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Troy Pannell Corruption

Is umpire corruption an issue worth investigating?

  • Not at all. The AFL would make sure it’s ok

    Votes: 5 5.9%

  • Troy Parnell only . Doubt there’s others

    Votes: 6 7.1%

  • Could be more widespread. Should be investigated

    Votes: 19 22.4%

  • Highly likely given the amount of money in the sport. Full investigation

    Votes: 55 64.7%
  • Total voters
    85

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The probability of getting 17 heads out of 18 coin tosses using an on-line Coin Flip Probability Calculator (!) is 1 in 14,564

Not exactly the same thing as free kicks but gives you an idea of the extreme improbability of 17/18 frees to the Dogs without umpire bias.
 
Slippery Pete said:
Pannell had that one game with us where it looked as though he had his house on the Bulldogs, but I also just want to say that Matthew Nicholls is not getting anywhere near enough love in this thread.
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and that melon shaped head also known as umpire McLaren - he hated us and umpired accordingly.

1750395882086.png
 

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Drugs Are Bad Mackay? said:
What's certain is that there will be absolutely no investigation or inquiry whatsoever
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The AFL, probably: "there is no way our low paid, part time umpires we refuse to give proper resources to would ever be corrupted by outside organizations offering large sums of money"
 
Scorpus said:
The AFL (actually for real this time, paraphrased): "The umpire we allow Sportsbet to employ is impartial and his role at a betting company doesn't have the potential to corrupt his umpiring"
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Hard to tell the difference between parody and real.
That's a concern.
 
Apsaalooke said:
The probability of getting 17 heads out of 18 coin tosses using an on-line Coin Flip Probability Calculator (!) is 1 in 14,564

Not exactly the same thing as free kicks but gives you an idea of the extreme improbability of 17/18 frees to the Dogs without umpire bias.
Click to expand...
This hurts the case though!

There are what, 200 games in a season, so we should hit that probability once every 14,564 /200 = 72.82 years.

And the competition is like 120+ years old.

So it's bound to happen, sometimes. We were due.
 
Apsaalooke said:
The probability of getting 17 heads out of 18 coin tosses using an on-line Coin Flip Probability Calculator (!) is 1 in 14,564

Not exactly the same thing as free kicks but gives you an idea of the extreme improbability of 17/18 frees to the Dogs without umpire bias.
Click to expand...

Let's say that Adelaide were the "undisciplined" team and deserved more free kicks against. The final free kick count in that match was 28-12 but let's use a more reasonable number, that the Bulldogs had a 60% chance of winning the free.

That would have been 24 to 16 frees out of the 40 paid, which is still a large outlier. The Bulldogs would get 50% more frees in the match.

Even with the Bulldogs "deserving" 50% more frees in that situation, it's still the case that one umpire would pay 17-1 free kicks just once in 820 instances

Even with the actual final free kick count, which was a 70-30 split to the Bulldogs, an umpire would STILL be just a 1 in 80 chance of paying 17-1 in that match
 
Scorpus said:
Let's say that Adelaide were the "undisciplined" team and deserved more free kicks against. The final free kick count in that match was 28-12 but let's use a more reasonable number, that the Bulldogs had a 60% chance of winning the free.

That would have been 24 to 16 frees out of the 40 paid, which is still a large outlier. The Bulldogs would get 50% more frees in the match.

Even with the Bulldogs "deserving" 50% more frees in that situation, it's still the case that one umpire would pay 17-1 free kicks just once in 820 instances

Even with the actual final free kick count, which was a 70-30 split to the Bulldogs, an umpire would STILL be just a 1 in 80 chance of paying 17-1 in that match
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Here’s the thread from the night in question, if people need a refresher of how bad he was.

Roast - Troy Pannell

Think this deserves its own thread. I want the club to publicly shame this man for what he did tonight if true.
www.bigfooty.com www.bigfooty.com
 
Slippery Pete said:
Here’s the thread from the night in question, if people need a refresher of how bad he was.

Roast - Troy Pannell

Think this deserves its own thread. I want the club to publicly shame this man for what he did tonight if true.
www.bigfooty.com www.bigfooty.com
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A quote from one of my posts in that thread:

“We were $1.86 favourites on Thursday then blew out to $2.15 despite no surprises in selection for either side.”
 
Coopers said:
Do we have any actual evidence? Like what can be proven?
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We already have informal evidence by just plain observation (of that match). Factor in the avoidance and delays of him going through trial is a pretty strong indicator of guilt and/or wrongdoing (in the illegal sense).
 

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An interesting “fun fact”:

Since the headlines of Panell this year, it seems to have coincided with the Bulldogs rise up the ladder.

Hypothesis: more media talks on Panell gives the Dogs more mojo. I’m calling it the Panell Effect.
 
John Who said:
An interesting “fun fact”:

Since the headlines of Panell this year, it seems to have coincided with the Bulldogs rise up the ladder.

Hypothesis: more media talks on Panell gives the Dogs more mojo. I’m calling it the Panell Effect.
Click to expand...
Really?
Bulldogs were 7th the weekend before the news came out now they are 8th.
 
Rory Walkerfield said:
A quote from one of my posts in that thread:

“We were $1.86 favourites on Thursday then blew out to $2.15 despite no surprises in selection for either side.”
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Explosion Reaction GIF
 

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If you want to get technical, since May, the Dogs have won 12+ goals in 4 of their last 7 games. Don’t think anyone is close to that kind of ripping form with such a dramatic boost in score percentages (since May).
 
John Who said:
If you want to get technical, since May, the Dogs have won 12+ goals in 4 of their last 7 games. Don’t think anyone is close to that kind of ripping form with such a dramatic boost in score percentages (since May).
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Technical is a drop from 7th to 8th post the pannell news.
It was a weird post to start with and it was wrong.
 
FR0GGY said:
Technical is a drop from 7th to 8th post the pannell news.
It was a weird post to start with and it was wrong.
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Best to just avoid spam...
 
Surely a prosecuting lawyer would be very keen to explore his umpiring career for impropriety, seeing his case focuses on fraud / breach of duty of care
 

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