Aug 18, 2009
- 4,230
- 17,507
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- Richmond
- Thread starter
- #727
Absolute disaster for Sydney, dropping from likely Top 4 to teetering on the brink of the 8.
Also horrible for Port.
Geelong staved off oblivion - if they hadn't won, they would have been toast.
Crows with a sneaky little wedge into the Top 8.
- Aug 22, 2009
- 24,555
- 29,452
- AFL Club
- West Coast
Absolute disaster for Sydney, dropping from likely Top 4 to teetering on the brink of the 8.
Also horrible for Port.
Geelong staved off oblivion - if they hadn't won, they would have been toast.
Crows with a sneaky little wedge into the Top 8.
Do you have top 2 chances readily available?
- Aug 18, 2009
- 4,230
- 17,507
- AFL Club
- Richmond
- Thread starter
- #729
Top 2 chances:
Richmond: 97.1%
West Coast: 64.1%
Collingwood: 22.7%
Port Adelaide: 4.4%
GWS: 4.2%
Melbourne: 4.0%
Geelong: 1.8%
Sydney: 1.0%
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- Aug 22, 2009
- 24,555
- 29,452
- AFL Club
- West Coast
Thanks mate.
Nothing better than some squiggle tracking when your team is in the run for top 2/4/6/8.
- Mar 28, 2018
- 10,491
- 8,456
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- GWS
Forward Press
Hall of Famer
Yep not making top 2 from here would be disappointing but it's not the end of the world if we have to play Richmond or Collingwood at the MCG, or GWS at Spotless. I believe in Simmo's post match press conference he did say the club would now target top 4.
Forward Press
Hall of Famer
Also looking back turns out Champion Data was right about North a few weeks ago - they predicted they wouldn't make finals. Still possible obviously but teetering towards the edge. This weekend in Hobart vs Eagles suddenly becomes a season defining moment.
That ladder would give the winner of Melb v Haw a likely shot at Collingwood in the semi, and Richmond in the prelim if they managed to win that
Miguel Sanchez
Snide Shooter
Is that "Finals Chances" table available for the previous round? Just interested to see how teams like Sydney and North's chances went up or down based on the weekend's results.
Absolute disaster for Sydney, dropping from likely Top 4 to teetering on the brink of the 8.
Also horrible for Port.
Geelong staved off oblivion - if they hadn't won, they would have been toast.
Crows with a sneaky little wedge into the Top 8.
One thing to be super impressive in terms of accuracy and all that, but to be able to present like this, in particular the second image, is fantastic. It just answers every question that people are likely to ask pre-emptively.
- Jan 3, 2017
- 5,294
- 7,406
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- Collingwood
- Other Teams
- Celtics, Packers
Am I correct in saying that the percentage "chance" refers to the percentage of possible simulations in which that result happens?
cryptor
Brownlow Medallist
- May 11, 2008
- 26,927
- 74,720
- AFL Club
- Hawthorn
Richmond couldn't lose it from here. Only Richmond stand in their way now.
Except a team could emerge from here like 2017 Richmond
This is round 19 2017
Where two teams start a game, anything can happen
This is round 19 2017
Where two teams start a game, anything can happen
- Aug 22, 2009
- 24,555
- 29,452
- AFL Club
- West Coast
What about the team on a equal number of wins, odds on to get a home QF, who smashed the tigers last time they faced them?
Forward Press
Hall of Famer
The Dogs of 2016 would've been in a similar position too.
The most important thing is to make finals first, then with a bit of luck you can win the whole thing when you hit form at the right time.
- Jul 10, 2012
- 7,503
- 9,220
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- West Coast
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- Manchester City, Lakers
I would have loved to have played Tigers at the MCG during the season, but Pies will have to be our measuring stick now.
Be interesting to see how the pies go against the tigers. Their loss against us stands out like a sore thumb in their results over the last few months.
Be competitive against the tigers and our result against them looks better and better
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- Mar 28, 2018
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I think the result against the Pies was revealing as to the pecking order. The Vic press will beat up a big Melbourne club like Collingwood, and they are playing well, but not top 2 well.
Magpie Monopoly
A Good Bloke
- Banned
- #747
You know what, i think you're right.
I haven't seen anyone on BigFooty mention we haven't beaten any top 4 teams and only 1 top 8 team and that we are pretenders and that we have injuries.
Never heard that.
Jimmybob
Premiership Player
- May 26, 2012
- 4,843
- 8,396
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- Richmond
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- Heat, Tasmania
Final Siren May I ask what field you work in? And what you studied to be able to create these graphs, sites, and algorithms. It’s all quite phenomenal, if you ask me.
iluvparis
Import Whisperer
- Apr 1, 2005
- 50,055
- 40,656
- AFL Club
- Carlton
- Other Teams
- Calgary Flames, Man Utd
iluvparis
Import Whisperer
- Apr 1, 2005
- 50,055
- 40,656
- AFL Club
- Carlton
- Other Teams
- Calgary Flames, Man Utd
The difference this year is that there is a team massively out to the top right by themselves.
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