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Prediction When will Footy return ?

  • Thread starter Thread starter eipuorg_
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When will Footy return ?

  • May 29

  • June

  • July

  • August

  • September

  • Season will be scrapped and Round 1 2021 will be the next game


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I do think the season will re-start in June. But i say this with some trepidation on the proviso that the number of cases goes down on a consistent basis.

Last few weeks i have been keeping tabs every day on the dept of health website (Victoria) to get daily updates. Most days upwards of 100 cases (not good).
2 days ago 49. Today 20. It can spike up of course but if there is a consistency of under 20-30 cases we can beat this sooner rather than later. I think in 4 weeks time we'll have a clearer indication at where we are at.

April 5, 2020 - The total number of coronavirus (COVID-19) cases in Victoria is 1135 – an increase of 20 from yesterday.
 
I do think the season will re-start in June. But i say this with some trepidation on the proviso that the number of cases goes down on a consistent basis.

Last few weeks i have been keeping tabs every day on the dept of health website (Victoria) to get daily updates. Most days upwards of 100 cases (not good).
2 days ago 49. Today 20. It can spike up of course but if there is a consistency of under 20-30 cases we can beat this sooner rather than later. I think in 4 weeks time we'll have a clearer indication at where we are at.

April 5, 2020 - The total number of coronavirus (COVID-19) cases in Victoria is 1135 – an increase of 20 from yesterday.

I'd really like to believe that, but without vaccination we will have to depend on growing herd immunity over time, and until we have broader cohort testing we won't know the degree to which the herd has become immune. We are passed the possible point of complete eradication it would seem, which is the alternative to herd immunity until vaccination. With nearly 6000 confirmed cases, that statistic alone says we are not even near 1% of the herd yet (I realise it is likely more but we just don't know how much).

It's going to be tough call to choose when to test more broadly for anti-bodies. Still so much to learn about when we can return to what.
 
Regardless of the figures Victorians canna avoid catching CV...the point is not to all catch CV at the same time...
CV is gonna linger for quiet a while yet and cause huge dislocation to our normal way of life...interesting times...
 
NRL are seriously considering quarantining their players on an island up North somewhere and have them playing on some paddock.
Ridiculous as that sounds its probably the only option this year unless a vaccination comes out.

As mentioned, less than 1% of the country has contracted this so far. And cases are still growing. It will be a fair while before recoveries outnumber new cases and even then if lockdown eases up it will just take off again until most of us have had it. We are in for a long slow wait to allow the health system to handle the 15% of cases that turn critical.
 

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have they installed 5G at the G yet ? want to have the fastes internet when I go back
 
have they installed 5G at the G yet ? want to have the fastes internet when I go back

It'll be 6G by then mate, and the players will just be holograms! ;)
 
Stupid headline makes you think the worst is over let's go back to being normal again...all the stupids will start to ignore social isolation once again and restart the CV infections...
What it ought to show/say is we have slowed the rate of CV infected victorians down so as not to overwhelm our hospital services...
All we are collectively doing is slowing the rates of CV infections down not eliminating CV...
 
The one point a lot of you seem to forget is that we haven’t hit flu season yet. New case numbers might drop over the month of May but wait til we hit winter.
 

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Stupid headline makes you think the worst is over let's go back to being normal again...all the stupids will start to ignore social isolation once again and restart the CV infections...
What it ought to show/say is we have slowed the rate of CV infected victorians down so as not to overwhelm our hospital services...
All we are collectively doing is slowing the rates of CV infections down not eliminating CV...
Don’t be ridiculous, have you any idea of the constant battering of bad news with no hope attached on the public’s mental health . Fk the bad news home boy
 
Infection rate per 100 / population
Tas 0.015
Vic 0.017
WA o.017
Qld 0.018
SA 0.02
NSW 0.03 ( no idea what they’re doing )
NSW have the cruise ship spike
 
Don’t be ridiculous, have you any idea of the constant battering of bad news with no hope attached on the public’s mental health . Fk the bad news home boy
Nahhh I'm not being ridiculous...I'm just being observant especially in regards to that Sun headline...I want intelligent reporting that respects my intelligence not happy clapping headlines...oh wait a minute it is the Sun...pffttt....i see the issue...
 

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The one point a lot of you seem to forget is that we haven’t hit flu season yet. New case numbers might drop over the month of May but wait til we hit winter.

There seems to be some evidence it multiplies more easily in the cooler climates but that might be more about it's presence with the common cold or flu. Social distancing should mitigate that somewhat, albeit lower, certainly not eliminate it. Modeling yet to be released but leaked indicates Sep / Oct could indeed be our peak period.
 
Infection rate per 100 / population *
Tas 0.015
Vic 0.017
WA o.017
Qld 0.018
SA 0.02
NSW 0.03 ( no idea what they’re doing )

A huge asterix attached. The word KNOWN ought to be attached to that. Actual infection is yet to be determined.
 
A very salient story of why we should not consider ourselves the luckier ones until this is over, no matter our age. Just take care and don't expect too much back to normal too soon! Environmentally the same conditions, significantly different outcomes, sadly!

Why does coronavirus kill some young people?
By CNN
6:49am Apr 6, 2020


Younger people are far less likely to die, but there is an unusual pattern that seems to be emerging.
When 30-year-old Ben Luderer started to feel sick, he wasn't that surprised. Just a few days earlier, his wife, Brandy, had tested positive for coronavirus, but there wasn't much to it.
All she had was a really low-grade temperature, one that the doctors didn't even really consider to be a fever, she said. She had some congestion, but she was on the mend.


He wasn't all that worried, either, when he started feeling unwell. After all, they were both young and healthy.
The two worked in the Cliffside Park School District in New Jersey, both as special education teachers – she at School #4, he at School #6. A star baseball player in high school, he continued his passion by coaching the varsity baseball team.
For Ben, however, his symptoms quickly became more severe. He had more shortness of breath, and by the last Friday in March, he told Brandy it was time to go to the emergency room.
"He was really concerned," Brandy said.

"He came into our bedroom where I was laying, and he said, you know, I've got to go, I've got to take myself to the hospital."
"Are you sure you want to go there?" she asked him. He said: "Yes, I need to". Immediately, Brandy drove him to the hospital.
She couldn't go in with him, though, because they weren't accepting visitors. So, she sat in the car the entire evening and they texted back and forth.
"He updated me the whole time," she said.


At the hospital, Ben received oxygen and responded well, Brandy said. They gave him fluids and Tylenol and then sent him home that same evening.
"Keep doing what you're doing at home," they said.
The following Sunday, he was feeling better and showing signs of improvement, his wife said. He got out of bed and ate dinner for the first time.
"Sunday was a great day. He was up moving around, talking to us," Brandy said.
Ben was on the road to recovery, it seemed. That night, however, his symptoms returned.
"Ben always said the nights had been the worst for him, he would sweat and when he laid down a certain way," Brandy said.
"It was particularly hard for him to breathe."
That night, Ben had an especially hard time getting comfortable. Because Ben was sleeping in the bedroom, and Brandy on the couch, they were texting back and forth to communicate.

At one point, Ben texted his wife and said, "I'm struggling".
Brandy asked him if he needed to go back to the ER, and Ben replied that he wasn't sure.
"So, I just tried to do as much as I could to make him comfortable, you know, calm down his breathing, you know, get him to cool down," Brandy said.
She borrowed a humidifier from a friend to try that. Once Ben finally settled into bed, Brandy listened through the door of their bedroom.
"I could hear through the door that he was still breathing, and I fell asleep," she said. She checked in on him again at 2am, and all seemed OK.
However, when she woke at 6am, she found her 30-year-old husband lifeless in their bed.
"Whether he knew you for five minutes or he knew you for his whole entire life, he would give you the same respect and try to reach out and help you and make you laugh in any way possible," Brandy recalled.
"That was just the type of selfless person he was."

https%3A%2F%2Fprod.static9.net.au%2Ffs%2Fae54c471-9d8d-40e6-80b8-642a77d12558


They were husband and wife, but also best friends, both working in the same school district, driving to work every day. She didn't know what she would do with herself on Monday, let alone the rest of her life.
And Brandy was left with a mystery. She knew her husband was sick, but how was it possible that a young, healthy 30-year-old with no pre-existing conditions declined so swiftly?
How young people are dying
Ben Luderer's story is one of many that have perplexed health officials around the globe. Why is it that some young people are getting sick and dying so abruptly?
It is true that COVID-19 seems to most seriously affect older people, particularly those with pre-existing conditions such as heart disease, lung disease and diabetes.
It could be that an elderly person's immune systems may not be able to fight off the disease as well, and the virus can more easily replicate, overwhelming the body and causing multiple organ system failure.
And yet, as we start to look deeper and hear more stories, it is becoming apparent there are many people like Ben, who are younger and still get very sick and die.
 
Last edited:
A very salient story of why we should not consider ourselves the luckier ones until this is over, no matter our age. Just take care and don't expect too much back to normal too soon!

Why does coronavirus kill some young people?
By CNN
6:49am Apr 6, 2020


Younger people are far less likely to die, but there is an unusual pattern that seems to be emerging.
When 30-year-old Ben Luderer started to feel sick, he wasn't that surprised. Just a few days earlier, his wife, Brandy, had tested positive for coronavirus, but there wasn't much to it.
All she had was a really low-grade temperature, one that the doctors didn't even really consider to be a fever, she said. She had some congestion, but she was on the mend.


He wasn't all that worried, either, when he started feeling unwell. After all, they were both young and healthy.
The two worked in the Cliffside Park School District in New Jersey, both as special education teachers – she at School #4, he at School #6. A star baseball player in high school, he continued his passion by coaching the varsity baseball team.
For Ben, however, his symptoms quickly became more severe. He had more shortness of breath, and by the last Friday in March, he told Brandy it was time to go to the emergency room.
"He was really concerned," Brandy said.

"He came into our bedroom where I was laying, and he said, you know, I've got to go, I've got to take myself to the hospital."
"Are you sure you want to go there?" she asked him. He said: "Yes, I need to". Immediately, Brandy drove him to the hospital.
She couldn't go in with him, though, because they weren't accepting visitors. So, she sat in the car the entire evening and they texted back and forth.
"He updated me the whole time," she said.


At the hospital, Ben received oxygen and responded well, Brandy said. They gave him fluids and Tylenol and then sent him home that same evening.
"Keep doing what you're doing at home," they said.
The following Sunday, he was feeling better and showing signs of improvement, his wife said. He got out of bed and ate dinner for the first time.
"Sunday was a great day. He was up moving around, talking to us," Brandy said.
Ben was on the road to recovery, it seemed. That night, however, his symptoms returned.
"Ben always said the nights had been the worst for him, he would sweat and when he laid down a certain way," Brandy said.
"It was particularly hard for him to breathe."
That night, Ben had an especially hard time getting comfortable. Because Ben was sleeping in the bedroom, and Brandy on the couch, they were texting back and forth to communicate.

At one point, Ben texted his wife and said, "I'm struggling".
Brandy asked him if he needed to go back to the ER, and Ben replied that he wasn't sure.
"So, I just tried to do as much as I could to make him comfortable, you know, calm down his breathing, you know, get him to cool down," Brandy said.
She borrowed a humidifier from a friend to try that. Once Ben finally settled into bed, Brandy listened through the door of their bedroom.
"I could hear through the door that he was still breathing, and I fell asleep," she said. She checked in on him again at 2am, and all seemed OK.
However, when she woke at 6am, she found her 30-year-old husband lifeless in their bed.
"Whether he knew you for five minutes or he knew you for his whole entire life, he would give you the same respect and try to reach out and help you and make you laugh in any way possible," Brandy recalled.
"That was just the type of selfless person he was."

https%3A%2F%2Fprod.static9.net.au%2Ffs%2Fae54c471-9d8d-40e6-80b8-642a77d12558


They were husband and wife, but also best friends, both working in the same school district, driving to work every day. She didn't know what she would do with herself on Monday, let alone the rest of her life.
And Brandy was left with a mystery. She knew her husband was sick, but how was it possible that a young, healthy 30-year-old with no pre-existing conditions declined so swiftly?
How young people are dying
Ben Luderer's story is one of many that have perplexed health officials around the globe. Why is it that some young people are getting sick and dying so abruptly?
It is true that COVID-19 seems to most seriously affect older people, particularly those with pre-existing conditions such as heart disease, lung disease and diabetes.
It could be that an elderly person's immune systems may not be able to fight off the disease as well, and the virus can more easily replicate, overwhelming the body and causing multiple organ system failure.
And yet, as we start to look deeper and hear more stories, it is becoming apparent there are many people like Ben, who are younger and still get very sick and die.

That’s a sad story
 
That’s a sad story

It is, and it stunned me that for all intents and purposes they endured the same or very similar environmental conditions. Yet the outcome was so dramatically different. Men are three times more likely to suffer. The message, you cannot be too cautious!
 

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