Preview Week 1 Finals Tips and Two Cents

Pick the winners of Week 1

  • Richmond def Hawthorn

  • Hawthorn def Richmond

  • West Coast def Collingwood

  • Collingwood def West Coast

  • Melbourne def Geelong

  • Geelong def Melbourne

  • Sydney def Giants

  • Giants def Sydney


Results are only viewable after voting.

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Rotayjay

Brownlow Medallist
Aug 28, 2014
12,126
23,474
Adelaide, South Australia
AFL Club
Adelaide
1st Qualifying Final, MCG
Richmond v Hawthorn

Much has been made of the fact that this is the first time the Hawks and Tigers have played a final, but in the end who cares? The attendance will easily exceed 85,000 and quite possibly 90,000.

Hawthorn, after a golden era of five straight prelims and three straight flags, dropped out of the eight for just one season and have now snuck back into the top 4. Their nemesis: Richmond.

Let's face it: the entire AFL world is watching and waiting for Richmond to **** it up like Geelong did in 2008. The Tigers are clearly the best side in it but their only win away from Victoria came against the shitty Suns at Carrara.

Many are giving Hawthorn a good chance in this match due to their trademark Clarkson precision game style and the fact that they are also MCG tenants. Whilst QFs are not elimination, a lot is riding on this one. The winner here will get their first foot in the door of a grand final. If Hawthorn can pull an upset, Richmond may be sent away from their precious MCG for a prelim, and wouldn't it be delicious to see them sent away and lose. In the end, Richmond will probably prove too strong. Tigers by 24.

2nd Qualifying Final, Perth Stadium
West Coast v Collingwood

The Eagles were expected to slide quietly into a rebuild in 2018 but here we are, they have finished second and booked a QF at their new home fortress. I don't think the Pies will get much of a sniff here as long as West Coast's midfield breaks even. Eagles at home by 38.

1st Elimination Final, MCG
Melbourne v Geelong

Our draft day enemies take on the side of our very own Brownlow medallist defector. I think most of us, despite feeling dirty barracking for Dangerfield and Selwood, are hoping for a Geelong win to get the Crows a slightly better draft pick.

This year, the Cats and Dees have fought out two matches decided by under a kick and this shapes up as a cracker. Both sides have been hot and cold and that's why they find themselves duking it out in the pleb finals rather than QFs.

Both Melbourne and Geelong have been talked up as smokey challengers for the flag but I'm not so sure about that. Geelong have more experience but have displayed a similar gooey soft underbelly to Melbourne. Will be an occasion for popcorn. Cats by 10.

2nd Elimination Final, SCG
Sydney v Giants

Hard game to get a read on, between two enigma sides. The Swans have been good away and very ordinary at home, looking like they were done before 'doing a Sydney' and booking their place in what one comedian called the seven (it's not the eight as one spot is pre-booked for the Swans).

Their artificial cross-town rivals also looked done for when they were playing terrible football mid-season but have gotten their extremely talented side back. Both of these sides might be smokeys for the flag but my gut tells me no. Hard to tip, but Swans by 8.
 
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Hawthorn Def Richmond
Really hoping for an upset. Records are made to be broken. Tigers haven't slipped up yet so will have to be one very soon.

West Coast Def Collingwood
Collingwood have a good chance still but to many injuries plus the travel. Always go for the Non-Pricktorian team.

Geelong Def Melbourne
Geelong are September specialists. Melbourne will choke under the pressure of finals footy.

GWS Def Sydney
Little brother will get the chocolates again in this final. Sydney are uo and down. A lot of stars aren't having the best year. However i guess never write them off
 
4 quality games, each with different storylines

Richmond vs Hawthorn - The Master vs the Apprentice. Richmond have looked vulnerable in the last few weeks, are they tweaking the gameplan and trying things or are they faltering ever so slightly. If anyone can sniff out a vulnerability in a side it is Clarkson and Hawthorn, and it also signals a loss of the huge home ground advantage the Tigers have enjoyed. I dont actually rate Hawthorn that highly, and am staggered they made the top 4, but will be hoping to see them get up and put a small hole in the bubble. Theyll have to be at their very very best though and even then itll take luck. Tigers by 19.

West Coast vs Collingwood - Credit to Collingwood, they built a deep midfield that has been able to carry them when injuries have decimated the rest of the side. The loss of Gaff is huge for West Coast and they will be desperate for Kennedy to return to stretch the Pies. Pies have been very good away from home this season and will need to be again to get close enough here. Simpson has done well to get his side into 2nd spot and I think theyll get up, but if they start to lose the midfield and Grundy rips Lycett it could give guys like De Goey, Stephenson and the big American enough looks to cause an upset. West Coast by 29.

Melbourne vs Geelong - The ski-fields of Victoria have reported a loss of revenue this season...... Melbourne are back in the big time !!! Led by the best ruckman in the game and a very potent forwardline they will cause Geelong all manner of problems, like theyve done twice already this season. Theyve won 2 games against top 8 sides all season, and those were against 2 sides injury riddled and who had the cue in the rack early. They look like getting Jack Viney back as Goody channels his inner crow "Play underdone players in big games'. Geelong have spent more time outside the 8 than most predicted pre season, but the 'Holy Trinity' + revelation Tim Kelly are as good a midfield as there is and Tom Hawkins has filled his boots against minnows in the last few weeks. I dont want either team to win for varying reason but who will........ Geelong to use their finals experience to get up by less than a goal again.

Sydney vs GWS - They meet in the finals for the 2nd time, 2 years after the Giants shocked the footy world in a qualifying final to announce themselves. Hardest game of the weekend to pick purely because we dont know who is going to be fit for either side. The Giants have been hurt by injury like we and the Maggies have been, and have had to show a little bit more resolve this season. Sydney are still reliant on the Big Budwiser and a very staunch defence, their midfield just dont look to have the legspeed to deal with their opponents. SCG tips the balance in Sydneys favour mind you, and I think thatll be enough to get the job done by 15 points.
 

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4 quality games, each with different storylines

Richmond vs Hawthorn - The Master vs the Apprentice. Richmond have looked vulnerable in the last few weeks, are they tweaking the gameplan and trying things or are they faltering ever so slightly. If anyone can sniff out a vulnerability in a side it is Clarkson and Hawthorn, and it also signals a loss of the huge home ground advantage the Tigers have enjoyed. I dont actually rate Hawthorn that highly, and am staggered they made the top 4, but will be hoping to see them get up and put a small hole in the bubble. Theyll have to be at their very very best though and even then itll take luck. Tigers by 19.

West Coast vs Collingwood - Credit to Collingwood, they built a deep midfield that has been able to carry them when injuries have decimated the rest of the side. The loss of Gaff is huge for West Coast and they will be desperate for Kennedy to return to stretch the Pies. Pies have been very good away from home this season and will need to be again to get close enough here. Simpson has done well to get his side into 2nd spot and I think theyll get up, but if they start to lose the midfield and Grundy rips Lycett it could give guys like De Goey, Stephenson and the big American enough looks to cause an upset. West Coast by 29.

Melbourne vs Geelong - The ski-fields of Victoria have reported a loss of revenue this season...... Melbourne are back in the big time !!! Led by the best ruckman in the game and a very potent forwardline they will cause Geelong all manner of problems, like theyve done twice already this season. Theyve won 2 games against top 8 sides all season, and those were against 2 sides injury riddled and who had the cue in the rack early. They look like getting Jack Viney back as Goody channels his inner crow "Play underdone players in big games'. Geelong have spent more time outside the 8 than most predicted pre season, but the 'Holy Trinity' + revelation Tim Kelly are as good a midfield as there is and Tom Hawkins has filled his boots against minnows in the last few weeks. I dont want either team to win for varying reason but who will........ Geelong to use their finals experience to get up by less than a goal again.

Sydney vs GWS - They meet in the finals for the 2nd time, 2 years after the Giants shocked the footy world in a qualifying final to announce themselves. Hardest game of the weekend to pick purely because we dont know who is going to be fit for either side. The Giants have been hurt by injury like we and the Maggies have been, and have had to show a little bit more resolve this season. Sydney are still reliant on the Big Budwiser and a very staunch defence, their midfield just dont look to have the legspeed to deal with their opponents. SCG tips the balance in Sydneys favour mind you, and I think thatll be enough to get the job done by 15 points.
Great post, loved the 'inner Crow playing underdone players in big games' :D
 
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