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Walker, Waite and Hoops

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This thread is intended for one purpose. To provide some more analysis of the disposal of these three to aid the current discussions in other threads.

May I state several things to begin with:
1. I love all three players (not in that way), and think they all all in our best 18.
2. I think Waite and Walker have the potential to become among the leagues elite.
3. I realise that this is one game only, and that players should be judged over broader time frames.
4. I also realise that this is very subjective and someone else watching the same footage will draw different conclusions.

The following was based on observations of the NAB cup game vs Hawks.
Players possessions were counted and differentiated based on:
  • Under pressure (opponent within 2m) or no pressure
  • Whether it hits the intended target
  • Whether it missess (overshoots/undershoots) the target
  • Whether it resulted in a direct turnover.
The over/undershoot means that the ball may go straight at a player, but will be counted as a miss if the target had to play on, who otherwise would have marked had the kick been good. The implications of this are obvious I would have thought, but can be explained if asked.


Walker

4 kicks under pressure, 2 hit targets, 2 misses resulting in one turnover
11 kicks with no pressure, 7 hits, 4 misses incl. 1 oob and 2 turnovers

3 Handballs with pressure, 3 without, all hit targets.

Total possessions
15 kicks, 9 hits, 6 misses, 3 turnovers.
6 handballs, 6 hits


Hoops

3 pressure kicks, 2 hits, 1 miss, no turnover.
5 no pressure kicks, 3 hits, 2 miss incl 1 turnover

5 handballs with pressure, 3 without, all hit targets.

Total possessions
8 kicks, 5 hits, 3 miss, 1 turnover
8 handballs, 8 hits


Waite

2 pressure kicks, 1 hit, 1 miss, no turnover
6 no pressure kicks, 4 hits, 2 miss, 2 turnover

2 pressure handballs, 2 hits
1 no pressure handball, 1 miss = turnover

Total possessions
8 kicks, 5 hits, 3 miss, 2 turnovers
3 handballs, 2 hits, one miss, 1 turnover


According to me then Walker had 6 misses with kicks, 4 of which re****ed in going back over his head.
To give an example of how this is scored, one kick was in the 4th Q to Lappin on the HBF. It reached Lappin on the bounce, he had to play on jamming it on his boot which went OOF and turnover.
This is Walkers turnover, not Lappins. The kick (as with one to Carrazzo) should have hit him on the full to mark. He then gets to turn and assess his options, driving it long towards the HF line, instead, due to a skill error the Hawks are kicking it back at their forward line.

Again, may I state, I love all three players.

I just don't like people inventing truths about how well they play.

e.g. Fantastic kick, crucified for one bad kick..........drivel ;)
 
Walker

4 kicks under pressure, 2 hit targets, 2 misses resulting in one turnover
11 kicks with no pressure, 7 hits, 4 misses incl. 1 oob and 2 turnovers

3 Handballs with pressure, 3 without, all hit targets.

Total possessions
15 kicks, 9 hits, 6 misses, 4 turnovers.
6 handballs, 6 hits

Firstly, let's get the maths right.

That done, these other three misses that did not result in turnovers, were they straight kicks, across the body kicks to change direction? Did these misses spot up somebody in the clear where all they needed to do was get the ball going in that direction? Sometimes you will undershoot to be safe because the danger lies out the back. Sometimes you will overshoot because the danger is closer and you have a man out the back who can run on to it.

Missing your target is a deliberate ploy if the opponent has somebody too close but is heading in the right direction.

Would need more information I'm afraid.
 
Firstly, let's get the maths right.

That done, these other three misses that did not result in turnovers, were they straight kicks, across the body kicks to change direction? Did these misses spot up somebody in the clear where all they needed to do was get the ball going in that direction? Sometimes you will undershoot to be safe because the danger lies out the back. Sometimes you will overshoot because the danger is closer and you have a man out the back who can run on to it.

Missing your target is a deliberate ploy if the opponent has somebody too close but is heading in the right direction.

Would need more information I'm afraid.

Quite right with the math....too many numbers.
To answer your question, of course there are many more variables to be taken into consideration.
Length of kick - would expect shorter to be more accurate
Pace running while kicking
Intention of kick - into space or to hit a target.

As best I could determine this last one was easy. Tex always kicked to a target, and IIRC there were no, run onto it types plays. Three examples have been cited elsewhere - that of Kicks to Carrazzo, Lappin, and Waite that should have hit their target.

All of that is beside the point anyway.

The point has been somewhat lost. Re-read my last two sentences in post 1.
 
The point has been somewhat lost. Re-read my last two sentences in post 1.
Yeah I know what your point is. I just want to provide balance the other way again, especially when infamous negative nellies will just use this to bag the crap out of players again. The Walker thread was created as a deliberate support thread because of an earlier bagging thread. It is deliberately over the top in case Walker's dad is reading these boards.
 

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Stats, stats and more stats

Afte watching the game a number of time I would say the following:

Walks --- disappointing disposal. Good rebound out of backline and deviation skills but really hurt Carlton in the game with his turnovers.

Waite --- lacklustre game. Thought he would've given Buddy a bath but wasn't to be. Will be better for the experience

Hoops --- thought he was OK and dd some good things
 
Like you said BB, it's very hard to gauge after one match how effective/ineffective these guys' posessions were, and that to be fair, it should be looked at over a greater period of time.

I thought Walker, in particular, had a pretty good game against Hawthorn. Sure, he turned the ball over a couple of times, but what he does do is back his leg speed and takes on the opposition. Give him a year or so with Craig Bradley and he'll be hitting alot more targets.

As for Waite, he is still settling into CHB, and of course is going to make mistakes. It's what you learn from those mistakes that is important. He certainly has the flair, the atletisism and the run and carry to become a very good CHB, but we have to be patient.

Houlihan is the most frustrating player on our list IMHO. Has all the skill, all the tricks, and just teases us with them. Perhaps it's his laconic nature, but I really feel he could step up a couple of notches to really become an elite mid in the AFL.
 
Yep, fair enough.

Hi Mr Walker, Mr Houlihan, and Vin.
Be proud of all your boys and know that I do love them.:)


Do you realise that Vin passed away during Jarrad's second (i think) season?

Jarrad got a call at 3am one morning, saying his dad has just died, and yet he still played for the Blues the next day, and did his dad proud, and played a fantastic game.
 
Do you realise that Vin passed away during Jarrad's second (i think) season?

Jarrad got a call at 3am one morning, saying his dad has just died, and yet he still played for the Blues the next day, and did his dad proud, and played a fantastic game.

Yep. Narrow loss to the Dees at Princes Park........possibly the last time I went there.

I'm sure he's looking down on Jarrad, and keeping an eye on this board..:thumbsu:
 
Yep. Narrow loss to the Dees at Princes Park........possibly the last time I went there.

I'm sure he's looking down on Jarrad, and keeping an eye on this board..:thumbsu:

I'm sure he's looking down on Jarrad and giving him the strength to play at the highest level. As for keeping an eye on BF, well, hmmmmmmm
 
No matter how you read these stats it backs up the arguement that Waite and Walker are average footballers because 30-40% of their possessions result in ball going back the other way

Someone may have mentioned this but you can not compare a number 2 draft pick to a number 82 draft pick. Houlihan has been great value. Walker is a good average footballer and will be no more until his disposal improves. He plays to the standard of a second round draft pick

I would say the same for Waite
 
Let me say one thing.

Houlihan is no good, must be traded at the end of the year if he continues the way he is. Lack lustre footballer. Hasn't taken that step up yet.
 
Let me say one thing.

Houlihan is no good, must be traded at the end of the year if he continues the way he is. Lack lustre footballer. Hasn't taken that step up yet.

Can't say that I agree with that 100%, but he certainly does frustrate me with his laconic nature and some of the skill errors he makes when we all know how much skill he has.
 

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I've said it all along (though not on BigFooty), Walker's disposal is simply not good enough to allow him to become an elite player. Sure he is quick and athletic and all that, but I feel the supporters who assert that he is a gun and will become one of the leagues best really are looking out of one eye. I'm sure it will improve, but only so much. There's only so much you can teach.
 
Let me say one thing.

Houlihan is no good, must be traded at the end of the year if he continues the way he is. Lack lustre footballer. Hasn't taken that step up yet.
Will he ever get a break. He had a good 2006. By no means a great player, but easily in our starting 18 based on last year's form.
 

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